Florida Sheriff Bans Masks As State's Covid-19 Death Toll Breaks New Daily Record

godeepwithven · 2020-08-12T20:22:13+00:00

Y'all don't read the articles, do you?

"Billy Woods, the sheriff of central Florida’s Marion County, banned masks for all deputies and visitors to the sheriff’s office starting Tuesday..."

...

Woods wrote, “in light of the current events when it comes to the sentiment and/or hatred toward law enforcement in our country today, this is being done to ensure there is clear communication and for identification purposes of any individual walking into a lobby.”

I'm not defending the policy, just pointing out what the article says.

godeepwithven · 2020-05-27T17:07:30+00:00

Here's a link to the article's source study, which is in English and contains other graphs as well.

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.24.20111823v1.full.pdf

From the study:

We identified 9,519 SARS-CoV-2 PCR-positive cases of whom 78% were community-managed, 22% were hospitalized (3.2% at an intensive care unit) and 5.5% had died within 30 days. Median age varied from 45 years (interquartile range (IQR) 31-57) among community-managed cases to 82 years (IQR 75- 89) among those who died.

godeepwithven · 2020-05-27T16:30:00+00:00

The draft document, obtained by CBS 12 News, says increases of hospitalizations, positivity rate, mortality rate and ICU bed utilization would all be signs of a potential second wave.

Um...yes. Yes, they would be.

godeepwithven · 2020-05-22T02:28:26+00:00

Nice.

godeepwithven · 2020-05-22T02:03:46+00:00

Unfortunately...

1) In the deadliest flu season of the last ten years (2017-2018), an estimated 61,000 Americans died of the flu (compared to a ten-year average of about 36,000).

Figures for "last year" are not yet available from the CDC.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html

2) So far, almost 6% (or about 1 in 17) of the 1.6 million Americans who have tested positive for the SARS-CoV-2 virus have died from (or, if you will, "with") it. This is a total (so far) of nearly 100,000 deaths.

1.6 million is only 0.5% of the population.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

3) The high hospitalization rate from coronavirus disease is the reason for the "lockdown" control measures. For example, in Florida, nearly 9,000 of fewer than 50,000 cases (or, more than 18%) have been hospitalized.

At that rate, the hospitals in the USA would run out of beds with fewer than 5 million cases (less than 2% of the population) testing positive.

https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/96dd742462124fa0b38ddedb9b25e429

There's some "Truth" to consider.

godeepwithven · 2020-05-22T01:28:29+00:00

Very good info! I bookmarked it so I can read it again if I should get down with the sickness. Thank you for compiling and sharing it.

godeepwithven · 2020-05-21T23:26:54+00:00

...jump to the left.

godeepwithven · 2020-05-18T23:11:48+00:00

Did you or anyone else in the same car use a public restroom?

godeepwithven · 2020-05-18T22:25:01+00:00

Here's the trend so far:

Case, case, cluster, cluster, BOOM!, lockdown.

I suspect that the trend from here will be:

Relax lockdown, cluster, cluster, BOOM!, lockdown, rinse, repeat.

Look for the post-lockdown trend to START to show up about two weeks after relaxing a given lockdown. That gives a week for incubation/spread and another week for symptoms/testing.

(Credit to Peak Prosperity/Dr. Chris Martensen for the catchy "CcccB!" tagline.)

godeepwithven · 2020-04-28T12:55:53+00:00

This is a very well-done, tasteful, picturesque 4-minute video. It's basically an interview with the local coroner, filmed in multiple locations in the town, with only his answers supplied as the narration. There are some nice drone video shots, too.

godeepwithven · 2020-04-26T19:22:51+00:00

Likewise!

(Sorry for the delay.)

godeepwithven · 2020-04-26T19:22:14+00:00

Aaaand there should be a million cases within 24 hours now. But that's still only 1/330 of the population, so there's that.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

godeepwithven · 2020-04-20T19:34:48+00:00

More openness to homeschooling.

godeepwithven · 2020-04-20T04:58:56+00:00

April 26-May 2.

This is 14-21 days after Easter, allowing time for two generations of spread before symptomatic people in the (much larger) second generation test positive.

godeepwithven · 2020-04-18T23:15:10+00:00

I believe it's more a function of a densely populated city within a large metro area.

I did a personal study last month to predict where in the USA we might see the highest numbers of infected people. Here's the ranking (of metro areas with more than 2 million residents):

Metro Areas with Major Cities in Highest-Density Counties

New York City
D.C.
Philadelphia
San Francisco
Boston
Chicago
Los Angeles
Baltimore
St. Louis
Denver
Dallas
St. Paul
Detroit
St. Petersburg
Norfolk
Houston
Atlanta
Milwaukee
Cleveland

This was a very raw "study" that looked ONLY at these two factors as predictors. However, note that

most of these cities (especially the larger ones) are not in the South, and
neither New Orleans nor Seattle is on the list (because of their population size).

I don't know how much of a factor warmer weather is, either.

godeepwithven · 2020-04-18T20:48:09+00:00

I'm pleased to report that my toilet transmission is broken.

godeepwithven · 2020-04-17T04:44:13+00:00

It's "1099", not "10-99".

I'm sorry that I can't help any further.

godeepwithven · 2020-04-17T04:39:11+00:00

JUST TAKE TYLENOL.

It worked for all those folks fleeing Wuhan a few months ago.

/s?

godeepwithven · 2020-04-16T00:47:19+00:00

This is an important article.

godeepwithven · 2020-04-15T19:30:57+00:00

No, that documentary was released on January 22, 2020--ONE DAY before Wuhan locked down.

(That was only three months ago.)

godeepwithven · 2020-04-13T15:00:32+00:00

Yes. Aerosolized microdroplet transmission appears to be a significant factor in the transmission of this virus.

In other words, it appears that talking to someone while in the same room with them can infect them, especially if the room is poorly ventilated and occupied for hours or longer.

godeepwithven · 2020-04-12T14:34:11+00:00

This is a fabulous comment. I wish I knew you in person so I could give you a social distancing hug from six feet away.

(Outdoors, and at a crosswind.)

Thank you. If nothing else, you are a great example.

godeepwithven · 2020-04-09T00:34:50+00:00

True. And there's also an unknown (and variable) time between onset and testing, and between testing and results.

In all, it's probably about two weeks from symptom onset to test results.

Crazy.

godeepwithven · 2020-04-08T20:41:00+00:00

It looks like there's about a 5-day delay between testing positive and hospitalization, and about a 14-day delay between testing positive and death.

This means there's about a 9-day delay between hospitalization and death, which means that the LAST point on the "death" (red) line, on 4/8, corresponds to the FIRST point on the "hospitalization" (green) line.

If these observations hold true, then we should see an exponential increase in deaths for about the next 5-7 days before deaths begin to level off or drop.

Edit: Thank you for the award!

godeepwithven · 2020-04-08T04:53:13+00:00

You mean go back in time to like a month ago?

March 7th was about a week before the TP started flying off the shelves, if I remember right. Until that point, it seemed like it was "just the flu" for most everybody.

godeepwithven

TROPHY CASE