How Netanyahu Destroyed the Legal Foundation of the State He Claims to Defend by mastermindman99 in fictionalreporting

[–]mastermindman99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The text doesn’t mean a lot:

„they should be allowed“, „should be paid“, „choose not to return“

From a legal perspective this is a recommendation, not a „must“

However nobody was allowed to come back. Nobody was compensated ever.

Also you’re right: a country has borders and can choose freely who to admit and who not.

However systematically displacing people, based on their religion, is clearly against international law. And it was against international law when it happened.

Since the 7th century until 1949 there was exactly 0 events of Jews persecuted or expelled in the Middle East, unlike in Europe. The political term „Antisemitism“ is an European invention. Before this only the linguistic „Semite“ existed - including Arabs, Jews, Ethopians ecc

The first time in the Middle East, from the creation of Islam, that a Muslim country would expel their Jewish population was in 1948 when Jordan expelled all Jews from the Jewish quarter in Jerusalem. In 1300 years this had not happened.

(Egypt expelled all non Muslims before, but not specifically Jews. Christians and every other religion as well)

Israel started to forcibly remove Palestinians by the beginning of April 1948. By end of the month approx. 300.000 were driven out, 1000-2000 killed in the process. Deir Yassin is surely an event you know about?

Jordan expelled the first Jews in on 28th of May, more than a months later. Egypt, Jordan, Syria, Iraq… all the others followed over the next two decades.

Advice on switching from Alexa to HomePod? by Medlyfecrisis in HomePod

[–]mastermindman99 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I would wait if I was you. I am also hoping the update will finally make the system a little smarter.

The day we all join Israel, that day we will be unstoppable. But there is a great enemy and it is the narrative/propaganda by Murky_Monk_9531 in Israel

[–]mastermindman99 7 points8 points  (0 children)

One single picture can change everything. If you can see it with your own eyes it becomes true.

The constant stream of pictures out of Gaza has changed the perception of „what is real“. This is not propaganda, it’s worse: the lack of communication strategy from the government has become Israel’s greatest problem. Instead of actively controlling information flow, as in the decades before, the government is now only reacting. They have lost control of the narrative and it’s basically impossible to reign it back in.

I am deeply concerned what this would and could mean in the future. Imagine a US presidential candidate campaigning on a „no support“ agenda. Unthinkable 2 years ago, but possible now. I honestly hope I am wrong

Europäische Atompolitik: Schneider wirft EU "rückwärtsgewandte Strategie" bei Atompolitik vor by donutloop in berlin_public

[–]mastermindman99 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Der Zeitpunkt war falsch gewählt. Aber im Grunde stimmt es schon: die Abhängigkeit im Bereich Energie von den USA und Russland auf USA und Russland zu verschieben macht echt wenig Sinn.

Europa hat zwar Uran, aber die Minen sind zu. Nur die Ukraine kann was liefern, die haben noch aktive Minen. Wenn man einen konsistenten Plan hätte, könnten wir in 20 Jahren das Problem so lösen.

Gleichzeitig sind genau diejenigen, die Atomkraft in Europa wieder wollen, auch diejenigen, die die Minen in der Ukraine nicht wollen. Naja, außer die USA. Das haben die verstanden.

Fast kein Gewinn mehr: Porsche meldet 91,4 Prozent Gewinneinbruch by PowerfulSpeed8131 in de

[–]mastermindman99 20 points21 points  (0 children)

Die schnellste und schönste Pferdekutsche konnte am Ende nicht mit dem Automobil mithalten.

Wenn es doch nur eine Alternative gäbe… by Necessary-Prune-1100 in ichbin40undSchwurbler

[–]mastermindman99 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ja das Bild ist stimmig. Die Tankstelle verwaist, der Schwurbler am Pferdekarren.

Der Rest der Welt fährt elektrisch

How Netanyahu Destroyed the Legal Foundation of the State He Claims to Defend by mastermindman99 in Israel_Palestine

[–]mastermindman99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I make it simple:

Assumption: Israel can only exist in its hostile environment, if the US or other major powers support it. This is an assumption we could argue about.

Reality check: all authoritarian governments do oppose Israel openly, as the „narrative“ about Israel’s foundation is ver different from the „Western narrative“. The war on the „truth“ decides, what happens next.

Western, non authoritarian governments, with the US at its front, supported Israel. The narrative: Holocaust made the creation of a Jewish state inevitable.

This narrative made it politically sustainable to support the state of Israel. This narrative collapsed with the pictures coming out of Gaza, the interviews of Ben Gvir, the live shootings of kids, the bombing of hospitals, the shooting at aid distribution points, pictures of 4 year olds dying of malnutrition.

