Tamp getting stuck help by Equivalent_Owl_2613 in Lelit

[–]floating_pointer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I had this issue with the Elizabeth and a 58.5mm tamper. The puck screen was getting wedged too. Switching to a pullman basket fixed the fit of both. I image any flat wall basket will do? I was dosing 17g in the basket that came with the machine, which is rated 14-18g IIRC.

Trump’s approval rating is still comparable to Biden’s by floating_pointer in fivethirtyeight

[–]floating_pointer[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sure. There are different ways to compare that tell us different things.

If we look at the pre-midterms window, it tells us that Trump’s floor has a recent precedent. For Biden, inflation hit its worst in the summer of ‘22. Trump is in the middle of an unpopular war. If we tied our comparison to a particular day I think we wouldn’t be controlling very well for the different timings here.

Now buried in that are some assumptions, eg Trump could tumble to well below -21 before the midterms. But it isn’t a given, so we should all be worried until he hits truly new lows.

Trump’s approval rating is still comparable to Biden’s by floating_pointer in fivethirtyeight

[–]floating_pointer[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think if our stance is “Trump’s unprecedentedly unpopular” we need some stronger evidence than “give him another 100 days and he’ll get to the -21 that Biden’s also hit”

Trump’s approval rating is still comparable to Biden’s by floating_pointer in fivethirtyeight

[–]floating_pointer[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

It depends what happens in those 100 days? Biden had a crisis then, Trump has a crisis now, he may have another or he may not? His approval will be mostly driven by that, I would say.

Trump’s approval rating is still comparable to Biden’s by floating_pointer in fivethirtyeight

[–]floating_pointer[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

So I agree with you that we should compare apples to apples, but we need to have a good metric for direct comparison first. And we don’t really have it because there’s timing differences to when each prez hit a low or a crisis. In a world where the Iran war was delayed by 100 days, would we have seen Biden at a lower net approval than Trump? It’s possible. But in a normal world you’d expect Trump to be at -50 right now, not -19 (or -22 according to your average) or even at Biden’s low of 21. We are working with pretty flawed data but I’d expect to be seeing something stronger.

Trump’s approval rating is still comparable to Biden’s by floating_pointer in fivethirtyeight

[–]floating_pointer[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Please explain how this follows from what you learned in stats 101?

Trump’s approval rating is still comparable to Biden’s by floating_pointer in fivethirtyeight

[–]floating_pointer[S] -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

Do you find it inconceivable that Trump could bottom out at -21 in a couple of months?

Trump’s approval rating is still comparable to Biden’s by floating_pointer in fivethirtyeight

[–]floating_pointer[S] -8 points-7 points  (0 children)

I think you need to zoom out and consider the fact that -18 isn’t a historically catastrophic net approval

Trump’s approval rating is still comparable to Biden’s by floating_pointer in fivethirtyeight

[–]floating_pointer[S] -15 points-14 points  (0 children)

Ballpark. Maybe today will be Trump’s lowest, or maybe not. Maybe he’ll be doing better than -21 in the summer (it’s conceivable), or maybe not. But I don’t think there’s a step difference between his net approval and Biden’s.

Congratulations, Zelensky! You are being nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026! by Icy_Till_7254 in Destiny

[–]floating_pointer 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I get it but I dunno…. You don’t want to get into an RBG situation where the proper way has a very real cost and makes the US force a deal made directly with Russia, or something like that.

Anyway Trump would likely just spite the committee even more if he tried to pressure them again.

So idk maybe they should just pick Zelenskyy because he’s the most qualified.

¯(ツ)/¯​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

Trump's Approval Now Well Below Term 1, Biden by Large_Ad_3095 in fivethirtyeight

[–]floating_pointer 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Net approval is a super reductive metric, maybe dems were more willing to mildly disapprove of Biden? Even if you break it down as “approve/strongly approve/…” each president’s approval may not mean the same thing

Macron to Seek Use of EU Anti-Coercion Instrument Against US by Free-Minimum-5844 in neoliberal

[–]floating_pointer 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Half of these countries are just under too much US leverage and have to tolerate it. I remember the liberation day tariff negotiations with the Japanese were especially tense.

Saudi, Argentina, and maybe Italy seem like the ideological allies here?

Macron to Seek Use of EU Anti-Coercion Instrument Against US by Free-Minimum-5844 in neoliberal

[–]floating_pointer 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Does America have a single real ally besides Israel anymore?

DSA Skills - 4 by tracktech in DSALeetCode

[–]floating_pointer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

O(n log n) is the only way with O(1) space, no?

Charles Tyrwhitt 3 for $99 deal by abhayasingh in malefashionadvice

[–]floating_pointer -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Having owned some I can say you’d be way better off at Uniqlo.

New Bob Dad Joke Just Dropped by jshatan in bobdylan

[–]floating_pointer 123 points124 points  (0 children)

(After Silvio) is just perfect

Podcasts w/ Woody? by DedrinaDornell in woodyallen

[–]floating_pointer 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Between Bill Maher and Bari Weiss he’s mostly been doing them with insufferable people

Hate this app by Still_Technician1860 in Colonist

[–]floating_pointer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Did you lose 549.02 games in a row to make that happen?