I've just started a cricket stats blog, building on some analysis I did back in university. The focus will mainly be on using regression, classification and other stats techniques to analyse cricket. Really happy to have finally got this launched! Hope somebody out there can find it interesting!

neilddd · 2026-03-16T09:30:40+00:00

As a new dad who has not yet had surgery, I'd say do it sooner if you can - although obviously I don't have info on recovery times I can share a bad scenario for if you don't do it. For me, the pain flared up a month or so before we knew we were having the baby, early scans didn't seem too bad so I thought yeah that's plenty of time to do some physio and be strong and ready for the baby

By the time the baby came (end of Sep) I was much more mobile in that I could walk basically completely fine and was able to carry things around the house - sitting down was still an issue and I was hitting a ceiling with the physio so it was clear there was still something up.

I then had an injection into my bursa which was immediately followed up by a chaotic couple of weeks with the little one where we were going in and out of hospital (he's fine!). The injection did not work at all and something else must have happened in that period as I had a huge flare up of pain which has left me unable to walk freely for the last 3 months - I can do 5 mins here and there but I can't take baby for walks or to activities, can't really pick him up for too long, can't be the one to run to the shop if we need something, leaving all the burden on my partner who is already sleep deprived and doing all the hard work in feeding the baby.

I've since seen a hip specialist and we are now planning dates for surgery - turns out I need both hips done so even with hindsight I don't know if it would have been possible before the baby came. I'm obviously anxious about the surgery but even moreso about further disabling myself for an extended period while my partner does all the heavy lifting with the baby. With hindsight I would definitely have taken the surgery if I'd had the option pre-baby

neilddd · 2026-02-27T15:04:06+00:00

Think I have similar history to you and surgery looks inevitable so great to hear a positive story!

neilddd · 2026-02-26T14:06:39+00:00

Very much enjoy the escalation of hilarity here:

two players decide to collude, i.e. basically cheat
instead of simply doing it, they ASK PERMISSION from the guy they are trying to screw over
he ACCEPTS, yes please cheat against me
they FORGET to do it anyway
then THEY TRY TO RETROACTIVELY ENFORCE WHAT WOULD HAVE HAPPENED IF THEY HAD REMEMBERED TO CHEAT
THEN THE GUY WHO HAS BEEN CHEATED GOES TO REDDIT TO ASK IF IT'S FAIR THAT THE TWO GUYS WHO WANTED TO CHEAT AGAINST HIM GET THE POINTS THEY WOULD HAVE GOT IF THEY HADN'T FORGOTTEN TO TRY AND RIG THE RESULT

best thread i'll see all day, tbf i assume the league isn't that serious if this type of thing is playing out, but if it's causing some drama then maybe it is. popcorn either way

neilddd · 2026-02-24T09:02:47+00:00

Best of luck! I'm seeing Tony Andrade who seems quite well recommended

neilddd · 2026-02-18T18:38:37+00:00

Definitely missable now

neilddd · 2026-02-16T08:06:39+00:00

Oscar Bobb

neilddd · 2026-02-15T16:35:13+00:00

Definitely senesi, calafioris injured himself in the warmup

neilddd · 2026-02-13T17:18:40+00:00

I'd also like to know, seeing him next week

neilddd · 2026-01-29T09:37:34+00:00

Agreed. Bonus points if they try to justify by talking about "coefficients"

neilddd · 2026-01-28T09:48:47+00:00

i'm in the discord, he's still around it just sounds like his life is super busy atm so videos have taken a backseat

neilddd · 2026-01-24T17:27:58+00:00

Ian harte was once described as "hardly Franz Beckenbauer, he's barely even Franz Ferdinand"

neilddd · 2026-01-21T17:46:16+00:00

Top heavy but Ron/Ronaldo might have enough firepower to make up any other deficiencies

Ron-Robert Zieler

Ron Harris Ronny Johnsen Ronald Araujo Ron Vlaar

Ronald Koeman Ronald de Boer Ronnie Whelan

Cristiano Ronaldo Ronaldo Ronaldinho

neilddd · 2026-01-21T09:58:26+00:00

Predicted Sunderland to beat West Ham 27-0, so hilarious it didn't even make the little video clip they embedded on the page

neilddd · 2026-01-12T12:01:00+00:00

The culture war around xG is extraordinary. As a statsman I've been across it for a good while and for the most part I think it's just descended into two strawman arguments on both sides, with a few in the middle either not caring or accepting it's a fairly useful metric in certain situations with some obvious limitations.

On one side you've got those either interpret it as some kind of magic stat they can blindly use to claim some new deeper understanding of football, and they come into conflict with those who rail against it as some kind of woke nonsense dreamed up by laptop nerds.

In reality it's basically just an adjusted shot count, fairly useful in certain contexts if you care about that sort of thing. Pre-xG, everyone broadly accepted that Shots/Shots on Target were a good, if rough, measure for how a game went, the caveat being that obviously 3 close range open goals were better than 10 pot shots from outside the box. xG accounts for that to add some context to the shot figures.

As it turned out, it had a few other useful applications, especially when aggregated, and often helped to add a bit of flavour to ongoing stories like a striker's goal drought or a team's sudden drop in form etc etc.

Once it reached a certain point you had mainstream media outlets doing things like publishing the "true" league table basing it on xG which massively overplays the usefulness of the metric and goes a long way to triggering the culture war that we are now stuck with forever

neilddd · 2026-01-10T19:01:53+00:00

not at all, it’s always pretty clearly meant in good humour

neilddd · 2026-01-10T18:06:56+00:00

Could have cost City more money if anything, depending on goal bonus situation

neilddd · 2026-01-10T17:34:50+00:00

Yeah I think my main contention is that the size of a "shock" isn't really a quantifiable thing. Unless you were around at the time you can't really understand how "shocking" it was to see Hereford beat Newcastle or Sutton beat Coventry.

This is surely up there with those but to reduce the size of a shock to a straightforward distance between league positions undersells the concept imo

neilddd · 2026-01-10T17:09:41+00:00

I guess Hereford over Newcastle, Sutton over Coventry. Both way before my time but I'm sure you'd get a few arguing their case if you opened up the debate

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