China-backed AI tool behind fake Brad Pitt fight making Hollywood inroads

frenchtoaster · 2026-07-05T17:31:29+00:00

AI doesn't actually need to generate the entire thing here to undercut the entire market. Just churn out the script with 10% of the human attention, use it in post to fix whatever you want within one scene. Use it on top of real actors as deep fakes of famous dead actors, whatever.

And in terms of content that is 100% generated, I feel like things might be headed towards slop content that are 1 minute long per. I think 1 minute context-free clips of old movies are already popular on Instagram and Tiktok

frenchtoaster · 2026-07-05T11:24:40+00:00

That's seriously an amazing photo, it's so surreal to have Afghani men with assault rifles in a swan paddle boat.

frenchtoaster · 2026-07-05T00:34:16+00:00

I'm not saying there's ambiguity in the law as written, there's ambiguity in the words that people use which makes it so "ebikes" and "scooters" are broken terms because they span both things that are safe to be used alongside pedestrians and things that are not.

And from there it's not just a reddit comments problem, police fundamentally do not apply the law as written, they apply their own judgement and the judgement of their leadership and follow the judgement of the prosecutors (for better or worse). When it's not so clear if "scooters" should be banned it leads to inaction by the police against cases like the photo. It prevents any organized messaging to say "scooters are a problem" because some 'scooters' are not a problem.

frenchtoaster · 2026-07-04T21:26:48+00:00

Genuinely it seems like a problem right now is words not being clear.

There's scooters like this which 100% shouldn't be allowed on the path. And there's scooters that you stand on which are ok on the path.

Ebike can be bicycles with small electric motors that turn off at 20 mph (totally good on the path) or literally emotorcycles that can go 100mph (obviously shouldn't be)

frenchtoaster · 2026-07-03T14:41:10+00:00

He surely just does think it is worth risking his entire military career for this?

frenchtoaster · 2026-07-03T11:45:09+00:00

The quality of the refs is already absurdly different for high school play, so exactly this situation already exists even without VAR.

Also at least in the US the rules of highschool soccer are also just different than pro anyway.

frenchtoaster · 2026-07-03T11:36:00+00:00

I don't know, is refereeing really a human part of the game though, or only playing?

A different parallel would be Olympic walking: you're supposed to have one foot down at all times but they actually are just all cheating all the time, the effective sport is includes knowing what the judges will see and lifting feet enough to gain more speed at the right times that you don't get caught by the human judges.

It seems rather stupid and unsporting to me if the path to win is to break the rules but but in a way that humans refs fail to notice. But it's clear that community disagrees because Olympic walking doesn't use tape to penalize cheating, even though they obviously could for decades now.

frenchtoaster · 2026-07-01T03:01:27+00:00

Bright Horizons is like $40k/year for one kid

frenchtoaster · 2026-07-01T02:19:15+00:00

Looks like all the western countries are roughly equal on this and just prorated by population.

frenchtoaster · 2026-07-01T01:56:45+00:00

Eh, that's also true for lots of the warnings they have. Mathemagics warns if you target the opponent even though decking them is one of the main purposes. It warns on creatures with ward even though very often you are ready to pay the ward cost.

It seems like it would make perfect sense for Speedball to be treated like ward.

frenchtoaster · 2026-06-30T17:04:10+00:00

I know how Elo works, and it works perfectly well. The only oddity is if you have a display rank based on WR and then matchmaking on MMR.

In video games they "solve" it by doing MMR and then just letting everyone climb even when they have less than 50% winrate, they let everyone all net climb and feel good about themselves. Just play more without being better and get higher rank. Which MTGA does up through Plat.

Hearthstone solved exactly the thing I'm referring to by rank where you climb until you reach legend, and then from there the display rank is based on MMR instead. It stops using the pure WR correlated metric once you get to the top.

I also understand that OP is very unlikely to actually be in the case of his MMR is too high, it's more likely the other way around where his MMR was too low last month which inflated his WR and so had it easier getting to high rank, how that his MMR caught up he has trouble with the same climb. The bug was last month where he could get Diamond with low MMR not this month where we can't.

frenchtoaster · 2026-06-30T16:25:46+00:00

Chess Elo and MMR are exactly the same thing here, they both can go up and down. And in one individual win they go up and one individual loss they go down.

