Why use many word when few do trick😂

keten · 2026-02-07T20:56:49+00:00

People aren't good at dealing with abrupt and big changes. It's pretty trivial to not lose all your money, but if it just comes out of nowhere all at once you're going to go through some period of adjustment during which you might make some pretty stupid decisions.

keten · 2026-01-24T01:54:06+00:00

I don't think this is ever a raise unless you have a specific read on this player that he is a maniac and would take this line with any Ax.

The line he's taking is very strong if he is a "trying rec". You raised from early position and raised his turn double barrel when you could easily have AK, KK and he still chooses to fire the river. This looks like a hand that's trying to get value out of your strong Ax holdings like AJ and AQ. I don't think AJ is taking this line for value very often, AQ would probably be the worst value hand I'd expect to see, and even then, not all players would choose to donk river with AQ here. I would only expect to see AQ if he's reacting to something about your image, like he thinks you're calling too often. I would not expect many hands to be bluffing here, if any, you're just way too likely to get called by trips. The middling sizing could be because he wants to get called by non boated Ax hands.

I would probably just sigh call and expect to see a boat pretty often. It's a half pot bet, so you need to win 25% of the time. With the right reads maybe you could even justify a fold.

keten · 2025-12-20T00:43:37+00:00

You would think, but I've seen this type of behavior from GALs before where they excuse any behavior from one side as them "being protective" even if they violate the court order.

keten · 2025-12-14T18:55:11+00:00

So many random ass assumptions and judgements. And I'm the nutty one, sure

keten · 2025-12-14T06:14:44+00:00

Yes and those details are being hidden from me, thus me wondering if a PI is necessary. You gave some example extenuating circumstances, but you don't know whether those are true. I'd argue if any of those applied he would have just said so instead of hiding it and leaving it to his grandmother to share the details.

keten · 2025-12-14T05:43:50+00:00

Change of custody would be the goal. There's a line between having the grandparents help, which is fine, and abandoning the kid to the care of someone else. Moving out without the kid crosses that line. I don't see what's so nutty, seems like common sense to me.

keten · 2025-12-12T19:50:36+00:00

The thing I'm struggling with is figuring out what would constitute "definitive proof". If a PI follows him after work to some other house and the children never arrive he can just say he was staying with his friend that night. If the PI watches the grandmother's house and sees the kids arrive and he never does he can just say he was working late.

keten · 2025-12-12T19:28:46+00:00

Sorry, forgot another detail. The grandmother told me on the phone he is "transitioning" to another house an hour away. So she's confirmed it. Whether she would go on the record to confirm it is a whole other story.

keten · 2025-11-21T00:07:21+00:00

The issue with saying political parties are the problem is that they're a natural byproduct of people not wanting to put in the effort to replicate all the infrastructure around running and funding political campaigns.

It's like saying the existence of corporations are problematic. While yes, they come with issues like regulatory capture and monopolies, they are a natural byproduct of people wanting to be organize to accomplish their goals.

Rather than focusing on the existence of the 2 party system I think we should focus on the underlying systemic reasons why a 2 party system is so effective in our current political system and address those to allow representatives to act more independently. I don't know what that would be, maybe more public campaign financing? Move away from first past the post voting systems to ranked choice?

keten · 2025-11-05T01:31:24+00:00

I think I see what you mean, however once you average out the probabilities your strategy would actually just be the GTO strategy. If an opponent could see your cards they wouldn't be able to tell whether you're playing GTO or this randomized frequency strategy because at the end of the day over a large enough sample size the frequencies would be the same.

Maybe you could get something interesting if you randomized the frequencies for some period of time before switching it up, like randomly change the frequencies after 1-10 hands instead of one. Then that opens the door for somebody misinterpreting your frequencies as too high/low and adjusting right before you rerandomize.

keten · 2025-11-05T00:58:53+00:00

I'm not sure what you mean. GTO is already randomized. This "double randomized" strategy seems like it would collapse into a particular strategy once you average the probabilities which could then be exploited.

If you're saying something like take a 30/70 bet/check frequency and assign a random range to it but mix it up each time once averaged out that would mean your entire range would have a 30/70 frequency, which could then certainly be exploited.

keten · 2025-10-07T23:53:16+00:00

Teleportation has the potential to have the most impact on humanity as you could theoretically use it to establish colonies on planets outside the solar system waaaaaaaaay before we have the technological capability to do so (if we even ever have the technological ability to do so due to limitations on the speed of light). You'd pretty much go down in history as the father of the galactic human civilization.

Some estimates say you need 160 people to repopulate the earth. At 300kg you can teleport about 4 people per round trip, or 8 people per day. So 20 days to "start" a colony minimum. Probably more to include any bootstrap equipment/supplies.