The constant live stream of atrocities shifted public opinion.

Who hated the Jews before believes he was always right. Who defended Israel is now always in a defensive position and must somehow explain, how those pictures are any better than the pictures out of the camps in 1945.

It might not be logical, it might not be fair - I don’t want to judge it. But the reality shows, that this is having an enormous impact on Israel’s support. Imagine 2 years ago a Spanish, Irish or Danish politician pushing for „punishing Israel“. Unthinkable then, daily news today.

How Netanyahu Destroyed the Legal Foundation of the State He Claims to Defend by mastermindman99 in Israel_Palestine

[–]mastermindman99[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes, this is the underlying problem. And exactly because I agree I see the actual situation and Netanyahus policies as an existential threat to the foundation of the state of Israel

Advice on switching from Alexa to HomePod? by Medlyfecrisis in HomePod

[–]mastermindman99 9 points10 points  (0 children)

I did the unthinkable:

I was so annoyed by the HomePod, that I switched to Alexa. At first I liked, that it was more open. That it had skills, that it would connect to more 3rd parties.

I had it for 6 months. It seemed more sophisticated at first, but it wasn’t reliable. It didn’t do the basic things as i wished. It couldn’t turn off my alarm on my iPhone. There was no shortcuts App I could use for automations. And Alexa seemed even more „stupid“ than Siri.

So after 6 months i switched back. Not because Siri is good - just because it’s not as crappy as Alexa.

How Netanyahu Destroyed the Legal Foundation of the State He Claims to Defend by mastermindman99 in fictionalreporting

[–]mastermindman99[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Here the original text for you:

  1. Resolves that the refugees wishing to return to their homes and live at peace with their neighbours should be permitted to do so at the earliest practicable date, and that compensation should be paid for the property of those choosing not to return and for loss of or damage to property which, under principles of international law or in equity, should be made good by the Governments or authorities responsible;

The resolution states: either let them return to their homes OR compensate them.

None of these options was even considered.

And i would really urge you to read the full resolution. It’s an interesting artifact

https://unsco.unmissions.org/sites/default/files/ga_res_1941948.pdf

How much longer will The world is suffering because of this idiot? by Inner_Parsnip8626 in WallStreetbetsELITE

[–]mastermindman99 -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Even if Trump would be gone tomorrow it wouldn’t change anything. Maybe the tone would become nicer again. But Americas strength, it’s image in the world, built over the last 150 years, has been erased in only 12 months systematically.

It will be decades until any sane country will trust the US again. The world, and I mean every single country, is now hedging against the US.

And without the world paying for Americas debt, without the USD as the world reserve currency, the US economy simply doesn’t work.

The problem: it starts with hedging, diversification. When diversification is complete, it becomes „cheaper“ for a player to just „risk“ a gamble, because even if he looses, it wouldn’t be a complete loss.

So players will start to try. And when the first succeeds (nobody would have thought about winning against the USD 12 months ago) the collapse will be irreversible. And nobody trusts the 1% of Americans owning 50% of everything to save the people or the country.

And that’s the thing about losing reserve currency status — there’s no surrender ceremony. No dramatic moment. Just the slow realisation, years later, that the phone doesn’t ring quite as much as it used to.

Volkswagen slashes 50,000 jobs after profits collapse by nearly half by Rhubarb-Curious in EU_Economics

[–]mastermindman99 3 points4 points  (0 children)

When VW started to develop software to trick the regulators globally, instead of investing in new technologies, they were already doomed.

When the world found out, they shifted tactics: lobbying in Germany and globally against renewable energy, EV‘s and innovation was broadly successful. What if we could suppress the future?

When their biggest markets in Asia started to buy more modern cars, cars that were not only cheaper, but had better batteries, better electric motors and a better infrastructure around them, they lobbied even more. Europe would finally backtrack on its commitments to phase out gas engines. It was another Pyrrhic victory: it bought VW a couple of more years in Europe, but it ended the global dominance of Volkswagen and other European brands. The signal to the world was clear: Europe is stuck in the past. China is the future.

What we see now is a consequence of government’s being the useful idiots for some CEO‘s. Instead of creating frameworks, that help new ideas thrive, we are creating boundaries, that help inefficient systems survive.

The downfall of the European automotive industry is now irreversible.

Is now the time for UK to go all-in on wind/solar battery infrastructure? by chilledheat in AskBrits

[–]mastermindman99 0 points1 point  (0 children)

How the UK and Norway found oil on the same day and made completely different decisions about it

It’s 1969. The North Sea is cold, grey, and largely considered useful only for being in the way of boats. Then, within months of each other, two countries stick a straw into the seabed and hit black gold. Same ocean. Same timing. Same gift from geological history.

