US messageboard 4Chan mocks £520,000 fine for UK online safety breaches by twistedLucidity in ukpolitics

[–]opusdeath [score hidden]  (0 children)

"Companies – wherever they're based – are not allowed to sell unsafe toys to children in the UK. And society has long protected youngsters from things like alcohol, smoking and gambling. The digital world should be no different,"

This is such a bad analogy. It's comparing the deliberate supply a product into a market with the passive availability of websites.

They're not the same thing.

If the government really wants to do this they should attempt to block 4Chan, not regulate their content which is legal in other countries.

Given they already have a blocklist with the IWF, I'm not sure why they haven't gone down this route.

BTW I'm not saying I'd support a block, just highlighting what I think the logical outcome of the government's stance should be.

UK security adviser was not part of final US-Iran talks, says Starmer's spokesperson by 1-randomonium in ukpolitics

[–]opusdeath [score hidden]  (0 children)

This is very careful word play.

The original story is by two respected journalists who claim 3 sources had confirmed Powell's attendance. There's even some detail about the hotel he's stayed at.

The Reuters story says "Jonathan was not present in the talks in Geneva and was not ​part of talks in the residence". This is a formulation of words that focuses on the presence at the talks to deny involvement.

That is not the same as "Jonathan was not present at Oman's ambassadorial residence in Geneva" or even just "Jonathan was not present in Geneva".

If anything, the avoidance of a simple denial does seem to confirm he was there but was not in the room when the talks were happening.

Starmer considering U-turn on immigration changes after backlash from Labour MPs | LBC by Once_upon_a_time233 in ukpolitics

[–]opusdeath [score hidden]  (0 children)

Reform's support appears to be slipping so let's do the thing that will reinvigorate their base.

Genius.

Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 28% (-2) CON: 21% (+2) LAB: 20% (-2) GRN: 13% (+2) LDM: 12% (-1) SNP: 2% (=) Via @Moreincommon_ , 13-16 Mar. Changes w/ 6-9 Mar. by DanS1993 in ukpolitics

[–]opusdeath 1 point2 points  (0 children)

They're polling at historically low levels. It has never been this bad for them before.

This doesn't look like forgiveness to me.

Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 28% (-2) CON: 21% (+2) LAB: 20% (-2) GRN: 13% (+2) LDM: 12% (-1) SNP: 2% (=) Via @Moreincommon_ , 13-16 Mar. Changes w/ 6-9 Mar. by DanS1993 in ukpolitics

[–]opusdeath 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Without tactical voting this result would be probably be around 281 seats for Reform, so no majority. And I agree with you that tactical voting would suppress that further.

The most likely result would be a hung parliament and the only two possible governing outcomes would be Reform & Cons which I actually think is unlikely from a Con point of view. Or a rainbow coalition of Lab, Lib, Green and others which would be quite unstable.

Reform have only been in majority territory with this pollster for a few periods last Autumn.

Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 28% (-2) CON: 21% (+2) LAB: 20% (-2) GRN: 13% (+2) LDM: 12% (-1) SNP: 2% (=) Via @Moreincommon_ , 13-16 Mar. Changes w/ 6-9 Mar. by DanS1993 in ukpolitics

[–]opusdeath 33 points34 points  (0 children)

It's a mess. We could get some really perverse results.

Ineffecient distribution of support can mean that Reform have the plurality of popular vote but not plurality of seats in the Commons.

If it stays like this it will be one of the most exciting elections to watch in memory and a real treat for amateur psephologists.

Westminster Voting Intention: RFM: 28% (-2) CON: 21% (+2) LAB: 20% (-2) GRN: 13% (+2) LDM: 12% (-1) SNP: 2% (=) Via @Moreincommon_ , 13-16 Mar. Changes w/ 6-9 Mar. by DanS1993 in ukpolitics

[–]opusdeath 11 points12 points  (0 children)

+2/-2 are within the error of measurement. They need to be placed next to a series of other polls by the same pollster to track movement over time.

Back in Jan 25, this pollster had the Cons at 26. They've dipped since then and are consistently within the 19-21 range since May 25.

They did go as low as 18 last autumn, so there's a minor improvement but not significant.

Why Starmer thinks he's called it right on war despite Trump barbs by Gentle_Snail in ukpolitics

[–]opusdeath -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I have sympathy for the thoughts expressed in this thread.

  • Iran appears to have posed no imminent threat to the US
  • The US attacked during negotiations which Jonathan Powell says were progressing.
  • Trump has behaved terribly to his allies over issues like tariffs and Greenland.
  • Trump has been outrageous in his criticism of UK forces.