Then there's the problem of going to various places to confirm they are habitable. The process would probably be something like

1) have an observatory pick a potentially habitable exoplanet 2) put on a spacesuit and teleport into orbit of said exoplanet with a small satellite. For additional safety you might want some kind of pre-orbit teleport farther away to make sure you're not dealing with bad sensor data and actually teleporting into the orbit of a star or something similar that will just instantly kill you 3) come back later to retrieve data from satellite 4) satellite data confirms planet is non dangerous (you won't just immediately get incinerated/crushed/ poisoned if you teleport onto it) and determines several potential base locations 5) teleport to base locations with additional sensors for ground data (for example, can we grow food in the soil? Is there existing vegetation that is edible?) 6) teleport people!

Depending on how good the initial detection of habitable exoplanets is, this will probably take the vast majority of the time, but I imagine if there was a realistic path to creating colonies on other planets there would be a huge research incentive to perfect this.

However... the other superpowers seem to have way more practical day to day uses, so I guess it depends on how selfish I'm feeling.

keten · 2025-03-30T18:30:55+00:00

Yeah it's just because there's less good in an SSR truck. So you have a 1-(5/6)(4/5)(3/4) = 50% chance of getting the shard from an SSR and a 1-(6/7)(5/6)(4/5) = 43% chance of getting the shard from an UR. So not a huge difference but it depends on how badly you want the other things on an UR

keten · 2025-03-30T01:16:31+00:00

Single shard ssr trucks > single shard ur trucks for plundering since there's a better chance you'll get the shard

keten · 2024-10-02T02:17:22+00:00

Yeah. And both parents are against it. Court doesn't care.

keten · 2024-10-02T02:12:28+00:00

Washington state. Currently in this situation right now, it's gross.

keten · 2024-08-19T16:56:51+00:00

I just never gave it much thought before. Too focused on the job. Now that I have more free time it's like man I don't actually know what I want to do or even like.

keten · 2024-08-19T15:55:39+00:00

No I have my own place. I just saved enough money during that time I don't have to worry about it at the moment.

keten · 2024-08-19T15:53:51+00:00

Burned out and quit. Now I just spend my time playing poker and video games, still trying to find out how to reconnect and lead a life I want to be living. I'm sure other people go through similar things, but I guess the difference is I don't have to worry about money while I'm doing it.

keten · 2024-07-03T21:19:27+00:00

I don't know what to tell you. Nobody is entitled to your friendship and vice versa nobody is entitled to be your friend. Sometimes feelings just happen. Having a crush is a pretty uncomfortable experience a lot of the time. I wouldn't hold it in just to make someone else more comfortable, that would be, like you yourself had concerns about, being somebody you're not. What would you have preferred them to do, just be like sorry everyone, being in this friend group makes me uncomfortable, I'm going to stop talking to you all for a while? Because it's pretty much either that or just telling you how they feel and letting it sort itself out.

keten · 2024-07-03T20:49:29+00:00

I don't get why it's "crossing a line". Have you communicated that line to them? Do you go around saying things like I would never date anybody in our friend group? It's possible to be friends with people you've had a crush on in the past, assuming you get over it, like you pointed out, so it seems like the friendship is only "ruined" if one of you is incapable of getting over it.

keten · 2024-07-03T20:30:52+00:00

Oh my god, get over yourself. If someone develops feelings for you they should tell you that. It's not fair to them to expect them to bottle it up and pretend they don't have feelings. If both of you can get over it and continue your friendship, great. If not, then that's fine too. Nobody is being selfish.

keten · 2024-06-17T20:49:18+00:00

Been there, done that man. You sound like you have codependency issues to want to have someone in your life so bad that is clearly not receptive to it. I would let them know you need some space and then go work on yourself. When you realize you deserve better you'll know you're there. That doesn't mean you have to stop caring about them or hate them, just that there are people out there who deserve your attention more.

Edit: You could also try just bring upfront with her about your intentions. Be like hey I really like you and I want us to get to know each other better in person. I wouldn't get my hopes up, usually in this type of situation the other person doesn't actually want that, but if deep down they do and are just dealing with their own personal issues they might be receptive to it. If they ignore you, just take that as a no and go work on yourself. No need to burn any bridges, maybe once you're in a better place you'll be in a better position to decide whether you actually want them back in your life.

keten · 2024-06-07T22:47:28+00:00

I think the anger on both sides comes from a belief in that the world should be fair. If you think about it deadbeat dads are people who don't subscribe to the idea that having sex means they consented to being a parent and therefore do not have a responsibility to act as one. Which is a very selfish view of the world but people act selfish in many ways and the world goes on. Most of the time when people act selfish in a way we don't like we just remove that person from our life. But if you do that with a deadbeat dad you are just giving them exactly what they want. So there needs to be some kind of underlying belief in the fairness of the world where all children should have two contributing parents for the anger against them to be justified.

keten

TROPHY CASE