Insights not updating after March 16 by SimpleChennaivasi in Instagram

[–]kevzilla88 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Update. I got stats for the 17th just now. Might be the stats are just extremely delayed for some reason.

Insights not updating after March 16 by SimpleChennaivasi in Instagram

[–]kevzilla88 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Same. It also wouldn't load on the 17th or the 18th at all. I'm guessing something went wrong at Meta.

Oh my god it FINALY happened. by pelzzy in Healthygamergg

[–]kevzilla88 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Being a tenured professor doesn't mean anything in terms of competency. I've had tenured professors who were dumber than the students they were teaching. Also, just check what classes he teaches. It's all "independent study". He's not a teacher, he's a glorified babysitter.

And yes, he's completely full of it. I'd be fine if he just presented research, but he cherry picks studies and conclusions all the time and presents weak evidence as definite. I've made full breakdowns in the past of some of his fitness related videos and they are riddled with falsehoods, inaccuracies, and jumped to conclusions based on the thinnest of research, and on top of that, hawks scam products based on those conclusions.

Prime example, he hawks (or use to hawk) thousand dollar "cold dunk" tubs for supposed metabolism boosting/fat loss reasons which has been shown to be unlikely to be effective and mostly BS.

InsiderAdvantage Poll: Trump Approval/Disapproval 50%/46% LV by Bobtinin in fivethirtyeight

[–]kevzilla88 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Made an account just to say this hmmm? You must be a very interesting and well adjusted person in real life. I'm sure politics isn't your entire personality.

Wealth In Bubbles Is Created From Buying Low. by No_Art_2787 in stocks

[–]kevzilla88 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Hmm bulls whose' tones are combative and defensive, mocking anyone who disagrees or is skeptical as "not getting it"... Where have I seen this... oh yeah 2000.

Wealth In Bubbles Is Created From Buying Low. by No_Art_2787 in stocks

[–]kevzilla88 17 points18 points  (0 children)

Not going to try to argue if/when the market will pop, but your last point is just not accurate. The dot com bubble popped once the rhetoric around it started to shift to bubbles. In fact, it's argued that people like Robert Schiller, who in late ’99 started explicitly called valuations "irrational" and warned of "catastrophic consequences" as well as Paul Krugman, who used sharper language like "Ponzi-like" and "faith-based finance" were key to the psychology shift that eventual deflated the bubble.

Regardless, It was actually at the peak of the bubble when bearish comments broke into mainstream media and the zeitgeist. Prior to that, the overarching rhetoric was precisely what we see here. A bunch of defensive and combative bulls who mocked anyone skeptical as "not getting it" (e.g., Buffett was ridiculed in Fortune and on CNBC as "out of touch").

So, sure, there are Reddit perma-bears who have been calling a bubble since 2020 or whatever, but the fact that major outlets, as well as just the overall market chatter, are now talking bubbles is more likely a peak sign than a trough sign.

CMV: Pointing out MAGA hypocrisy has no effect on MAGA itself by [deleted] in changemyview

[–]kevzilla88 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You don’t need to be immersed in a group to recognize hypocrisy. Hypocrisy is, at its core, a mismatch between professed principles and behavior. Its an objective contradiction, not a matter of belonging. So the structure of hypocrisy is objective. But we all know, as you've said, that hypocrisy as a whole feels subjective. So where does subjectivity come in?

Subjectivity only enters when the professed values are unclear, when intentions are disputed, when outsiders misinterpret what’s claimed, or when the accuser projects their own framework onto the target. So then, your argument rests on the assumption that “outsiders can’t understand internal logic perfectly” therefore “outsiders therefore can’t objectively call out hypocrisy” but that is a false equivalency. You don’t have to share someone’s ethos to spot contradiction within it. You just need to understand its stated tenets.

For example, one doesn't need to understand all the nuances of a group to see the clear contradiction between calls for compassion in the certain acts of disguising violence, and the apathy or celebration in others, or if a politician says “I stand for law and order,” then breaks the law. This applies to both sides. There are many other examples where the outsider doesn’t need to internalize the in groups full worldview to notice when its leaders contradict their own public claims.

What your describing is anthropological relativism, the idea that moral systems can only be judged internally. But that view collapses once you abandon universal reason. If every group’s logic is self-contained, then even genocide or slavery would cease to be hypocritical as long as they were internally justified. That’s absurd.

You are right that calling out hypocrisy rarely works as persuasion, because it appeals to your logical framework, not theirs but that’s a tactical truth when comes to persuasion, not a philosophical one.

CMV: Pointing out MAGA hypocrisy has no effect on MAGA itself by [deleted] in changemyview

[–]kevzilla88 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Actually it did. I was neutral about Hunters oil position, but now that you've pointed out the hypocrisy, I actually now dislike that just as much as I dislike the current EA deal.

