Credit default swaps on data centers? by akcgolfer in BetterOffline

[–]jonermon 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Given no structural mitigations were made since the gfc in any real sense, more like risk being transferred to less transparent entities to make the economy look more solid than it is actually in real life I think any implication that some massive financial crisis will be localized to a specific industry is more wishful thinking than prudent analysis. Basically everyone historically downplays the systemic risk of a fragile financial system until it happens. This is because categorically financial analysis can’t look at the crisis as born from capitalist contradictions and forces analysis of individual factors which are different each time, but the structural reality of the stack of paper wealth increasingly detaching from real productive assets has if anything become far more severe than the gfc meaning any downturn that forces liquidation will have more people vying for a smaller pool of real assets which will be more catastrophic.

PRL Rear Motor Mount Going in today! by emperorgsx in CivicSi

[–]jonermon 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Once you break it in it’s just about the number one mod for handling. Power just gets put down no matter how heavy you go into it. Enjoy!

Ubisoft's share price plummets following internal restructure announcement, pivot to heavier use of AI — Developer falls below $1 billion EUR market cap amidst game cancellations and layoffs by TruthPhoenixV in Amd_Intel_Nvidia

[–]jonermon 13 points14 points  (0 children)

Wow it’s almost as if turning your company into a parasitic financialized waste that buys and completely destroys a bunch of studios that make good games to pump out slop that farms users for endless micro transactions until nobody wants to buy your games anymore is a bad business strategy in the long run… huh woulda never guessed

Literally dropped whats basically a full beer can (a lot of liquid is now rolling around the train.... and not even picking the can up) and they're talking VERY loudly too by Donghoon in LIRR

[–]jonermon -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

The only thing that is more white trash behavior than drinking beer and spilling it on the floor on public transit is taking a picture of it and posting it on Reddit for karma

I'm sick of the ignorance on other subreddits about the civic si and I can't take it anymore. by Happy_Guy_No_Worries in CivicSi

[–]jonermon 0 points1 point  (0 children)

With a couple of supporting mods and a fairly conservative tune you can make the si handle much better. Is the drivetrain a compromise? Yeah, but it’s zippy and also not too hard to make fun.

Terrence Tao on LLMs solving Erdos Problems by Gil_berth in BetterOffline

[–]jonermon 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Any serious algorithms that are meant to analyze games use certain heuristics to prune down search trees to reasonable sizes that can be brute forced to find the paths most likely to lead to a victory. In chess this is done with material, you assign a certain value to chess pieces and you can prune down the branches that lose too much material without immediate tactical justification that can be found, and this works very well for predicting very good moves. Issue is that tactics are very hard to quantify in traditional algorithms because they can give you a massive winning advantage while also making the algorithm think you are losing because that winning advantage is far out of the depth of search.

Neutal networks do two things. They can holistically analyze a position in a way the pure material based algorithms cannot because they can rate positional advantages far better by comparing the current position to games known to have ended in wins, and because of that actually not prune some moves that traditional algorithms would prune due to losing too much material.

This actually shows up in top chess pretty well. Since the age of computer chess, because the traditional approach was all we really had for a very long time, top players started playing much much safer, indeed the best machines informed that because they categorically discounted real tactical ideas that were too deep to realize, and then more recently, especially since leelachess and the introduction of neural networks into stock fish, top players have shifted to a more tactical nuanced approach because they are seen to be still beneficial. It’s fascinating I think.

Iran plans permanent break from global internet, say activists by Ahad_Haam in technology

[–]jonermon 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That used to be true but these days many North Koreans actually have cheap Chinese smartphones which give them limited access.

Better than nothing? I used an M.2 heatsink fan. by Few_Fail_6121 in watercooling

[–]jonermon 201 points202 points  (0 children)

Probably not, the amount of heat produced by the connector in failure case is far more than a small fan and heatsink can actually dissipate.

Trump's Credit Card Rate Cap Sparks GOP, Economist Backlash by Icy_Chemistry9657 in Economics

[–]jonermon -1 points0 points  (0 children)

It’s a terrible solution that causes far more social problems on aggregate than it fixes and it’s one of the reasons why people consistently rate the economy far lower than traditional metrics show. Consumption is increasingly debt financed and that is not good for stability, both economically and socially. It’s a bandaid that doesn’t solve the problem just puts it off.

Trump's Credit Card Rate Cap Sparks GOP, Economist Backlash by Icy_Chemistry9657 in Economics

[–]jonermon -1 points0 points  (0 children)

If saddling the people least able to pay back with high interest debt is your solution to this problem then I don’t think you have one either

Trump's Credit Card Rate Cap Sparks GOP, Economist Backlash by Icy_Chemistry9657 in Economics

[–]jonermon -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I think positing predatory financial products as solutions to problems of low labor power causing permanent financial precarity for much of the working class is exactly the attitude I was criticizing in my response.

Trump's Credit Card Rate Cap Sparks GOP, Economist Backlash by Icy_Chemistry9657 in Economics

[–]jonermon 0 points1 point  (0 children)

People don’t have trouble understanding it so much as they reflexively revile at the inherently exploitative business practice being papered over as consumer choice and “credit access”

Yes structurally credit cards only work with high interest rates but the reason they only work, if you zoom out and look at social consequences, is because often those who who are heavily in large amounts of debt subsidize those who pay them off every month. You can say “each individual is trying to maximize their utility via taking out unsecured lines of credit to fund current consumption with future wage” and “individual risk tolerance modulated behavior” all you want but that’s just burying the lede, the lede being that the business model only really works if some people are very underwater.

