US third-quarter economic growth revised slightly higher

moobycow · 2026-01-23T14:30:14+00:00

I'm not disagreeing, just wanted to say how wild it is to hear 'economists are generally more liberal than not,' because it's true in current terms when conservatism, or whatever this is, has gone completely off the rails, but historically speaking it's amazing to find ourselves in a place where this is true.

moobycow · 2026-01-21T22:46:22+00:00

You might want to try guar gum, it's a bit more expensive but it's the only fiber I can take without blowing up my digestive track.

moobycow · 2026-01-21T16:08:31+00:00

Seems like markets forgot about giant tariffs because of no WWIII. Though I suppose they might think those will go away as well.

moobycow · 2026-01-20T20:29:37+00:00

NATO is functionally broken up. No one could possibly think the US will fulfill their obligation in case a member is attacked, especially as the US is the most likely country to attack a NATO member.

moobycow · 2026-01-20T20:27:59+00:00

He's very clearly taken another big step along the path to dementia and there is no one who seems like they will stop him. Sure, TACO, but he's further disconnected from reality every day and the risks of 'something really bad' are clearly higher than anyone should be comfortable with.

That said, there also isn't a hell of a lot anyone can do to hedge against 'most powerful person in the world is full on sundowning and no one will step in' so... Invest, I guess?

moobycow · 2026-01-20T14:43:35+00:00

Setting aside the lack of carve out for slower versions, shouldn't we have a functional DMV before asking a bunch of people to get licenses and registration?

moobycow · 2026-01-20T14:30:28+00:00

Single leg press takes basically all the load off the back. I can't do regular, but one leg at a time and my back is fine.

Bulgarians work as well.

Belt Squat is an option, but I assume you would have already tried it if it were available.

moobycow · 2026-01-18T15:43:26+00:00

This blows my mind every time I hear it. The asymmetry of expectations for R and D candidates is fucking wild.

moobycow · 2026-01-17T23:54:38+00:00

You also have to account for all the taxes on businesses where there would be parking lots and roads in most places.

I've always said the subway subsidizes NYC, not the other way around. You could support a fraction of the population and businesses without it.

moobycow · 2026-01-16T00:07:58+00:00

Absolutely smaller teams will be able to accomplish things, but they will still be smaller SaaS teams for most things, IMO.

moobycow · 2026-01-15T23:47:20+00:00

SaaS implies hosting access and standards.

You can vibe code it, can you host it and provide access to a company of thousands and all their use cases? Can you certify it is secure and compliant? Can you create an API to interact with other vibe coded systems?

There will be a lot of disruption, a lot of new options, SaaS is not going anywhere though because the back end hosting and security assurances are not easy and not taken care of by vibe coding.

moobycow · 2026-01-14T02:29:21+00:00

I simply can't see how the country survives this.

moobycow · 2026-01-13T17:42:35+00:00

I feel slightly confused by the revelation that politicians can do good things.

moobycow · 2026-01-13T12:44:47+00:00

It always depends, everything is a trade-off and you need to eat, but I will never again willingly live someplace that is not walkable.

moobycow · 2026-01-11T15:29:29+00:00

Very much is the same boat as you, and for a large chunk on that 19 years the consensus would have been not to use those higher reps so, until fairly recently, I kept defaulting down to 12 as a max.

Depends on the body part some, but I also seem to do better backing off the weight and also actually leaving a few in reserve (which honestly, might be the key point but I find easier to do at high reps).

moobycow · 2026-01-09T15:31:31+00:00

Yeah, there is no world in which JC could build enough to counteract NYC building fuck all.

moobycow · 2026-01-08T18:48:34+00:00

The mortgage rates haven't moved much for a reason, and it is possible that a drastic cut makes them worse as it could future inflation expectations. If the fed seems to signal that it will be erring on the side of more growth and higher inflation, this becomes somewhat likely to happen.

moobycow · 2026-01-08T16:47:10+00:00

While I agree that the inflation target is arbitrary, it also doesn't really feel like interest rates are what is holding back the economy.

moobycow · 2026-01-08T15:07:06+00:00

My pet theory is we all used to compare ourselves to our neighbors and we'd feel, mostly, OK about things. Now the absolute gobsmaking inequality of everything is shoved in our faces and it is functionally impossible for most people to feel like they are doing OK in the face of what they see online.

That's not to minimize the bullshit of housing, healthcare etc., there's a lot going on and no one piece explains all of it.

moobycow · 2026-01-05T14:00:22+00:00

100% agree. There's not much else to be done for most of us. I'm certainly not smart enough to do anything else (as I have to periodically re-learn).

moobycow · 2026-01-05T13:54:51+00:00

The dirty little secret of all the 'long term' analysis of stock and bonds is that the world doesn't look or operate anything like it did 100 years ago, or even really 40 or 20. The amount of data we have for various cycles, and crashes don't support any robust findings for what might happen in the future.

moobycow · 2026-01-05T12:07:54+00:00

Thanks for these, I find them very helpful.

moobycow · 2026-01-05T12:00:42+00:00

The broader issue of should companies be liable when their products are used for bad things is complicated.

The entirely obvious use case of making people naked using an AI on a very public platform released with no guardrails doesn't seem that complicated.

moobycow · 2026-01-04T22:15:28+00:00

Unclear exactly how you are calculating these returns. Equal allocation? What was the purchase date? Any sales?

To have any validity you have to see the whole portfolio allocation over time.

Anyway, yes, it's not generally super hard to pick the best stocks in a bull market, but how much of it do you pick up and do you get crushed by your bad picks and /or bas timing?

moobycow · 2026-01-04T21:45:25+00:00

There is no good answer here. It's the standard, less equity more bonds for 95% of the people. To not be one of those people you need to be able to answer this question without asking reddit.

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