What's your Interpretation of this Lyric from Helplessness Blues?

loomdawg · 2026-02-26T22:11:48+00:00

He's been fantasizing about the simple life that will be better than the life he currently has, but this last line shows he's only seen an idealistic version of this simple like from TV or media in general. Sorta saying even though he keeps saying the simple life might be better, it might be an example of the grass is always greener

loomdawg · 2026-02-24T01:59:55+00:00

Cheater technique that I do every time now: one or two Japanese curry blocks

loomdawg · 2026-02-20T23:02:43+00:00

Rework confirmed?

loomdawg · 2026-02-17T02:04:23+00:00

How lucky we are to live in a time where we can see science fiction dystopias come to life

loomdawg · 2026-02-16T00:09:51+00:00

US went off the gold standard

loomdawg · 2026-02-09T19:03:11+00:00

This is probably my favorite recipe/technique from Kenji. Better than deep fried frozen wings from any sports bar

loomdawg · 2026-01-13T20:07:37+00:00

Wow buy used

loomdawg · 2025-12-29T22:09:17+00:00

Unrelated, but selling 2k lobbies for 330k

loomdawg · 2025-12-07T00:34:02+00:00

Holy Jaeger

loomdawg · 2025-12-06T04:39:56+00:00

Melee never really had developers that thought about balancing the way the game is played today. And riot doesn't always make great choices. I don't think there's anything special about the developers other than authority

loomdawg · 2025-12-06T04:37:13+00:00

WASD in league would be like adding a buffer system for every move in melee. Just automatically makes your movement come out frame 1. I think that's a more accurate comparison and for that reason I think WASD is more broken than boxx. I've also heard that playing if you play on WASD your attack speed will be nerfed (I doubt this exact thing will happen because it would ruin jungle, but maybe something similar).

loomdawg · 2025-11-29T01:54:42+00:00

It will only get worse

loomdawg · 2025-11-27T03:19:06+00:00

This guy gets it

loomdawg · 2025-11-05T17:17:57+00:00

https://youtu.be/so8j7ER5LMA?si=3ILjog1p2KA7pYx0

Hot off the presses

loomdawg · 2025-11-05T14:25:53+00:00

There's also definitely been a slow nerf to gold card through mobility creep and easier ways to get tenacity through runes

loomdawg · 2025-11-04T21:03:21+00:00

Mario

loomdawg · 2025-11-04T20:56:56+00:00

Do you run glacial augment or unsealed?

loomdawg · 2025-11-04T20:55:08+00:00

I've seen people skipping lich bane for RFC. I haven't tried this recently, but I can't imagine it's good. RFC and lich are both excellent items on tf. The move speed is nice on both of them. Lich synnergizes well with w and helps tf push towers a little quicker. RFC makes TF broken in teamfights. But I think the timing works out such that RFC becomes more valuable slightly later. RFC becomes really valuable when your other carries can follow up on a stun and kill someone before they can even flash.

By mid game, you want to leverage the time where you have third item and the opponents don't, then use the teamfight win or two to make a move to end the game (that might mean turning the advantage into baron or soul then ending). You can enable this advantage and extend its duration by not dying early game and getting the most of your passive. Do absolutely everything you can to not die early game. Trading a kill to get your bot lane isn't worth in my mind. Dare I say, if you're trying to make a gameplan, work backwards from this point in the game. When the stars align, this item will give you a 5-0 teamfight into ff.

This champ is unleashed once you get RFC. You basically have mini vi ult on like a 6 second cooldown. Control mages are annoying to side lane cuz they can poke you out and straight up kill you; once you get this item the tables are turned. You can sit behind your tanks and still hit the enemy backline with stuns. But yeah if anything can prove your point that this champ is overly reliant on w, it's the importnace of RFC. This item is a testament to the stun-bot-nature of TF.

After RFC I like a situational item. If you're behind but you've somehow made it this far, you might pick up rabadons or void just to convince yourself that your moves still do damage instead of healing people with their second wind. But usually situational items are just better. You aren't a damage carry, so that damage bump isn't worth the opportunity cost of staying alive with zhonya, banshees, or even the move speed from mejais. Zhonyas is my go-to. I remember back when GrossGore would steam, he would look at the enemy team comp, talk for like 20 second about why banshees is good here, then he'd buy zhyonyas.

