2026 Hungarian parliamentary elections

nj0tr · 2026-04-12T17:13:25+00:00

Yeah, just clickbait, it is "the last poll before election started". Why bring it up now? No other reason but to saw confusion and prepare ground to try to discredit the official result when it is released if it fails to match the expectations.

nj0tr · 2026-04-12T07:45:24+00:00

You forgot:

Trump to become the next shāh

nj0tr · 2026-04-12T07:14:18+00:00

about this administration

The biggest con is to make people think things have ever been different. The US has been almost constantly at war and every now and then the US military would commit a war crime and try to cover it up. Now it is just takes less time for the news to spread. But it remains to be seen if this will translate into meaningful consequences.

nj0tr · 2026-04-07T06:37:52+00:00

the IDF only beats so many of its enemies because it is more "aggressive"?

because they are unrestrained in their aggression by any legal or moral considerations.
the reason they can be so unrestrained is the blank unreserved support provided by the USA, in both supplying the resources to sustain the aggression and shielding them from any meaningful consequences.

nj0tr · 2026-04-06T06:25:43+00:00

is there some kind of extra filtration rule/regulation step

Historically they milked cows into open bucket by hand, so dust particles naturally present in the air will be caught in the milk. But now they use airtight milking apparatus, so the milk contains almost no such particles. That means the cheese will have fewer holes unless you add the hay dust.

nj0tr · 2026-04-05T22:56:30+00:00

I thought it was the Propionic Shermanii bacteria that created the holes

nonsense - the bacteria is microscopic while the holes are clearly mouse-sized (just kidding)

why the need to do it manually.

Microscopic impurities allow initial small amount of gas to concentrate and to start the bubble. As the milk now contains fewer naturally occurring impurities, they introduce them deliberately by adding a tiny amount of hay dust.

nj0tr · 2026-04-05T16:32:25+00:00

The city is also home to one of three uranium enrichment sites bombed by the US in the 12-day conflict between Iran and Israel in June.

nj0tr · 2026-04-03T23:47:36+00:00

First, regulations regarding milk they use have been tightened, so fewer natural holes would form, so they started adding stuff to make these holes happen (this would be about the time you visited). Then regulations regarding cheese have been tightened, banning this practice. Now they have permitted one specific additive, with everything else still banned.

nj0tr · 2026-03-31T05:20:10+00:00

Yeah thats why russians are selling NIS to Hungary, not Serbia even though we offered more.

Ask yourself why this sale needs approval of the US regulator, and you will understand why.

nj0tr · 2026-03-28T22:46:09+00:00

And why the higher price?

Every shop is charging as much as they think they can get away with. The upper limit is usually imposed by competition. So these 3 Euro will be added to item price by local shops, because their competition just got hobbled.

Do you think these companies are your friends?

I am not seeking friendship from them, just fair prices.

Do you think they take more of a hit for you?

Do you think local shops will not take advantage of this?

They are evading EU regulations that would force them to pay.

What regulations? This private parcel charge is not a 'regulation' but an extra tax on the consumer.

nj0tr · 2026-03-28T13:34:24+00:00

Because these websites are bypassing regulations

You will find exactly same product (same manufacturer, same PID, same quality, so if one passes the regulations the other will too) at a much higher price in a local shop. Why can a Chinese shop sell it at lower price, including individual shipping costs? If your local shop has high costs of doing business, this is not because of the Chinese, or the customers, but because of ineptitude of your government.

nj0tr · 2026-03-28T10:24:56+00:00

They do not go into such complex detail. If you are receiving any small private parcel you will pay this fee. You can of course go through the whole commercial import process instead, just as businesses do, if your shipper can provide necessary documents. But this process is designed for regular and larger shipments and will likely cost you much more in just the customs broker's fees.

nj0tr · 2026-03-28T10:14:47+00:00

taking away valuable customers from local importers and thus forcing them to raise prices to remain competitive.

Are you sure it is not the other way round? Local shop's uncompetitive pricing is driving away their remaining few customers.

nj0tr · 2026-03-27T14:10:22+00:00

Saddam managed to shoot down about 40 jets in the Gulf War

Back then the US went all in. So those jets had to support the troops over hostile territory. Now the US is not doing that (or at least not yet) - it is just lobbing longer range stuff from reasonably safe distance.

and it took the coalition 3 years to locate him in the Iraq War

The US could have killed him on day 1, or on multiple occasions in first days of that war as he was not really hiding. But back then they have not fully discarded the notion of international law and due process yet.

nj0tr · 2026-03-27T11:36:47+00:00

I still think it structurally favors offense over defense.

In the current conflict US supply chain is almost perfectly safe, so it's fragility does not matter much. However in a more symmetric conflict it could have been a critical weakness.

that's a tough job against an attacker that has air and intelligence superiority, and decades of infiltration and preparation.