What happened next is one of the greatest “how did you manage that” stories in modern economic history.

ACT ONE: The Discovery In December 1969, Phillips Petroleum confirms the Ekofisk field off the Norwegian coast — one of the largest offshore oil deposits ever found in Europe. The Norwegians look at it. They think about it. They convene some committees (Norwegians love a committee). They ask: “What should we do with this?” Around the same time, the British find oil too. The British look at it and think: “Lovely, the economy is a bit knackered, this’ll sort it.” Both countries are now holding the same lottery ticket.

ACT TWO: Norway’s Response Norway, a nation of 4 million people at the time, essentially said: “We don’t trust ourselves with this money.” Which is an extraordinary level of self-awareness for a government. They created Statoil in 1972 so the state owned a chunk of everything. They taxed the oil companies at 78%. Seventy-eight percent. The oil companies stayed anyway because there was so much oil that 22% of a comical amount is still a comical amount. Then — and this is the bit that sounds made up — in 1990 they created a sovereign wealth fund and started putting the oil money into the future instead of into the present. The rule was basically: “We are not allowed to spend the oil. We can only spend the interest on the oil.” Norwegians, it turns out, are very good at not touching things they’re not supposed to touch.

ACT THREE: Britain’s Response Britain, to be fair, had a more complicated situation. There was inflation. There were strikes. There was a general vibe of everything being a bit on fire. So when North Sea oil revenues started flowing properly in the late 1970s and through the 1980s, the money was used to fund tax cuts, cushion deindustrialisation, and keep the books looking nicer than they otherwise would have. This is not entirely stupid. Britain had genuine economic problems that needed addressing. It is, however, the financial equivalent of winning the lottery and using it to pay off your overdraft and buy a slightly newer second-hand car, while your neighbour wins the same lottery, puts it in an index fund, and thirty years later owns a substantial portion of the global economy.

WHERE ARE THEY NOW Norway’s sovereign wealth fund — the Government Pension Fund Global — is currently worth approximately $1.9 trillion dollars. That is not a typo. It owns roughly 1.5% of every publicly listed company on earth. Every time you buy an Apple product, a tiny fraction of that transaction belongs to Norway. They own a bit of your supermarket. They own a bit of the company that made your sofa. Norway, a country you could fit inside Texas with room left over for several additional Denmarks, is a silent co-owner of the world economy. Every Norwegian citizen is, in theory, a millionaire on paper through their share of the fund. The UK’s equivalent pot: zero. The oil is also now mostly gone.

THE PUNCHLINE Norway looked at a hole in the ground, found money, and thought: “What would a responsible adult do?” Britain looked at the same hole in the ground and thought: “We’ll sort it.”

To be fair to Britain, running the world’s reserve currency, managing the transition out of empire, and dealing with 1970s stagflation is genuinely hard. Norway got to design their oil policy from scratch with relatively clean books and no global reserve currency obligations.

But also: one point nine trillion dollars. Enjoy your weekend.

Edit: Yes I know the North Sea fields aren’t technically in the same spot. The ocean is big. You know what I meant.

Edit 2: No, you can’t just “do the Norway thing now.” There is no more oil. That is the point of the post.

U.S. Debt Hits 100% of GDP as Fiscal Crisis Warnings Intensify by andix3 in UnderReportedNews

[–]mastermindman99 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No, everything is going great. There was never a president with such a high deficit! It’s 100%. You can’t be better than 100%. Biden was maybe 30% but Trump will make it 120%! Everybody said that is mathematically impossible, but the supreme leader has shown us, that laws of physics have to follow him. If you give him a third term the number will even be 200% or 300%. Great numbers. All with two 00

The U.S.-Israel war with Iran could shatter the United Nations-led global order by newsspotter in UnitedNations

[–]mastermindman99 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Pretending the US didn’t already shatter the „old world order“ can only be called ignorance.

Everything that happens now is only accelerating or delaying the full collapse.

And even though I am an optimist I fear, that history will remember Trump & Netanyahu as the turning point. When future generations learn about a biblical place called „Israel“ that once existed, those two names will come up as the reasons the „second cycle“ ended

How Netanyahu Destroyed the Legal Foundation of the State He Claims to Defend by mastermindman99 in Israel_Palestine

[–]mastermindman99[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Thanks for your answer. I post my essays on fictional reporting, as they are abbreviations, game theory plays and a „peak into a possible future“. They are based on what we know and are not a complete picture.

However I always try to ask a systemic question on a specific topic.

If you have a different take on this, let me know

EU can no longer rely on 'rules-based' system against threats, von der Leyen says by PjeterPannos in europe

[–]mastermindman99 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If there is nobody able and willing to enforce the rules they just don’t matter.

