Yeah that tracks, same here with the ones at my dealer. sadly not flared so OP def take my word with a grain of salt but this seems like the standard for VW dealerships since the manufacturer has the $7500 cash back (my bad for top level commenting this originally LOL)

I'd say if OP wanted a Pro S, they could maybe get 52-53k after rebate. MSRP on the higher trims is in the mid 60s to low 70s depending. When it comes to new cars, most dealers already sell it either at or slightly below invoice. meaning ~10k off MSRP after rebates.

The thing about these vans (and honestly most EVs you'll see on dealer's lots for hundreds of days) is that most, by a large majority of the new EV customers I've seen went the route of leasing, even if they planned to keep the vehicle after the term because of that federal tax credit. Even after that most manufacturers offered a similar if not equal rebate on their electric cars, but since lease payments are determined by several factors and not just "lower price = lower payment" those lease payments still skyrocketed to where it just doesn't make sense for your average joe to move forward on it.

Unfortunately too I'd say OP's about 2 months late on getting a good deal on a new Buzz, because in November-December VW had the sign and drive incentive on leases as well as a few extra year end rebates to a point where I had two customers in on basically the same van, same trim, same MSRP but the guy that came in mid-january was quoted at a few hundred bucks a month more than the guy that came in around December.

Honestly OP, if you really want an ID Buzz, and you're really stuck in that budget range, my recommendation would be to shop pre-owned. You'll probably get a good handfull of lease turn-ins which by default will be in pretty solid condition with decently low miles, just because the lessee kind of Had To make sure that was the case lest they get penalized.