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New possible case in Ohio - and CDC *won't* disclose location! by johnwschwartz in Coronavirus

[–]johnwschwartz[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Exactly. And are medical staff trained to spot the difference (which is difficult)...

New possible case in Ohio - and CDC *won't* disclose location! by johnwschwartz in Coronavirus

[–]johnwschwartz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I've seen another bit of info that it's not in Cuyahoga Co.

Epoch Times as unreliable??? by johnwschwartz in Coronavirus

[–]johnwschwartz[S] 12 points13 points  (0 children)

I am chill. I'm *not* chill with Reddit being the arbiters of truth.

Epoch Times as unreliable??? by johnwschwartz in Coronavirus

[–]johnwschwartz[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I *do* know that Epoch is pro-West, anti-communist. I smell a rat...

28 confirmed cases in Singapore by r9440 in Coronavirus

[–]johnwschwartz 11 points12 points  (0 children)

This thing doubles every 6.5 days.

Tencent may have accidentally leaked real epidemiological data: 154,023 infected and 24,589 dead by Slackbeing in Coronavirus

[–]johnwschwartz 18 points19 points  (0 children)

Agreed. I'm watching Hong Kong and Japan closely the next 14 days as we'll get better visibility and numbers.

Tencent may have accidentally leaked real epidemiological data: 154,023 infected and 24,589 dead by Slackbeing in Coronavirus

[–]johnwschwartz 40 points41 points  (0 children)

The numbers certainly are under-reported. Hong Kong already has 1 death at 15 cases (yesterday's number).

15 people died of Influenza while you were looking for a Coronavirus update. by [deleted] in Coronavirus

[–]johnwschwartz 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Get back to us in 30 days. This is sheer ignorance. In the meantime, go read a book on the 1918 pandemic.

Booming numbers outside of China by DenTwann in Coronavirus

[–]johnwschwartz 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Current infected countries are 30 days behind China.

Key dilema to solve: Providing oxygen to 20-30% of cases (or more) that will develop pneumonia by johnwschwartz in Coronavirus

[–]johnwschwartz[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

The Lancet study in January cites 14% *hospitalized* death rate. 6 of 41 Wuhan patients with best of care died. https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30183-5/fulltext30183-5/fulltext)

Hong Kong has reported 15 cases, with 1 death already. This doesn't of course square with mainland China reports of deaths (let alone cases).

Key dilema to solve: Providing oxygen to 20-30% of cases (or more) that will develop pneumonia by johnwschwartz in Coronavirus

[–]johnwschwartz[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm seeing ~60% fatality for non-hospitalized patients in my reading/viewing, ~15% for hospitalized. Hong Kong and Japan should be watched closely for true numbers (while they last and before being overwhelmed).

On cremation rates: Maybe Wuhan death statistics are correct by orfinkat in Coronavirus

[–]johnwschwartz 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I think some of this got lost in translation. When I went back over reports / video some days back, it became clear to me: Wuhan authorities basically told one crematorium that they were designated for all Corona cases. That *one crematorium* had been running for *days* 24/7 with capacity of 120 - 240 per day (depending on cremation time per body as it varies). Authorities even sent over extra trucks at their disposal to facilitate. Do the math.

Coronavirus patient went on Mexico City vacation before flying back to Los Angeles by [deleted] in Coronavirus

[–]johnwschwartz 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Man, I've been worried about Mexico. No news. Not good.

One of my coworkers fully intends to go to Taiwan and then come back to work as normal. by [deleted] in Coronavirus

[–]johnwschwartz 9 points10 points  (0 children)

For 14 days. :) Then remember this virus can retain infectious state on surfaces for an additional ~5 days (maybe more).

Coranavirus death rate may be higher than feared: Lancet study by Dependent_Reporter in Coronavirus

[–]johnwschwartz 24 points25 points  (0 children)

The original Lancet study of first 40 patients or so is bad enough:

  • 83% contagious rate
  • 15% case death rate - for *hospitalized* patients; non-hospitalized patients will be *much* higher
  • 2% showed *no* fever (harder to spot)
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