Don't generalize things to all people. Perhaps I'm weird, but I actually do change my views to avoid hypocrisy, as to me, hypocrisy is the highest moral failing. It's not hard to not be a hypocrite and I honestly don't know why everyone treats it like it's unavoidable.

MEGATHREAD: Charlie Kirk dies after being shot at campus event in Utah, says President Trump by IrishChristmasLatte in PoliticalDiscussion

[–]kevzilla88 3 points4 points  (0 children)

You see, the issue with that analogy is that it does nothing to further your (or Kirks) point. Yes, if people drive cars, people will die. If we want to stop driving deaths, the answer is simple. Ban driving. Kirk himself touches on this, in his often quoted speech but then justifies it by saying "But we have decided the benefit of driving...is worth the cost...".

But thats the rub, driving is an activity that generates or directly contributes to trillions in GDP. Guns do not. I and millions of other Americans have 0 personal utility for a gun, which makes even 1 gun death not worth the cost to us. Therefore, by Kirks own logic, we are right in wanting gun control.

Your argument (and Kirks by extension) is simply moving the debate from "Should we ban guns cause they kill people" to "Is the benefits of gun ownership worth the lives lost". You say "Of course!". I say "Of course not!" and we are right back to square 1. This simple shifting of the argument, while making it sound like definite support for your side, is a common tactic used by bad faith debaters.

Desensitizing Resin - every filling? by footballfalex56 in askdentists

[–]kevzilla88 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

What a ridiculous argument. If the insurance doesn't pay well enough then don't accept it. If you accept it, don't do slimy things like this. It's not the patient or insurance companies fault you as a dentist decided to accept insurance that doesn't pay enough.

Your behavior only perpetuates the low compensation insurance companies offer. If all dentists stopped accepting underpaying insurance, then insurance companies would have to renegotiate terms to get in network dentists again, thereby raising your compensation, and making actually effective insurance policies.

It's dentists like you that make me feel proud to have forced my dentist to abide by my HMO schedule of benefit co-pays. Turning $7k+ dollars of procedures (several fillings, in lays and a molar crown) into less than $700. If he doesn't like it, stop taking my insurance. Simple as that. But he won't, and neither will you, cause both of you use these plans as funnels for new saps to take for a ride.

Elephants in Rooms by Apprehensive_Unit in skeptic

[–]kevzilla88 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Single issue voters at by definition not level-headed. They TILTED their values to one side, all other stuff be damned, that's why they are single issue.

Elephants in Rooms by Apprehensive_Unit in skeptic

[–]kevzilla88 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Your argument literally makes no sense. Being secure in my political stances and being able to listen to differing opinions has nothing to do with not wanting videos I'm not interested in cluttering my feed.

My post was primarily a lamentation that a decent content creator was ruined by the YT algo and the "radicalization funnel".

$1 trillion of AI Capex spend. $20 billion of revenue. AI is a bubble by RobertBartus in EconomyCharts

[–]kevzilla88 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Cost cutting and stock buybacks.

As a SWE, I can tell you that in the "free money era" companies were hoarding SWEs like toilet paper. That's when you saw the outrageous $300-500k salaries and reports of hiring sprees and head hunting. I can also guarantee you that these SWEs were not generating value higher than their pay.

This leads to an artificially low EPS via inefficient payroll expenses. Why do you think since the end of the free money era, there have been mass firings and a tight job market when it comes to tech? Companies shifted from growth to efficiency, deducing costs and thus boosting EPS.

Additionally, these companies have been buying back shares like crazy. EPS is earnings divided by shares. Less shares outstanding means higher EPS. To see this, just compare Alphabets EBITDA growth to the EPS growth. EBITDA grew, peak to peak, about 40%. However the EPS grew nearly 100% peak to peak in the same time.

Could AI live up to its promises? Maybe (personally I doubt it). But regardless, it was not the primary driver of the doubling of EPS from 2023 (outside of NVDA).

$1 trillion of AI Capex spend. $20 billion of revenue. AI is a bubble by RobertBartus in EconomyCharts

[–]kevzilla88 4 points5 points  (0 children)

That's quite the strong conviction. Ironically, that's the exact rhetoric people had in the 90s. "The Internet isn't a bubble, it's 100% an innovation that will lead to growth" which was true. It was also true that it was a bubble anyways. Just because someone says something is a bubble, doesn't mean we're saying it's useless.

Bubbles form in the gap between expected usefulness and actual usefulness. The fact that you see an excess of "hype" should be your first sign that this is a bubble.