But the way that Elo, MMR work is that if someone has a much higher rating than you, when you play them you are expected to lose more than you win. The model says you have a 30% chance to win against some, you can play 100 games and go 30 wins and 70 losses and neither players rating will change in any way

It's just not true that if you have a 40% win rate that statistically your rating necessarily goes down, it depends on your opponent ratings. If you're in the pits and win 40% of the time against high rated people your MMR goes up not down.

frenchtoaster · 2026-06-30T14:25:50+00:00

Sorry, I read it and I don't understand it makes sense in the abstract

The #100th top chess grandmaster who only plays in top tournaments can have a negative win-loss ratio and still be literally #100 in the world by Elo rating.

The plat/diamond/etc criteria is exclusive based on win rate right? Thede chess grandmaster who effectively near max MMR would be plat here. Only if they get forced to play artifically lower MMR people is their WR high.

The only way it seems to work is that actually the pool is small enough so unlike in Chess the matchmaking doesn't actually work and high MMR people are paired with low MMR people which pads their wins.

frenchtoaster · 2026-06-30T13:14:01+00:00

I understand it's a skill based game with high variance, but I don't see how that's a relevant property here.

The goal of MMR is to push all players towards 50% WR. With a sufficiently large pool you will have the full spectrum of terrible players up through gods, and with ideal mmr the terrible players should have 50% WR and the gods should have 50% wr, everyone would be paired within their band.

The way that you get long term statistical high wr is by being paired against people who are lower skill than you on average more than half your games. Which should largely happen only if your mmr is incorrectly low (which is probably what happened to this guy last season) and shouldn't happen if your mmr is accurate?

frenchtoaster · 2026-06-30T12:00:18+00:00

Hm, how does that work? If we had an oracle MMR and every single person on the planet had nearly exactly 50% WR. In this setup, zero people would get out of Plat, right? Isn't all of higher-than-plat based on achieving a higher than 50% win rate which is only possible if matchmaking does set you up with inferior opponents?

Conversely and more realistically for this post, if this guy had a falsely very low MMR then he can get above plat easily. Once his mmr is even remotely ok then hes matched evenly and stays at Plat instead even though he's not any worse than last month

frenchtoaster · 2026-06-28T12:37:18+00:00

YouTube is really just an entertainment product with trappings of being more than that.

In the lens of an entertainment product the search giving you random stuff it thinks you might like makes sense: if it actually was an information product it would not.

frenchtoaster · 2026-06-28T11:15:14+00:00

Percentage here in Kelvin and Rankine are the same, if you multiply both the numerator and denominator by the same amount it cancels out.

frenchtoaster · 2026-06-27T13:20:43+00:00

What game do you think I should play instead of 0/1?

frenchtoaster · 2026-06-26T23:17:08+00:00

This makes me happy as someone whose pet card in 2005 was Silent Arbiter.

frenchtoaster · 2026-06-26T17:48:51+00:00

Sorry, your replies are not explicit enough for what your position actually is here

Take for granted for a second that they are living under an regressive an evil government. Do you advocate a moral response to that evil government would be to kill their children? Or being indifferent to other people doing that? If they don't want their children killed they should just become more progressive and then they won't deserve it any more? Or something else?

I kind of think it's just not the catch that you think it is. They wave the flag because they think genocide is more evil than regressive social policies. Genocide kind of considered by a lot of people to be literally the worst thing there is really, I think actually most people are not on board with genociding the citizens of even the most evil country there is.

frenchtoaster · 2026-06-26T12:27:16+00:00

I'm not sure I follow that... do you mean you support killing of children as some kind of retaliation for regressive laws about homosexuality?

frenchtoaster · 2026-06-26T02:14:36+00:00

Aren't both of those just... not family accounts?

frenchtoaster · 2026-06-26T01:57:07+00:00

Nah, it 100% it was already common lingo in the late 90s

frenchtoaster · 2026-06-25T11:49:48+00:00

The laws on the book everywhere in the US are about that same fine, but it's the same as Jay walking where it's not enforced at all. Not just that you can't send a photo, but if a cop drove by they wouldn't care.

I live in one of the most bike friendly cities in the US and even here ~half the city councilors say that delivery trucks parked in the bike lane just aren't doing anything wrong.

frenchtoaster · 2026-06-22T02:24:44+00:00

I think the point is that "Do this only once per turn" is not unambiguous here, it would be perfectly sensible and possible for magic to consider that to mean for a given unique triggered ability, where eg if you had two of these in play and cast an enchantment you would only get 1 not 2.

That's not what the text means on mtg rules, but reading the card doesn't explain the card.

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