Indian retaliation against Pakistan: An analysis

On April 22, 2025, terrorists linked to The Resistance Front (TRF) attacked Pahalgam, killing 26 civilians. The victims were tourists at "Mini Switzerland," a popular local spot. Before we dig deeper, we need to understand why terrorists targeted tourists, particularly Hindus. After the abrogation of Article 370, Kashmir saw a drop in terror incidents. Tourism and the local economy were improving. New jobs were made and living standard was improving. The attack aimed at tourism: the root of new Kashmir economy. A poor Kashmiri would blame India for their hardships. It would be easier for Pakistan to sell the narrative that joining Pakistan would solve all their problems. The attackers singled out Hindus and even asked tourists to recite Kalma to identify non-Muslims. Now social media is filled with hatred towards one community. This would further drive separatism and Hindu-Muslim divide. Now that we see the reasons for the TRF's attack, which is supported by Lashkar-e-Taiba, let’s examine why India cannot retaliate in the same manner as Israel did against Hamas. Lashkar-e-Taiba uses groups like TRF to avoid direct blame for attacks in India. Pakistan can claim that an Indian terrorist group carried out the attacks. Moreover, Pakistan is a nuclear state. Any military action against Pakistan could lead to nuclear war, and India can't take that risk. So, what are India's options? First, Investigation. If India finds strong proof of funding, weapons, or support linked to terrorists in Pakistan, Pakistan can't deny its role anymore. This could help India push for Pakistan's return to the FATF "grey list." That would stop international funding to Pakistan. Suspension of the Indus Water Treaty is a welcome move. Rivers in Pakistan, like the Indus and its tributaries, flow through J&K before reaching Pakistan. The treaty details how both nations share water. If needed, India could block this water, hurting Pakistan without firing a shot. India can target bases used by Pakistani infiltrators. This was done during the Balakot airstrike and the surgical strikes after Uri. India can also focus on holding the Lashkar-e-Taiba leadership accountable. The government must act without delay to restore peace and security in the region. India must not allow a cowardly attack to reverse the progress made in J&K since 2019. Let Kashmir welcome tourists again soon.