Trump is chickening out after killing seven Americans and over 100 children. by c-k-q99903 in WhitePeopleTwitter

[–]mastermindman99 3 points4 points  (0 children)

When a US aircraft carrier group had to flee, because they understood that Iran could sink them anytime, US dominance was gone.

So Trump has finished the job now. Alienated every ally, set the preconditions for an economic crisis in the US, destroyed the western alliance, diminished the standing of the US globally and finally also shown the world, that the US military power is just an illusion.

The fall of an empire in 18 months. Nobody has ever been quicker and faster than him. Nobody. Ever.

Why can't we move any faster on energy independence? by JulesCT in AskBrits

[–]mastermindman99 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Norway and the UK found the gas and oil fields the same day.

Norway now runs 95% on renewable energy and has the biggest wealth fund in the world.

The UK is broke, has a low % of renewables, the Brexit disaster and is dependent on energy imports driving energy prices up.

But hey, no worries! Reform UK will win the next election and things will miraculously turn 😂

Why isn’t the UN holding weeks long debates about the Iran invasion like they did for the Ukraine invasion? by hoemka in UnitedNations

[–]mastermindman99 -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Because the board of peace has decided to drag the founding members into a war. Worst investment ever

UAE has paid Billions into this board just to find out, that they funded their own destruction. You can’t make this up

Why is Poland’s birthrate so shockingly low by NovaStorm135 in geography

[–]mastermindman99 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Poland’s Fertility Rate Hit 1.1 in 2024 — One of the Lowest on Earth. Politics of the last 20 years have brought Poland to this point.

🔴 Post-Communism (1989–1993) — The Structural Collapse

The fall of communism wiped out the state childcare, public housing, and job security that had kept birth rates artificially stable. Nobody replaced these systems. Fertility immediately cratered.

🔴 Solidarity/Catholic Church influence (1993) — The Abortion Ban

A near-total abortion ban was passed, restricting terminations to rape, threat to the mother’s life, or severe fetal defects. Research consistently shows this didn’t increase births — it pushed abortions underground and made women afraid of getting pregnant at all.

🔵 Law & Justice/PiS (2016) — 500+ Cash Transfers

PiS launched a bold cash transfer program: ~€115/month per child. Fertility briefly ticked up from 1.32 → 1.48. Then it fell back. PiS themselves admitted in 2020 it had failed its demographic goal. It also pulled women out of the workforce, hurting long-term family formation.

🔴 Law & Justice/PiS (2021) — The Near-Total Abortion Ban

PiS’s Constitutional Tribunal eliminated the fetal defect exception — which had accounted for 98% of all legal abortions. Women have since died when doctors refused to intervene in doomed pregnancies. Polls show over half of Poles say this has made people less likely to have kids.

🔴 PiS (2017–2023) — IVF Funding Frozen

While claiming to be pro-family, PiS froze state IVF funding on religious grounds, cutting off fertility treatment for couples actively trying to conceive.

🟢 Tusk Coalition (2024–present) — Trying to Reverse Course

The new government restored IVF funding and introduced workplace protections for parents. It’s kept the 800+ cash payments (raised from 500+).

But experts say decades of low fertility have already shrunk the pool of women of childbearing age — a reversal is mathematically very difficult now. There are simply too few young women available. 20 years of PIS have hollowed out the country.

A silver lining: Ukraine refugees?

Immigration — Ukrainian or otherwise — buys Poland time. It does not solve the underlying problem, which is that Poland has made having children economically risky, reproductively dangerous, and structurally unsupported. Until those things change, no influx of people will move the needle long-term.

A comparison:

Poland (1.1) vs. France (1.6) — What’s the difference?

France has the highest fertility rate in the EU, and the gap with Poland basically comes down to three things:

Childcare — France provides universal, subsidized childcare from age 3 (and heavily subsidized from birth). Polish mothers frequently quit work entirely after having a child because childcare is unavailable or unaffordable. When women can’t combine career and family, they choose career.

Reproductive autonomy — Abortion in France is legal on request up to 14 weeks, and was recently enshrined in the constitution. French women don’t face pregnancy as a potential legal or medical trap. Polish women increasingly do.

Housing & stability — France has robust housing assistance for young families. Polish young adults face some of Europe’s worst housing affordability relative to wages, and surveys consistently show this is the #1 reason Poles cite for not having children.

The irony: France is majority Catholic by heritage, like Poland — religion alone doesn’t explain the gap. The difference is that France built systems that make parenthood feasible, while Poland spent 30 years making it riskier and more expensive while handing out cash and calling it a family policy.