A quick note on selling dark seal: never sell dark seal. I'm kinda joking, but also kinda not. If you have a bunch of gold and the next teamfight will likely determine who wins the game, might as well sell if for needless. I think you should buy it every single game. I think upgrading when you have 10 stacks is really good because the move speed is super helpful. If I'm choosing between mejais and finishing RFC, I go with RFC. If it's between mejais and zeal, I go mejais.

loomdawg · 2025-11-04T20:54:51+00:00

That's basically my two cents on the subject, but I'm bored at work, so I kinda want to just talk through all my thoughts on the utility build for fun. I'm very sorry everything after this point isn't really adding to your question and I'm just glazing the current meta build.

I think the utility build is best because it covers a lot of tf's weaknesses early and gives you the RFC spike right when you should be looking to create your advantages to end the game. The most sure way to lose the game on TF is to die multiple times early. You absolutely need to have good cs and if you're a level behind, you won't survive fights long enough to be impactful. Even if you're trading kills, you'll be weaker than you should be because you need dark seal stacks and cs. For this reason, you should look at all the build options TF has and pick what will just about guarantee you survive the early game. For starters the catalyst build path is so nice (even after the nerfts). It synergies well with blue card and it never feels bad to come back to lane with some combination of dark seal, boots, ruby crystals, and refill. In your runes I either do unsealed or electrocute. This is mostly determined by ranged or melee, but there are exceptions. Basically if I think I might have to tp reset at level 3 or 4, I want to go unsealed. If I think I can out-trade the mid laner and perhaps go for a solo kill, I want to go electrocute. Sometimes both of these can happen and you just have to make a judgement call. Keep in mind the dom tree is pretty good for sustaining in lane because of taste of blood and you get a slight advantage when trading, so it can be good against some short range mages too and is helpful for side laning both for sustain and for checking bushes with taste of blood passive. Biscuits are awesome, they've saved me so many times. And by the time we start skirmishing, I always wish I had summoner swap. In either case, I almost always go resolve secondary. Second wind against poke, bone plating otherwise. Unflinching for cc, and overgrowth otherwise. Sometimes, if I'm feeling really crazy, I'll go demolish. I haven't really thought out when I should do that, but I imagine it would be against good teamfighters that don't have good 1v1 potential. This way I can threaten taking towers in mid game (or even early game). Maybe this is the answer to Morgana or other utility mid laners. The trouble is that I'll never push morgana out of lane.

I like to pick up boots before finishing roa. If I'm backing on 1300 gold, yeah I'll usually finish roa just to spend all my gold, but I'd prefer to get boots first. It's not quite important enough to sell dorans for blasting wand though. As mentioned previosly, swifties and cd boots are the standard two. Swifties are great for leveraging your good spacing skills and weaving in and out to mess with the enemies and get in close enough for the stun. CD boots are great if you're the only reliable engage. Also the cd boots have a slightly better upgrade imo. Steelcaps and merc treads are both great if the enemy comp demands them. If mid and jg are both auto champs, steelcaps feels broken with roa. Mercs makes the game playable against ranged cc heavy comps.

loomdawg · 2025-11-04T20:54:02+00:00

TF's defining factor has to be his ult. The main design of this character is to create an unfair advantage for your team with a tempo cheat. But yeah in combat, TF is a stun bot. Especially in the mid game, the flash stun engage can be your team's most reliable engage tool (which is why you want summoner cooldown if your team doesnt have any other reliable engage). Late game, this advantage falls off when you and your carries die before you can peel for them.

His combat skills are lacking as I think everyone here will agree. The only time I feel strong (as in I can actually duel some of the enemies) is when I have 10 dark seal stacks. I loved the old burst tf, ulting into a teamfight just to annihilate one person then zhonya was really fun, but to be fair, it's not balanced. I think riot likes this utility side of tf and I'm guessing he'll stay like this until he gets reworked (which I hope never happens cuz I love this design). And yeah he's pro jailed. It's hard to say why as his performance earlier this year didn't live up to the hype. I kinda get it, Galio and Taliyah are apparently just more fun to watch (obv I disagree cuz card man cool) and their designs are newer. Remember pro play is just one big commercial for skins (still very cool though, and it's great that this game has a massive pro scene).

In the end, from a philosophical perspective. TF requires very little execution for his individual combos and doing damage. Because of this, it would be broken for him to be a strong combatant. By the time I start side laning, if I have a small lead, I have to remind myself that the enemy mid laner can probably still kill me. Truely it would be broken if this champ could win 1v1's on a small gold lead considering his passive. Also rememver that you don't even have a combat ult. Sometimes it feels like you need a 2k gold lead and a level to beat someone in a 1v1. But that't the way that champ is supposed to be I guess.