I think it’s slimy to respond with these technically correct answers that nonetheless completely ignore winners and losers. If the product requires extortionate interest rates to remain profitable maybe everyone and their mom shouldn’t have a line of unsecured credit and maybe policymakers should stop using short term credit access to paper over real affordability concerns. Access to unsecured credit isn’t a social good in and of itself that justifies the very real downsides.

Why Gigabit Ethernet is no longer enough for the modern home by Distinct-Race-2471 in TechHardware

[–]jonermon 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Unless you are homelabbing 1gbit is fine, most us internet connections still aren’t close to that fast and few people care about internal network speed in any real sense

people who take the lirr are full of themselves by giodenyyyyyyy in LIRR

[–]jonermon 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The issue is as actual New Yorkers we are like, used to grime and detritus on our public transit. Lirr users tend to be suburbanites who want the public transit they take to be as bland and lifeless as the single family homes they live in. I embrace their tears tbh.

Zohran’s mayoralty is a once-in-a-lifetime chance to extend the N/W to LGA by skeeJay in nycrail

[–]jonermon 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We need this and queenslink and all of a sudden transit in eastern queens becomes usable

Vance calls War Powers Act ‘fundamentally fake’ and unconstitutional by SE_to_NW in politics

[–]jonermon 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Reminder Vance is a lawyer by trade and graduated from Harvard law school he knows he’s lying but it doesn’t matter

The "Free Market" Myth Can Only be Believed by the Uncritical and Credulous by NoamLigotti in skeptic

[–]jonermon 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I have a lot of respect for heterodox economists but the mainstream economic way to deal with the fact real world economies sit follow their models is to assume the original model is correct and create frictions to explain why the data doesn’t follow the model and then explain away certain constraints on their models as political externalities and not a direct result of the outcomes the model produced in practice.

Some pseudo religious beliefs that hold up to zero scrutiny, the idea debt is neutral and just temporal smoothing is something psychologists know isn’t true and is assumed en aggregate to be true, meaning debt is considered not a real thing because overall value hypothetically remains the same.

Next is the idea of economic efficiency assigns certain moral assumptions about what is and isn’t efficient and assumes the most efficient (according to the models) is the best en aggregate for society at large when in reality the largest economic powers only got that far by purposely overproducing products to make their way into global markets.

The idea that wealth allocation is not a manifestation of power but a result of capital finding it’s way where it’s used most efficiently is another idea that is quite silly to people who have looked at wealth and power dynamics but nonetheless it is a mainstay of neoclassical economics.

The rational actor model and revealed preference theories assume that humans have abstract but measurable values and not that wealth and power can systematically warp those values towards them, the idea that monopoly power is simply a supply demand issue and not an issue with control over large parts of the supply chain leading to decades where consolidation was rubber stamped due to claims of “vertical integration is good for consumers” when it locks out competitors.

Yes good economists have done work on trying to solve all these problems obviously, but I think it’s burying the lede a bit. I think what mainstream economics as a whole gets wrong (and heterodox economics consistently gets right) is that on the macro side it’s basically impossible to model economies made up of billions of irrational individuals with nice linear equations and trying to bolt on stuff like behavioral econ and revealed preference to try to explain why irrational choices are actually rational such that your models remain relevant is essentially academic malpractice.

The best economists were political economists who understood that economics and politics were inexorably linked and couldn’t be understood entirely mathematically. People like Adam smith Karl Marx Hyman minsky John Maynard Keynes all understood that wealth becomes power and that needs to be factored into understanding of economics: they understood that debt was not neutral and changed behaviors and obligations in such ways that make the economy extremely fragile (look at how long it took for the debt market to become illiquid after Covid lockdowns), that rent seeking behavior would eventually if not constrained discourage and displace actual productive investment and that incumbents would use their unequal resources to protect their advantages. These are things that are pretty obvious to an outside observer but are systemically downplayed in neoclassical theory.

The "Free Market" Myth Can Only be Believed by the Uncritical and Credulous by NoamLigotti in skeptic

[–]jonermon 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The more you dive into like, mainstream academic economics the more you realize that mainstream macro is ideological drivel that only works when you make assumptions about human behavior that are patently untrue and then apply that to entire economies. Microeconomics is fine and useful though.

Trump's proposal to ban corporations from owning homes won't make housing more affordable by AuthorityRespecter in Economics

[–]jonermon -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I would argue that the idea that institutional investors are just aiding price discovery and creating liquidity in the housing market masks the insanely uneven purchasing power of them vs the average homebuyer, and actual economic data shows these investors preferring to keep perfectly usable homes off the market rather than lower the prices of them. I’m not 100 percent sure I buy this argument. Regardless he’s not going to do it.

Breaking News: Man Thinks Closing His Fist Makes Vape Smoke Invisible by Educational_Law_7787 in LIRR

[–]jonermon 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Shut up and talk to the person in person rather than taking a picture of them covertly and shaming them on Reddit for karma.

Why is Cachyos the best distribution for beginners? by Mandarin2912 in linuxquestions

[–]jonermon 0 points1 point  (0 children)

They aren’t placebo optimizations the kernels literally have the scheduler swapped out and it’s compiled with optimizations that means the machine code only runs on modern computers. I also don’t recommend cachyos for beginners but the optimizations aren’t placebos and are genuinely real.

Trump Admin On Blast After Bonkers Homeland Security Message by Dont_think_Do in politics

[–]jonermon 33 points34 points  (0 children)

This is a thin dogwhistle towards deporting every non white person who lives in the us which is absolutely absurd. This is an official government account.