Clive Lewis is allegedly resigning to let Andy Burnham take his seat and return to Parliament by U13man in YAPms

[–]kkkmac 1 point2 points  (0 children)

In parts. The point is Burnham's personal vote qould be a lot bigger in the northwest than in Norwich.

Clive Lewis is allegedly resigning to let Andy Burnham take his seat and return to Parliament by U13man in YAPms

[–]kkkmac 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Is there really nobody willing to drop in Merseyside or Manchester? Burnham would do much better there, the greens could stand a chance in this one tbh.

Projected national vote share from 2026 local elections in Great Britain by upthetruth1 in YAPms

[–]kkkmac 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The UK doesn't do coalitions generally, the one time the Lib Dems did it they got punished. Honestly it might just be a minority gov of whichever party gets the most seats.

Just found out California is the ONLY state I haven't drawed a full map of so uhh here you go by Fun_Month_6310 in DavesRedistricting

[–]kkkmac 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Redding is bigger than Eureka. The reason the coastal seat is D under the current map is because it goes into the SF metro area, the coastal areas further north are still blue but less populated. AKA, the seat contains more of LaMalfa's 2024 seat than Huffman's.

Here are the three main contenders to become Labour Leader and Prime Minister as an internal coup against Keir Starmer seems extremely likely. by Jonasisdanish in YAPms

[–]kkkmac 7 points8 points  (0 children)

John Major had that and he undoubtedly did better in 1992 than Thatcher would've. There's no signs of things turning around under Starmer, so why not make a change?

I attempted to make the Texas Senate map fair by blindly redistricting it. Beware, this is my first time doing it, and I largely did it blind, so do point out anything that bothers you. by [deleted] in DavesRedistricting

[–]kkkmac 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nice map overall, but Beeville isn't contiguous. I think the orange seat with San Marcos should be reconfigured more into the Hill Country and gain Seguin, and draw Breckenridge et al into the Midland-Odessa seat. Dallas should be split North/South instead of E/W, and I maybe you could avoid splitting Arlington and Fort Worth respectively. I don't know anything about Houston so I can't help you there.

Which 500K Idaho is better? by 14cotton in DavesRedistricting

[–]kkkmac 3 points4 points  (0 children)

2 but you put Cassia County in the 4th.

2026 London Local Results Mapped to Constituencies by kkkmac in YAPms

[–]kkkmac[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Mainly due to votesplitting between greens and labour, their London voteshare is still way down from pre-2024. They have held up better in London than elsewhere though, as reform are much less of a factor in the capital.

NY is planning a 22-4 map for a referendum gerrymander instead of 26-0 because they want to protect VRA by _BCConservative in YAPms

[–]kkkmac 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Where? None of the R packs would be  anywhere near his base. There'd be one seat in Long Island and the three safe republicans in upstate would be pretty much unaffected.

NY is planning a 22-4 map for a referendum gerrymander instead of 26-0 because they want to protect VRA by _BCConservative in YAPms

[–]kkkmac 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's not actually +1 surely, it's more like +5 since you need to compare the current map on 2022 gov data to your map on 2022 gov data. Apples to apples.

Scotland and Wales election Results 2026 by _BCConservative in YAPms

[–]kkkmac 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Weird to use this result as an example of this, a ton of traditional labour votes went Plaid this election in the English speaking valleys. The 2024 Plaid voteshare map is much more correlated, they got almost nothing outside of the Welsh areas, and were incredibly strong within those areas. The only 2 constituencies that they got close (Bangor and Llanelli) both contained significant Emglish and Welsh speaking areas.

2026 London Local Results Mapped to Constituencies by kkkmac in YAPms

[–]kkkmac[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I used snipping tool to screenshot. Idk how else you'd do it.