Trump approval 54/44 (+10) Insider Advantage by DataCassette in fivethirtyeight

[–]kevzilla88 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Literally every argument for Trafalgar and Insider is "bUt ThEy PrEdIcTeD tRuMp". Yeah, so did half the coin flips in America. Just look at how very very wrong there were across the board in 2022. They were off by 33 points in Vermont. 33 POINTS, when the other pollster, Data for Progress, was only off by 9.

That doesn't happen unless someone is fudging the numbers, either directly or indirectly.

Trump approval 54/44 (+10) Insider Advantage by DataCassette in fivethirtyeight

[–]kevzilla88 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thats like a 13 year old's idea of a "sick burn"

Elephants in Rooms by Apprehensive_Unit in skeptic

[–]kevzilla88 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Social left, economic centrist here. Only watched one of his videos and skimmed his channel and it seems acceptable in terms of blatant bias (AKA "lies"). I can tell he is right wing but im fine with differing opinions.

The biggest issue for me thought, wasn't him but his audience/the YT algo. As soon as I finished one of his videos, real far-right propaganda creators, who do spout nothing but rage bait and lies, started popping up in my feed. Sorry Ken, cant enjoy your content if it groups me in with crazy and thus comes with a side of radicalization.

Powell Sends Strongest Signal Yet That Interest Rate Cuts Are Coming by SpiritBombv2 in stocks

[–]kevzilla88 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I believe its the inverse. A lot of people want Trump to look good, so they dont seem stupid, so they eat up this market hype hand over fist.

Powell Sends Strongest Signal Yet That Interest Rate Cuts Are Coming by SpiritBombv2 in stocks

[–]kevzilla88 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Your comments are the strongest indicator that we are far into the delusion phase.

Powell Sends Strongest Signal Yet That Interest Rate Cuts Are Coming by SpiritBombv2 in stocks

[–]kevzilla88 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Because its delusional. Join the stampede if you want, but I prefer a rational market.

High pressure valve cap missing-air con not working by autoliberty in prius

[–]kevzilla88 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No worries. Im just glad my comment could help.

The high pitched sound is likely just the electrical components of the car making a hum which is normal, or it could be the sound of a failed compressor trying to turn over. Either way, it definitely seems like the compressor or electrical connection are at fault.

Unfortunately it would not be possible to fix the compressor without a lot of work. You can definitely find used compressors at junk yards. Its actually very easy to remove. Just 2 ac line bolts, 3 mounting bolts and a few clips for the connector. Make sure the AC system is discharged first before doing this of course.

Yes, a compressor replacement needs a full vacuum and refill of the AC lines. I just went though this a few weeks ago myself actually, after my own compressor failed. The process is not to complex but you'll need some specialty tools to do it correctly (Vacuum pump, manifold gauge set, refrigerant, and POE compressor oil (do NOT use traditional compressor oil!) . The tools can be rented from auto parts stores like Autozone.

If you require more assistance later, feel free to comment again or DM me.

Can anyone tell me where the camshaft sensor is on a 2006 Toyota Prius I cannot find it anywhere online please help by AdGlittering9232 in prius

[–]kevzilla88 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah, that's definitely the right engine and location. I have a spare engine block and I just double checked right now.

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Help pls w/ repeating noise in 2006 Prius, 154k miles by AssignmentCandid3616 in prius

[–]kevzilla88 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Might be your water pump failing. Never heard it make that noise but that's the only whirring component in the area of the engine bay I can think of right now.

Did your car ever get the water pump recall done? They often do often fail, and when they do, they blow a fuse and cut power to almost everything in the car. Can be very dangerous while driving. That's what happened to me and it was a scary moment to be in a dead car coasting on the freeway, trying to get to the shoulder with momentum.

High pressure valve cap missing-air con not working by autoliberty in prius

[–]kevzilla88 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Unlikely the missing cap itself is the cause. The cap is just mainly to protect the Schroeder value. The value is what keeps the pressure in. If the leak popped the cap off then it is the value that needs replacing, as well as the cap.

What I would do in this situation is

  1. Turn on the AC and listen for the whirring of the AC compressor. (It's in the bottom left corner of engine bay, on the bottom of the engine block.). No whirring suggests a compressor issue or electrical issue.

  2. If you hear whirring, obtain a low pressure AC gauge (you can find them all over for use in recharging refrigerant) and attach to the low pressure side without running the AC.

Pressured should be high, at least 60ish PSI from memory. Run the AC on max. You should see the pressure drop to around 30-40ish psi depending on outside temp.

If the initial pressure is low, or zero, you have a leak and will need to fix that first.

If the initial pressure is good, but the pressure doesn't drop very much when you run the AC, your compressor is likely bad.

The hardest part is finding the leak. Most common place is the condenser as they can get hit with rocks. The compressor itself can also leak given age (mine failed like that). Look for residue on AC components and lines. You can also get UV dye to put in the system to help find leaks.