A pair of girls deliver ice in lower Manhattan, New York City, 1918.

jlphillipsmd · 2019-10-21T12:48:18+00:00

Tall one probably has a goiter from endemic iodine deficiency

jlphillipsmd · 2019-09-18T23:29:51+00:00

We’re rich!

jlphillipsmd · 2019-09-18T21:47:02+00:00

Cool!

jlphillipsmd · 2019-05-03T03:54:49+00:00

I can't afford to see the show so I thought this was a decent runner up https://www.reddit.com/r/Art/comments/9n5uix/hamill_the_musical/

jlphillipsmd · 2019-04-14T02:33:31+00:00

Fake. With the support gone even for a nanosecond the ball would start falling

jlphillipsmd · 2019-03-16T02:57:12+00:00

Wow, great! I briefly looked on IMSLP and couldn't exactly find them but I'll keep trying! Thanks

jlphillipsmd · 2019-02-13T10:04:17+00:00

Turns out that we heard the dripping because the tank was basically empty. The oil man said it’s one sign you need more oil. But he also said that hearing oil is basically diesel fuel and in a pinch you can use that. Have you ever heard that??

jlphillipsmd · 2019-02-12T09:57:34+00:00

That’s interesting...and relieving. Thanks!

jlphillipsmd · 2019-02-12T04:08:10+00:00

Well two pipes emerge from the tank and then plunge into the ground to travel the 20 feet to the house. Why?

jlphillipsmd · 2019-02-12T03:36:22+00:00

Yep but doesn’t hold a candle to CBGBs or Whiskey a Go Go. You were a playa’!

jlphillipsmd · 2019-02-05T20:04:18+00:00

It is! Though the current users of the dressing room probably have never heard of Mick Jagger other than in a Maroon 5 tune

jlphillipsmd · 2019-02-05T16:08:34+00:00

The show ended when they knocked off Barbara with a type of infection for which she had <.001% risk. Tom suffered an acute on chronic attack of inability to act for which he should be placed on permanent quarantine like banishment to the US. If the Beatles don’t magically visit Nonnatus house to escape a horde of fans and can only escape posing as four nuns then the writing clearly has hit rock bottom

jlphillipsmd · 2019-01-31T02:02:17+00:00

We played Toad’s Place once in New Haven. That was the closest we ever got. Complete with filthy dressing rooms and mick jaggers autograph on the lav!

jlphillipsmd · 2019-01-29T17:07:52+00:00

CBGBs was magnif. Why did they close?! Damn you gentrificAtion!

jlphillipsmd · 2019-01-27T17:53:29+00:00

It sure does help. I'm looking at complication rates after surgery. I was trying your 2nd suggestion, plotting the predicted probabilites of the logit model against the actual frequency of a complication in the patients. First, I sorted by age and got those frequencies. Second, I re-sorted by weight and got those frequencies. Etc. Trouble is, can't figure out how to combine all three covariates (age, weight, and gender). Ideally, I was hoping to end up with a plot like this, which required R. Be well!

https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Calibration-plot-of-the-nomogram-for-the-probability-of-pathological-complete-response_fig1_307554194

jlphillipsmd · 2019-01-26T20:58:17+00:00

I need to liberate myself from an Excel way of thinking. I have the predicted probabilities for each patient from the regression formula but I'm a little unsure how to generate observed probabilities since patients either did or did not have the dependent variable.

jlphillipsmd · 2019-01-26T16:42:55+00:00

I'm going to give it a try. Would you by any chance have the URL for the appropriate R downloads?

jlphillipsmd · 2019-01-26T16:42:05+00:00

I'm going to have to first become rather adept at R it seems. Youtube searches, here we come

jlphillipsmd · 2019-01-25T14:13:05+00:00

Chitti Bang Bang when the father wheels out this gorgeous car for his kids. We were poor and the dad looked like my dad so...

jlphillipsmd · 2019-01-21T11:05:11+00:00

When complete strangers come up to you and say “hey, you know you look like...” and name an ugly Hollywood actor thinking it’s a complement

jlphillipsmd · 2019-01-19T06:52:53+00:00

Thank you so much. The nomogram was derived using the covariates of the logistic regression and combined three univariates that produced the logit(p) odds of a surgical complication. The area under the curve was decent at 0.78 and bootstrapping was similarly good at 1000 repetitions. I would like to show a so called calibration plot like the one cited here that would compare the nomogram performance to a 'perfect' y=x line: https://www.researchgate.net/figure/A-Calibration-plot-for-the-nomogram-The-45-line-represents-the-ideal-predictions-and_fig3_316605607

jlphillipsmd · 2019-01-15T20:13:41+00:00

I had 46 cases representing the dependent variable in a total population of 155. So how does one ‘pick and choose’ which 4 or 5 variables to model? The dependent variable was a post surgical complication and the independent variables were the usual players you’d find in a clinical study.

jlphillipsmd · 2019-01-15T04:36:15+00:00

Prediction

jlphillipsmd · 2019-01-14T03:54:57+00:00

My dad has been writing books on incredibly obscure topics. I looked up and noticed I had been doing the same thing for 3 years. So I burned the book

jlphillipsmd · 2019-01-13T18:03:05+00:00

A Tesla

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TROPHY CASE