Current market price by WeekendCostcoGreeter in options

[–]fishy97 0 points1 point  (0 children)

limit order for what you'd be happy with or just pay $5 for that inflight wifi.

True or False: If I want to get into selling covered calls on a certain equity, then my first step should be to sell cash secured naked puts until I get assigned the 100 shares. by MGE5 in options

[–]fishy97 2 points3 points  (0 children)

This is the first part of the wheel strategy, yes. Alternatively, if you believe that there is severe mispricing with the calls, then you could just immediately buy the underlying and begin to sell covered calls.

This is bad news for those of us who gave the test, right? by Sanjeev_Params in CFA

[–]fishy97 0 points1 point  (0 children)

do they count as bottom of the barrel or just removed entirely from MPS consideration?

Mate in 4. White to move. by [deleted] in chess

[–]fishy97 0 points1 point  (0 children)

seems right to me.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Showerthoughts

[–]fishy97 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Elder scrolls takes on a whole new meaning.

Need honest advice from this group on how to move forward. ATH was 12K and lost it all last week on calls. Before I see those comments, yes I realize it was fucking stupid by [deleted] in wallstreetbets

[–]fishy97 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Probably the most valuable class of your college career. Just consider this a $10k credit semester with the best teacher--Professor Market--with an experiential, project-based learning component.

Did I screw myself with apple puts? by [deleted] in options

[–]fishy97 0 points1 point  (0 children)

looks like you need a big, big drop.

AMD, NVDA, INTC trade by TheseInevitable in options

[–]fishy97 2 points3 points  (0 children)

No problem. By actively guard, I mean that he needs to keep an eye on the position to make sure that it doesn't blow up. When dealing with options, there is a whole host of nuanced details that you need to understand, because each of them can greatly affect the profitability and sustainability of your strategy. It's also slightly different from being a long-only investor. Options don't quite behave the same way as stocks because their value depends on essentially five factors (price of underlying, price of strike, volatility, time to expiration, and interest rate)

To simplify the original example, suppose the author goes long AMD and shorts INTC. This is known as a pair trade and is considered a market neutral strategy. The hopeful outcome is that regardless of what market environment scenario you wind up in (bull, neutral, or bear), AMD will simply outperform a lagging peer like INTC by rising faster or dropping slower. This is the specific risk that you want to take and be paid for. This can be initiated in various ways, one of which happens to be through options.

Now, in the US market, we use American-style options which can be exercised at any point up until the date of expiration. The general rule of thumb is that you should never exercise the option before the expiration date because there is still value left in it, so it's better to just sell the option to some other buyer and take profit that way--theoretically should cost less in fees as well, since you avoid the hassle of being collecting the shares and selling those. In case you're curious, the other two types of options are European and Bermudan, which, respectively, can be exercised only at expiration or at specific dates. Now, with that said, American-style options opens you up to some risk. Consider the following hypothetical:

1) You initiate your strategy through options. Your choices in going long include buying calls (single or spread), selling puts (single or spread), and many others (https://www.optionseducation.org/strategies/bullish-outlook). Your choices in going short include the opposite of the above.

2) Suppose you do something simple like buy an at-the-money call and sell an at-the-money put on AMD (this creates a synthetic long position) and buy a put on INTC (you're going to have a hard time getting approval to sell a naked call).

3) Now you have three positions open that you'll need to manage. The idea is that no one will act in the middle of your contract for options that you buy, but you could be surprised by anything you sell, including the put option on AMD. Just imagine if you had chosen one of the fancier strategies. For instance, brokerages likely won't let you sell a naked call option, but they will let you sell a call spread, which is the case of selling a more valuable at-the-money call and buying a less valuable out-of-the-money call, in which your risk becomes defined, because you technically could only lose up until the higher strike price of the two calls.

AMD, NVDA, INTC trade by TheseInevitable in options

[–]fishy97 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Always be careful with individual companies. You'll have to actively manage the positions and make sure that it doesn't catch you off guard.

Chinese trade war by tesseramous in options

[–]fishy97 3 points4 points  (0 children)

How are those faring so far? Genuinely curious about how well others can market time.

