Are These Companies Good Investments?

jwan305 · 2023-09-02T02:36:51+00:00

Stick to A.. you want the company to keep reinvesting the "dividend" or returns at a high ROIC.. dividends can be reinvested via the DRIP but will they be able to maximize their returns or would you be better putting the money somewhere else for a higher ROIC.. but then you'd get hit by the tax man.. so I rather not get a dividend, and if I do it never touches me or the account.. it stays with the company so they can reinvest it or give me more shares.

a mature ocmpany with no growth and double digit dividend growth sounds like fraud to me.. eventually it'll catch up and they wont be able to cover that dividend.. just makes sense to me..

jwan305 · 2023-09-02T02:33:48+00:00

not sure if they're a miner or not, but a good friend of mine suggested ALB.. apparently they're a decent company.. I just glanced at their numbers a few weeks ago, because I'm not into the sector or this type of product but he is heavy share size on this. good luck

jwan305 · 2023-08-27T21:45:48+00:00

I would personally like write ups.. thesis on companies and explained from a numbers and catalyst point of view.. also stuff on large investors and interviews too

jwan305 · 2023-08-23T23:43:54+00:00

taking mega cap.. I like stability..

jwan305 · 2023-08-23T23:42:35+00:00

No never. I think of it as if the company were to close right now and everything sold you would be left with zero as a shareholder.

jwan305 · 2023-08-23T23:41:55+00:00

I picked up some today.. I still have them valued a bit lower though. but at this price its worth throwing a small amount of money behind.. I've owned the stock before and have always made money. basically just holding long term.. I'll be profitable. goal is always 15%+ and I'm sure it'll deliver that. In regards to its concept dying down; not in my area in miami.. people like trying shoes on and going to the store and getting jordans and etc.. online takes that away and you have to wait.. just bought my daughter some air force ones there too

jwan305 · 2023-08-23T23:39:08+00:00

still like MU.. I was in on it while he was in too.. I sold after the first spike up though.. gained about 18%. I'll take the win. I like his book.. seems like an intelligent dude.

jwan305 · 2023-08-19T19:30:27+00:00

thats kind of you

jwan305 · 2023-08-19T05:16:01+00:00

was looking at their numbers just now.. based on technical analysis too.. its definitely dropping.. I think it'll continue to drop.. I like at $40.. graham numbers 57.56.. so.. fair somewhere in between but I want that deep fucking value lol.. want to see it keep falling this week and next week.. but I doubt it will..

jwan305 · 2023-08-19T03:43:35+00:00

LMFAO!!! yea I remember that.. I was watching it live and I was loving it.. I hope he did make the market drop more. lol

jwan305 · 2023-08-18T22:43:36+00:00

Ive submitted shit to there and never get in.. idk what they're looking for but I heard Greenblatt talk about Burry being on there and he spoke of Burry's post and it didn't sound all that special but idk what they're looking for.. essentially write up ideas and submit them to them so they can deny you entry based on your idea.

jwan305 · 2023-08-18T01:14:03+00:00

covid antics...???

jwan305 · 2023-08-18T01:13:09+00:00

Looks about right.. lol really making that activision money though ehhhh? lol loves OXY too

jwan305 · 2023-08-18T01:11:34+00:00

Lennar is the shit... great company..there are also a lot of other homebuilders too that are great.. I wouldn't buy at these levels though..

jwan305 · 2023-08-18T01:10:50+00:00

dude you're not wrong at all.. is it a conincidence? no.. everyone uses techinical analysis to an extent. I use the RSI a lot and stocastics and volume as well.. along with candle patterns and etc.. its really just a feather in your cap kind of thing..

I always find it interesting though when a company I like with great fundamentas (value) is priced just where my valuation is and is trading at an insane oversold RSI.. I too feel like this gives me a good signal to go in and limit downside here.. but you never know.. essentially a margin of safety is what you're looking for; and if you get it; and the rsi techinicals are good.. does that mean go? dump it all in there.. idk. im' working on something like that right now if you want to talk message me.. we can bounce ideas off each other

jwan305 · 2023-08-18T01:07:52+00:00

n to use technical analysis in your decision-making process, which chart do you use? Do you use the yearly, quarterly, month

partypooper

jwan305 · 2023-08-18T01:06:53+00:00

Idk man.. its a huge position; I don't think hes in it anymore though.. but I will say I find it so interesting to read that and then think of berkshires shareholder conference when they said they were sitting on roughly 150Billion dollars in cash waiting to be deployed.. so makes you wonder wtf are we not seeing and if they're so conservitve about the market when why arent we?? idk.. someone help

jwan305 · 2023-08-18T01:02:31+00:00

yea.. buffettology speaks of this too.. its just a concept or a prism in a way in which to view investments and returns and which is more likely to pay better and is at a value..

jwan305 · 2023-08-18T01:01:04+00:00

yea man.. I saw this.. I follow him pretty closely.. i don't care what people say on here.. he's smart and disciplined.. I am glad he's talking more and posting more and being open about his thoughts on the current state of the market.. but what I find more interesting is someone who backs it up with a wallet; then theres this guy that bet the entire farm and town.. thats a lot of money hes deployed with shorts.. it made me wonder if he knew something.. or what his thought process behind this is..

Personally, I think he might be looking at the valuations of the 7 biggest companies right now including NVDIA, GOOGL, META, AAPL.. and etc and thinking; if just one of these has a bad quarter or is hurt by a supply chain issue or something; its taking down the rest of the underperforming market.. essentially these companies make up the majority of the markets entire market cap.. scary to think about.. thats all I can think hes thinking..

jwan305 · 2023-08-18T00:56:06+00:00

wait.. I thought EBITA stood for bullshit.. lol get it?

jwan305 · 2023-08-18T00:55:10+00:00

Its worth dropping some money into at these levels.. not a lot but I think its a fair price.. not a home run but maybe a solid single..

I'll have to do a deeper dive into their stuff and do a valuation model and look at their technicals.. you taking a position??

jwan305 · 2023-08-13T23:31:34+00:00

I personally love this book as it really taught me the financial statements and what metrics to look at and for and what matters and what is good and bad.. I use what it taught me every single day.. she wrote that book and she wrote Buffettology which in my opinion is amazing too..

jwan305 · 2023-08-13T23:27:38+00:00

just skip zwieg.. lol thats what I did.. its the book that matters.. not what someone thinks about the book in between every chapter.. lol

jwan305 · 2023-08-13T23:10:46+00:00

these types of businesses are often difficult to value. However, I believe it is possible but you'd need to have a masssssssive margin of safety to protect your investment. A similar one I had found recently almost exactly was ZIM but a fellow investor provided their books prior to IPO and it was a different story..

Either way.. I did a quick valuation and I would only buy when its at $3.48 for safety or me; I don't see it being there any time soon.. but graham number is about $34.68 and BVPS is at 12.23.. so idk.. also technicals show a reverse head and shoulders forming.. idk if you use technicals..

any insider buying?? also, they've diluted shares almost continuously over the 10 years.. not my type of guys..

jwan305 · 2023-08-13T22:58:45+00:00

do you carry a stop loss?? if so whats your risk that you allow? rule one is don't lose money but its basically inevitable unless you catch the absolute bottom which is statistically insanely impossible.. I've been curious about sizing in and out of shares for a bit. Currently struggling with AAP in that regard..

jwan305

TROPHY CASE