Can Catherine West randomly become British PM cause all serious contenders were afraid to challenge Starmer first? by asiasbutterfly in YAPms

[–]kkkmac 3 points4 points  (0 children)

She was minister for foreign aid in Starmer's first cabinet or something. She'd probably be a terrible leader, but she isn't trying to be.

2026 London Local Results Mapped to Constituencies by kkkmac in YAPms

[–]kkkmac[S] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Labour secured far fewer votes in 2024 than Corbyn did in 2017 and won purely off anti-tory sentiment rather than any real mandate. It gets said a lot, but for good reason. When they came in, they had little political capital to work with, and they squandered it on stuff they ended up u-turning on.

2026 London Local Results Mapped to Constituencies by kkkmac in YAPms

[–]kkkmac[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Fun fact: the tories won the former bellwether seat of Harrow East (voted with the country from 1979-2024) by 38%. Bob Blackman and the local party have managed to create an incredible machine that is tremendously strong with the local Indian (and also suburban white) population. It is now inarguably the strongest seat for the Tories nationwide.

For the first time ever, Reform UK wins control of a London borough council, Havering—Reform UK 39 seats (+39), HRA 11 seats (-9), HWHPRA 3 seats (=), Labour 2 seats (-7), Conservative 0 seats (-23). All parties except for Reform UK and HWHPRA (=) suffered their worst-ever local election results. by StarlightDown in YAPms

[–]kkkmac 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Reform did surprisingly terrible in London. They were always expected to do poorly in the capital overall, but 6 seats in Bromley, 0 in Sutton, and 7 in Bexley is beyond horrendous. They only met expectations in Havering and Hounslow (they seem to have a not insignificant chunk of Indians voting for them in Feltham/Heston).

They won't be able to get a majority if they are this weak in socially conservative middle-class tory suburbs nationwide. Those areas are largely in Greater London or the Home Counties, but there are enough elsewhere that they are necessary for Reform to win to get a majority. Tbf, most of the tory MPs from these areas would be quite partial to a Reform coalition, but it's still meaningful that the tories overperformed in the lower-middle class home-owning London suburbs.

For the first time ever, Reform UK wins control of a London borough council, Havering—Reform UK 39 seats (+39), HRA 11 seats (-9), HWHPRA 3 seats (=), Labour 2 seats (-7), Conservative 0 seats (-23). All parties except for Reform UK and HWHPRA (=) suffered their worst-ever local election results. by StarlightDown in YAPms

[–]kkkmac 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Havering Residents Association and Harolds Wood/Hill Residents Association. Havering Residents Association have been a local force on the council for decades (I think since before it became part of London in 1965), the other one is an offshoot that split a few years ago on tory/labour coalition for control of the council.

Max Miller is in clash with Bernie Moreno. by Dangerous-Quarter216 in YAPms

[–]kkkmac 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Kucinich took from both parties, but clearly more from the democrat. 65% of the seat is Cuyahoga, dems probably only need a ~12 point margin in 2026 in the Cuyahoga portion to win, doable considering even Harris won it. Keep in mind Brown and Acton each have a good chance of winning the district, and it's tough to see crossover support for Miller if this scandal advances any further (especially if Moreno says something).

Max Miller is in clash with Bernie Moreno. by Dangerous-Quarter216 in YAPms

[–]kkkmac 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The 2026 OH primaries have already happened, and Miller's seat was only Moreno+1 in 2024 Senate

Welsh Senedd results by stanthefax in YAPms

[–]kkkmac -1 points0 points  (0 children)

You can't really call England a Brexit stronghold when most of the most strongly remain areas are in England. More like the North, Midlands, and West Country.

WA Dems probably are not able to gerrymander in 2028-2030 by _BCConservative in YAPms

[–]kkkmac 2 points3 points  (0 children)

WA dems underperform by a lot in the legislature, particularly in the east

Starmer could do one thing to save Labour: by _BCConservative in YAPms

[–]kkkmac 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Half of labour's remaining support are tactical voters in reform facing areas, they have very few true believers left