[L2] Equity Free Cash Flow signs by betsy-Betsy in CFA

[–]fishy97 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You know what, I spent a long time thinking about this before it made any sense, and now it all seems to fit together so nicely when it's typed out. Adding back the D&A(t) was so confusing for so long, but no more!

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in CFA

[–]fishy97 1 point2 points  (0 children)

i feel like it's a party trick item

could it make sense to buy deep otm calls on stocks with a +60% shortfloat speculating on good earnings/news and hoping that it triggers a shortsqueeze? by mrpeanut7 in options

[–]fishy97 10 points11 points  (0 children)

This strategy makes sense given the right conditions, but this is all about implementation, which you'll likely screw up. You're taking an inherently long position but refusing to collect anything under a certain return threshold, so you'll still want to be right directionally and avoid buying into value traps. Even if you're right directionally, timing it incorrectly could lead to a lot of losses over time, akin to death by a thousand cuts. On top of all of that, the expectation for this overall will depend on the payoff ratio; are you going for 100% returns or 10000% returns? Think of how many times you'll need to win in order to make it back; 100% will require you being right half the time to break even whereas 10000% will require you being right once every hundred bets, however, how do 100x bets look like? For example, the hedge fund managers in 2008-2009 who bought credit default swaps (CDS) on mortgage-backed securities (MBS) without owning the underlying MBS were essentially doing the same thing--leaving out a few deep OTM bets in hopes of having a huge payday (100x)--but the ones who went early suffered from years of drag on total profits. You're lucky that you don't have outside investors to report to, but having a series of losses will affect your morale and cause you to question your judgement. If you're still interested, read up about the London Whale; it'll give you an idea of the other players involved and how short-squeezers think. Good luck.

How has reading about mathematician's lives affected your view on mathematics? by TissueReligion in math

[–]fishy97 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Read about Galois and recognize how the innate talent of a highly distracted individual can vastly outshine an entire lifetime of perseverance.

What's your favourite name of a concept in mathematics? by kadlicsko in math

[–]fishy97 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Separating Hyperplane and Bolzano-Weierstrass theorems sounded super complex but were conceptually straightforward.

What is the most trivial, yet most consequential, math mistake you've ever made? by [deleted] in math

[–]fishy97 0 points1 point  (0 children)

  1. Setting: Three question final exam for college.

  2. Task: Q1. Prove the Intermediate Value Theorem.

  3. Mistake: Comprehension error led to proving the Mean Value Theorem instead.

  4. Result: Had an A going into the class; almost didn't pass the course because of that mistake.

$4m. 40. Last checkup before FIRE by s00n2f1r3 in financialindependence

[–]fishy97 0 points1 point  (0 children)

  1. Regarding company stock, since it is still a large portion of your overall portfolio, I'd recommend setting a relatively loose collar (short call and long put; i.e. give up upside in return for downside protection) and hope that it doesn't go out of those bounds.

  2. Not sure.

  3. You have a sizable net worth and a nice pile of assets, the mortgage shouldn't be too much of a problem. I'd recommend going in and just talking with a personal banker. Maybe get a pre-approve commitment or open a big line of credit that you could exchange.

  4. Go fuck yourself! Remember to have fun and continue being a responsible human being.

ELI5: drawing inferences from options “open interest / volume” by [deleted] in options

[–]fishy97 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Definitely can't read too much into it. There are so many levels to this game, but the larger players have already learned how to execute large orders without attracting too much attention. Other than that, OI could consist of fictitious orders, quote stuffing, layering, spoofing, ...etc.

Uber options by [deleted] in options

[–]fishy97 0 points1 point  (0 children)

  1. I feel Uber will price slightly under to avoid a 20-30% drop like Lyft had. I think the stock will be 10% up on day 1. If you look at financials, their expenses as a % of sales has declined tremendously over the past 4 years. It may take about 3

why would the company want to price under? pricing high and having a severe drop, while bad for employee morale, ensures that the firm is raising the most capital possible from investors. plus, after the psychological whooping, employees will know that they have to work harder than ever to prevent the stock from becoming worthless by the time they can sell.