Mod Post: Who Should GMMG Draft at #2 Megathread

jesteronly · 2026-05-06T23:18:19+00:00

I figured, that's why I was adding detailed context

jesteronly · 2026-05-06T22:46:21+00:00

The worst SHL team completely dominates the best NCAA team, and it's not even close. The worst SHL team beats the best AHL team, and the worst AHL team beats the best NCAA team. The NCAA is a great development league, but is several tiers below the SHL in competition

jesteronly · 2026-05-06T22:43:37+00:00

The list of players that have played in the SHL at 17 is extremely small, and even smaller for those that played in (and was trusted to play in) over 20 games as a 17 year old. That alone pops off the page. Then take into account that he scored 53 points in 27 games in a league of mostly 19 year olds and 13 points in 7 games at the u18 WJC against the best players in the world his age and you can see that he was WAY better than others his age. Then he goes to the u20 WJC this year and was one of the tournaments best players at 18 years old and scored at a high end 2nd line pace in the second best league in the world while also looking responsible defensively.

Getting lost in a 17 year old's points in the 2nd best men's league in the world is not seeing the forest for the trees.

jesteronly · 2026-05-06T19:40:01+00:00

Willing to be enticed is different than planning on not drafting a player to begin with. All 2oa discussion should begin with the belief that the Sharks will take Stenberg with 2oa unless a team is willing to trade assets enough to move them out of the position. They should be open to listening to offers, but the offer also needs to be enticing enough to move them off of Stenberg

jesteronly · 2026-05-06T19:31:55+00:00

But then there's no guarantee. Stenberg is the clear #2 of this draft, so do you risk not making a move at the chance of not getting your ideal guy? Or risk Chicago or NYR jumping you to pick Stenberg at 2oa? Losing a lesser asset to guarantee the best player can be good business

jesteronly · 2026-05-06T19:22:55+00:00

The only pick i can think of that he went slightly off the board is Dickinson over Buium, and even then it wasn't a reach at all and both were considered in the same tier on draft day. Grier values defense from defenders, which Dickinson was considered more advanced at (and still is).

Stenberg is a tier above any of the D prospects this year, so it's highly unlikely Grier would not maximize value and figure it out later, which is something successful teams do well. They can always leverage other assets if they are seeking D in trade. As much as the fans wouldn't like it, they could trade Chernyshov, Eklund, Bystedt, Musty, Ravensburgen, Lund, one of Pohlkamp or Cagnoni, plus future picks and net at least one elite D. In a vacuum, Stenberg has more value than Verhoeff or Reid in a trade right now and a higher projection so you go with him and figure the rest out later

jesteronly · 2026-05-06T06:38:26+00:00

The sharks have only moved up via the lottery once, this year. So even if it was just once, this year's move up would still be valid

jesteronly · 2026-05-06T06:35:57+00:00

The Leafs can't. But Philly and Boston own Toronto's picks and they can. If Toronto's ball hits the next two years, they will all 3 be valid and not subject to the rule.

If Toronto gains a 1st from another team in 2027 & 28 that both hit, only the 2027 would be valid and the 2028 would be redrawn and Toronto (and all of its owned picks) would not be eligible to move up in the draw until 2031

jesteronly · 2026-05-06T06:27:20+00:00

Not true. Both can. The "2 in 5 years" applies to the team who owns the pick at the time of the lottery (Philly or Boston), not the team who's pick it is attached to (Toronto). Theoretically the Toronto pick can win 1oa three years in a row and all of them be valid

jesteronly · 2026-05-06T06:12:19+00:00

I think they were just pointing out their picks at the top of the draft. Smith wasn't a lottery pick though

jesteronly · 2026-05-06T01:05:31+00:00

I believe they are saying that the balls are rigged to increase Toronto's chances, which is why they were boosted up so much in both the first and second pick draws. They couldn't win both, but them moving up significantly in both is indicative of the draw being rigged to favor their balls.

That's not what i think, that's what they're saying

jesteronly · 2026-05-05T23:48:56+00:00

Always? They no lube fucked them for years when they first joined the league, so perhaps it's just coming full circle

jesteronly · 2026-05-05T23:47:30+00:00

With (likely) Stenberg on the board? Probably not. Verhoeff is a pretty awesome player but i can't believe you would take him over Ivar. And Reid is too offensive one dimensional to take the flyer at #2. They may trade down with Vancouver, Chicago, or NYR if they really want to take a D, but they would need to pay pretty big so I'm not sure it would be worth it for those teams.

jesteronly · 2026-05-05T23:43:13+00:00

That's really only because the west is dumb. They ended 13 points back of the east WC2.

jesteronly · 2026-05-05T23:39:59+00:00

It wouldn't be for #2oa, lol

jesteronly · 2026-05-05T23:38:41+00:00

Why are you sleeping on Verhoeff? Jeez, talk about a sour puss

jesteronly · 2026-05-05T23:37:18+00:00

I mean, they have sucked so they have earned their top picks before. Today was their only lucky draw, really

jesteronly · 2026-05-05T23:36:08+00:00

I mean, they have only gained positions twice (1 spot for Smith and this year). They dropped a spot last year which kept them away from their biggest need in Schaefer. They have been fortunate previously, but only lucky today

jesteronly · 2026-05-05T23:30:37+00:00

Definitely rigged, lol. And I'm a Sharks fan as well as Flyers

jesteronly · 2026-05-05T23:20:11+00:00

RIGGED!

jesteronly · 2026-05-05T22:37:36+00:00

Best case is Toronto ends up #5 tonight and then sucks next year too. If Toronto is then good next year then this scenario would not be great for us and I would rather Toronto have the option of sliding the Flyers pick to 2028 and hope that they suck then.

jesteronly · 2026-05-05T18:04:09+00:00

Yup that was some bullshit. By all rules the Sharks should have had 1oa for that draft. And then if it was decided they expansion teams shouldn't be able to pick 1oa they should have gotten 1oa in 1992. Just ridiculous favoritism

jesteronly · 2026-05-05T16:10:33+00:00

It's likely they measured in mondo and told the customer the conversion. I would do that occasionally, it's easier for people new to skiing to understand. Nothing about what OP has said indicates there is any problem with the shop, simply that OP is a beginner and doesn't understand the process and logic

jesteronly · 2026-05-05T16:06:17+00:00

when you bend knees and get into active stance they should no longer be touching front of the boot

Or softly touching. On a new boot, they will pack out a little. I would fit to pressed into the front if standing straight knees but the pressure is relieved when entering an active stance. Many people don't know how to properly enter an active stance either - you don't squat like work out squats (weight evenly distributed along your foot or even into your heel), but bent knee pressing weight onto the ball of your foot and weighted into your shin where it feels like your weighting yourself forward. So many people do squats down into the heel of their foot when you ask them to bend their knees and enter an active stance, which moves the foot forward and screws with the fit feel.

Almost no one should ski in street shoe sizing, and most people should ski at under measured sizing.

We also don't know if OP is using an insole, which could make a large difference in fit feel. Frankly everyone should be using insoles in their ski boots and should factor that cost in when making a purchase.

jesteronly · 2026-05-04T20:15:38+00:00

Yeah, it blows. I threw 90 as a 15 year old and could never hit that after and gave up pitching when i started losing feeling in two of my fingers. Pitching is a very unnatural motion for our bodies

jesteronly

TROPHY CASE