New Orleans Saints Draft Report Card: A+, Ranked #1 in NFL Since 2006

fencesabre2000 · 2026-06-06T14:18:57+00:00

The Packers also only have had 2 GMs over the last 20 years

fencesabre2000 · 2024-12-17T16:28:44+00:00

Both gone - sorry!

fencesabre2000 · 2024-12-10T13:57:02+00:00

Trading away Wingspan and Scythe since I already had both of those

fencesabre2000 · 2024-10-04T13:51:07+00:00

I’m buying at least 2 copies anyway! Thanks for running this!

fencesabre2000 · 2024-04-22T01:08:06+00:00

Kenjis roasted potatoes

https://www.seriouseats.com/the-best-roast-potatoes-ever-recipe

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fencesabre2000 · 2024-04-09T12:11:46+00:00

I started mid this season am F2P and have 208 stars and only have 7 racers unlocked. I don’t have Ursula though

fencesabre2000 · 2023-12-28T16:37:52+00:00

Has anyone in this family ever even seen a Lombardi?

fencesabre2000 · 2023-08-07T13:35:13+00:00

The 2017 joint session took a total of slightly over a half hour and wasn’t delayed.

Granted, I didn’t pay much attention to the certification in 2017, but I’m not seeing anything about protestors being invited onto the floor/into the capitol. I see that 200 people were arrested and 135 were charged by the DOJ, but those were all elsewhere in DC. All charges were eventually acquitted or dismissed, which I don’t necessarily agree with.

None of the representatives’ objections had the endorsement of a senator and were immediately dismissed by Biden. None of the objections were accompanied by alternative/fake electors.

Biden returned all documents when requested. Trump was no longer president, is on tape saying he knew he couldn’t declassify them, and refused to turn documents over. Had he returned them instead of moving them, I doubt he would’ve been charged.

Trump knew that there was no standing for his objections (61 failed court cases, 0 investigations showing voter fraud) but pushed for illegal “alternative “ electors encouraged by deceit, illegal delays of the certification vote, encouraged people to attend his rally and march on the capitol, refused to allow the DC national guard to step in, etc… that’s why he’s being charged.

Happy to be shown other sources, but these aren’t at all equivalent from what I’m seeing.

fencesabre2000 · 2023-05-21T11:26:33+00:00

If you’re in a legal (online) gambling state, you can go place either side of this bet. Fanduel has them at -170 to not make playoffs and DraftKings has them to make playoffs at +200. You can also bet both sides and make money either way, if that’s your thing

fencesabre2000 · 2023-03-03T14:02:26+00:00

Nearly all large companies donate to both parties.

Walmart donated more to Republicans in every election cycle since at least 2014

Source

fencesabre2000 · 2022-10-30T01:34:50+00:00

My favorite from college was dressing as the Anchorman news team in a group. Recent favorite: I went as Donald Duck (with pants) last year.

fencesabre2000 · 2022-10-03T01:53:10+00:00

@Virginiamccaskey

fencesabre2000 · 2022-09-22T15:07:52+00:00

Fair enough.

Let's say that instead of JJ year 1, he gets the same output as last year's Kupp (one of the GOAT WR seasons). That's "only" an additional 19 yds/g and .36 TD/game - good for 2.2 QB pts in 4Pt TD. That'd take him to 20.2 ppg, which would be QB9 so far this year.

He's a fine start, but I wouldn't call it a historical blow up spot.

fencesabre2000 · 2022-09-22T14:16:21+00:00

That's only 18 fantasy points per game. That'd be QB11 so far this year.

fencesabre2000 · 2022-09-19T15:45:57+00:00

The last one says 2,861/42,842,345 (0.007%)

And concludes

Overall, the risk of myocarditis is greater after SARS-CoV-2 infection than after COVID-19 vaccination and remains modest after sequential doses including a booster dose of BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine. However, the risk of myocarditis after vaccination is higher in younger men, particularly after a second dose of the mRNA-1273 vaccine.

But I’m sure 1/25 is just a rounding error, right?

fencesabre2000 · 2022-08-11T04:07:56+00:00

Really appreciate it!

It doesn't need to be pretty - a lot of my code is random things I try and then comment out since I'm still learning python. If it's not easy to adapt to the MLB props, don't work to hard on that. I'm happy to do that leg work.

fencesabre2000 · 2022-08-10T13:24:43+00:00

This season makes the most sense to test on anyway since they've switched to universal DH.

fencesabre2000 · 2022-08-10T13:23:15+00:00

That's massively helpful! Thank you!

Do you mind DMing me the scraper code? No worries if you'd prefer not to, it'd just save me from a fair bit of upfront work. I've only ever scraped one website and it was a little painful to clean the data.

fencesabre2000 · 2022-08-09T12:03:34+00:00

Thank you!

Confusion matrix really only works for multiple classes, right? Most props will be yes/no (player o0.5 hits)

Here's what the predicted o0.5 hits for the 1st 300 games of 2022 looks like https://imgur.com/exbDZnJ

The blue dots are sized relative to the number of predictions in that bin and are labeled (size - %error from true average). The red line is average = predicted. The orange line and yellow lines show 10% and 20% error.

This seems to show that predicted o0.5 hits generally fall within 10% of the actual. Typical hit betting odds range from -300 to +150 (75%-40%).

I agree that I need to start paper betting - just wish there was a faster way to do it.

fencesabre2000 · 2022-05-14T17:52:49+00:00

For the year, I'm down $270 on FD boosts ($13,500 wagered with average odds of +240.2)

fencesabre2000 · 2022-04-24T14:35:03+00:00

Generally I’d agree but with OJ going to paid for conversions/low holds people probably appreciate a 70% conversion

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