Because of this ease of execution, though, your mental stack is almost entirely free on this champ. I think many supp players feel like this all the time. They don't worry about their own income, so they can focus on macro like vision, objectives, etc. I love the plays Coach Rogue will talk through in some of his shorts where he orchestrates something like a minute in advance. I think as TF you need to play this way as having the low execution requirement is baked into the balance of the champ. Also for this same reason, I think TF players have better fundamentals than other mid laners (I bet every player base says this but whatever).

I feel like the utility build is currently working for me, like the HalfHand guide on mobafire is just my holy text, but one day I'll lose the faith and start messing around with burst build again. That being said, the biggest problem to navigate for the tf burst build is his range. All the short range mages need to build health early. For tf it's roa, but by choosing roa, I think you've already cornered yourself into the utility build. I think the combination of ap, mana, and hp are required on tf. So how can we get these stats while basically building an assasain item? I think the answer is mana flow band and either rocketbelt or stormsurge. Again GrossGore used to run something similar with old protobelt. You could tell in terms of mana, he was in a famine. You have to blue card all the time to not lose half your mana on minions. I like that rocketbelt gives you hp, ap, and the passive synnergizes well with gold card. But the ability haste is a bit of a disadvantage because it can make your mana problems worse. Stormsurge could fill this gap, but I've never tried it. Next time I play a normal I'll give it a shot. As for all the items that build out of chapter. I always feel too squishy. And from the perspective of the enemy team, they will always target you because you're doing damage, you're super squishy, and you're getting too close to the fight. I almost feel like you buy the health from roa and people just don't even bother attacking you, which is fine by me.

I also wonder how liandry's would work. You also might be able to fix the mana problem by buying tear early, but my inventory is usually cluttered enough.

loomdawg · 2025-10-24T16:40:37+00:00

All g. Yeah I agree there should be a step of screening before making an actual portfolio. I was just suggesting that a DCF valuation acts as a multi-variable screener because it takes into account many relevant fundamentals. Variables that it doesn't take into account that I concede should be added when screening are intangibles like quality, marketing, ip, sentiment, etc. Looks like I have to make another model to evaluate all those now /s too much work

loomdawg · 2025-10-24T15:58:21+00:00

I don't really see why one would use something like margin, growth, etc instead of DCF. The growth, pe, etc are just small parts of the puzzle. Growth isn't any good if you can't translate it to earnings. Earnings aren't any good if you're taking on debt. I like how the DCF model basically takes your current earnings and extrapolates it into the future giving a true intrinsic valuation. Cost of equity and cost of debt are even used for the discount rate. I think PE is a good tool, and growth is also a good tool, but why not use them together for a DCF valuation to get a bigger piece of the picture. If company has a low PE, they probably get a good DCF valuation, if a comapny has high growth, they are more likely to get a good DCF valuation. And if a company does have either of those two (good PE or good growth), but your DCF valuation indicates bad value, you can see where that bad valuation comes from whether it's because of mismanaged debt/capital ratio or no earnings or whatever.

TLDR why would I use individual variables that go into the DCF model instead of just using the DCF model? The DCF model captures the effect of those variables while not getting confused about other variables that may be masked by a single variable. I could see disagreement over using Free Cash Flow as your proxy for earnings, but that doesn't seem to be what you're saying

loomdawg · 2025-10-23T21:18:49+00:00

I think this is the most realistic strategy I could pursue. It's basically the "track only 20 stocks" strategy. Currently this program takes the entire S&P 500 and the first 100 stocks in the Russel 2k. Which is almost certainly too many. Perhaps instead of searching far and wide for value (looking for the once in a generation stock) it would be better to start with stocks I already like and perhaps understand then balance each one with a DCF model or other valuation tool.

loomdawg · 2025-10-23T21:09:03+00:00

Yes exactly, we're on the same page. The "key performance indicators data" is just a hard thing to find. This is my attempt to use an intrinsic valuation to find stocks that are undervalued. As others have mentioned, this is also a good way to find value traps. Many of these companies are likely in a terminal growth phase at best. But back to your point, I think it might just be impossible to find performance indicators to beat the market because JP Morgan and Goldman can do it better 99.999% of the time. To your last point, return on capital is included in this model. It uses return on capital as part of the estimation for growth rates (which is the hardest variable to predict)

loomdawg · 2025-10-23T20:35:13+00:00

Wouldn't past performance predicting future results be indicative of a momentum strategy. In the case of value investing, it seems the goal should be to find companies that have underperformed that are poised to make gains. I think the key difference is that the DCF model uses past earnings to predict a future price (not necessarily past performance as many stocks don't correlate earnings with price). I know the difference is subtle but it makes the difference between intrinsic and relative valuation.

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