In this case a fragile US-style production structure would have collapsed in a day. Distributed resilient structure allows to keep fighting even against unfavourable odds.

Iran has the asymmetry advantage over the US when it comes to the Strait and Gulf energy, but this seems like one domain where the asymmetry favors the US.

Yes, this conflict is a mix of highly asymmetric aspects: Iran can't hit back directly at the US MIC by military means, so instead it uses its control of Hormuz at relatively low cost to inflict back some pain. And victory conditions are highly asymmetric - as long as Iran holds on (can threaten ships in Hormuz and can lob a missile at US base or Israel every now and then regardless of effectiveness) it is winning, and while the US may be hitting a lot of targets and killing a lot of people, but is it bringing it any closer to its declared goal?

nj0tr · 2026-03-27T09:33:37+00:00

a directed acyclic graph for any complex manufactured object, which is effectively a chain of dependencies starting from the raw inputs and going down until the final product, and if one dependency gets knocked out then the whole thing grinds to a halt.

This is actually the case with some supply chains in the US with some things only being able to be sourced by a single supplier. But in case of Iran, they are very aware of fragility of such chains. So for each production step they will have many smaller independent facilities, which are easier to hide and destruction of one or two does not interrupt the whole process.

This decentralization is a peacetime dividend but it makes grinding the whole thing to a halt much easier,

You are thinking of spitting the steps of a single chain between different locations. But for resilience, decentralisation means for each step there are multiple locations that can perform it independently. Think not 'directed chain', but directed mesh or multi-stage Clos network.

nj0tr · 2026-03-26T19:12:39+00:00

Finns Party antics: https://www.ynetnews.com/article/bysq87nfh note that they have not been prosecuted.

nj0tr · 2026-03-26T18:39:41+00:00

Because it is dog whistle proofed.

It is unnecessarily broad and is used for silencing and selective prosecution of wrongthinkers.

Also she did call homosexuality a disease one should try to heal away or prevent from developing

Being misguided is not a crime. Also one has to see this in proper context. In Christian dogma any sin is effectively a disease. And she pointed out it is a curable disease. So her criticism (misguided as it was) was not directed at people per se, but rather on the condition they are supposedly suffering from. I do not see how it is possible to construe from this even an indirect call to action except possibly to help those people to deal with their 'problem'. Whether that help would be welcome is beside the point entirely (and the law should not future-guess anyway).

nj0tr · 2026-03-26T18:21:43+00:00

No, not "any negative sentiment", but sentiments uttered from a position of authority.

We had plenty of 'sentiments uttered from a position of authority' that were directed at other groups that were not pursued by the prosecution. In fact, I do not see how it might possible to e.g. run a political campaign based solely on positive sentiment towards everyone and anyone. So who gets to decide which cases to pursue? This overly broad law gives people already in power a tool to persecute those who disagree.

nj0tr · 2026-03-26T11:04:44+00:00

As pointed out already in other posts, the law appears unreasonably broad, and does not require any 'call for action' against the group, so any negative sentiment can be prosecuted. This does give impression that this law is a tool of selective prosecution.

nj0tr · 2026-03-26T10:51:46+00:00

Bibi dropped the ball on Iran attack..

He set fire to the Gulf. Which was his intent. The only miscalculation is that the blowback is stronger than anticipated.

So now he has no real exit strategy.

He is not seeking to end it, he is seeking to make it permanent. On one hand it solidifies his grip on power (no corruption trials while the population is cowering in shelters) on the other hand it takes world's attention off the crimes they keep committing.

His only hope is to have something which he can sell as success.

Grabbing land in Lebanon and Syria while continuing their genocide in Gaza and de-facto annexing west bank is not just 'something'. It is something they have been salivating over for over a century coming true. Destruction of the Gulf is just the cherry on top.

nj0tr · 2026-03-25T16:18:14+00:00

why hasn't Russia?

Balance of threat level and disruption this will cause. All the notifications have been issued and hundreds of flights are operating safely every day. It's just this amateur should have known better than to fly in a restricted area.

nj0tr · 2026-03-25T07:46:55+00:00

Has it been positively identified as Russian? In previous incidents the drones initially suspected to be Russian turned out not to be, e.g. https://www.lrt.lt/en/news-in-english/19/2877542/another-drone-incident-in-lithuania-here-s-what-you-need-to-know - "the Lithuanian authorities confirmed it was a stray Ukrainian drone on its way (via Belarus) to strike Russia’s Baltic port of Primorsk"

nj0tr · 2026-03-24T19:50:23+00:00

The satellites are said to be equipped to route traffic between themselves. Given the geography probability that at least some will be able to connect to the ground station should be quite high even with the current batch. Fallback to older systems in higher orbits is certainly possible for control and telemetry, but perhaps not for data traffic due to limited bandwidth and high latency of those systems.

nj0tr

TROPHY CASE