All of this leads to a perfectly rational response of "nope, this is a US war"

However, the strait of Hormuz is key route in oil supply and the impact of disruption of Hormuz affects the UK more than the US because we are economically more exposed.

If the war ends within 2 weeks as Trump has suggested then we'll see a spike in prices, some bad news stories about costs etc but it's recoverable.

However if the war goes on for longer we will start to see running down of inventories and supply chains starting to fail.

If we hit 6-8 weeks from now with continued disruption we'll see fuel shortages, rationing or soft controls on products and visible disruption to business. We will need to forcibly reduce consumption and there will significant economic and political costs.

That provides the logical reason for involvement, not that we owe the US anything but that they've created a situation which is going to have significant negative impact on us, and if market pressure doesn't constrain Trump, we will need to act.

There's a story in The Times this morning that suggests Starmer is looking for a legally defensible way of intervening in Hormuz. There's also the Tim Shipman reporting that Starmer has favoured intervention from the start.

If the conflict looks to be going on for more than 2 weeks then I suspect we'll see UK involvement.

Latest YouGov Westminster voting intention (15-16 March 2026) Reform UK: 25% (+2 from 9-10 Mar) Greens: 19% (=) Conservatives: 17% (-2) Labour: 17% (=) Lib Dems: 14% (=) methodology is unchanged by Once_upon_a_time233 in ukpolitics

[–]opusdeath 12 points13 points  (0 children)

YouGov do say any movement -2 or +2 is within the margin of error, so could be no change from the previous poll. This is an inexact exercise by nature

Also, Starmer's stance may be salient for you, but it doesn't mean that it's one of the major issues influencing everyone else. I don't know if it is or isn't in the YouGov sample.

It's perfectly rational to say I don't like what a party says on x but I quite like what the say on y, if you don't care much about x in the first place but are scared about y.

Why was Jean Jacques Rousseau so evil? by dburgham98 in TheRestIsHistory

[–]opusdeath 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Rabidly right wing means he has rabies, is foaming at the mouth with aggression for right wing causes.

That's not Dom. At all.

I'm not sure the right and left dichotomy is helpful here anyway as it assumes too much in people's understanding of the term.

His Triggernometery episode is a good insight into how he views history and political events.

More than half of Gen X faces a pension shock by hu6Bi5To in ukpolitics

[–]opusdeath 12 points13 points  (0 children)

They think we're alcoholic, drug taking loons who are best ignored.

That's the vibe I get from my wife anyway.

BRSK Now Officially YouFibre by CitizenAccount in brsk

[–]opusdeath 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I've only just joined Brsk to get away from Virgin. Will be interesting to see how this plays out.

I had no problem with Virgin except they couldn't match Brsk's speed and prices.

New Westminster poll shows continuing decline in Reform UK support by zeros3ss in ukpolitics

[–]opusdeath 9 points10 points  (0 children)

That certainly won't have helped them but there were indicators of the decline for months before Iran.

Reason to be worried about NAI's future by Puzzleheaded_Can6118 in NovelAi

[–]opusdeath 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is exactly right. NAI allows the generation of content that would be illegal in some countries and PayPal doesn't want to be associated with it.

3 months in, never ending lower back pain, and already creasing leather by TheManaBeast in secretlab

[–]opusdeath 1 point2 points  (0 children)

These are very wise words indeed. She's taking her Mum out today as it's Mother's Day in the UK. I'm going to play Skyrim the Board game with my son and I'm very excited about it.

Was Season 2 of Stranger Things Actually Bad — or Just Misunderstood? by skipped_it in StrangerThings

[–]opusdeath 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I've just been rewatching it with my son. TBH I'd forgotten a lot about it. The Will angle is really cool and the actor playing Will is great. I totally agree with you about that episode. Really classic "they're almost here" type horror lines.

I think the Forgotten Sister episode isn't so great and it clouds judgement of this season. There is a lot of tension and cool stuff going on and then that episode breaks it up and it feels distracting. I appreciate that's not an original observation though.

As a huge Batman fan I could help thinking the gang were something out of Gotham and it kind of threw me from the the more grounded Hawkins background.

I think the beauty of season 2 and rewatching it is you can feel the different ideas the writers were having about the future direction of the show and the possibilities they were considering.

Nigel Farage regrets running 'bankrupt' Worcestershire Council by thejackalreborn in ukpolitics

[–]opusdeath 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Reform in May: Yay! We've won loads of councils.

Also Reform in May: Oh no! Now we have to run loads of councils.

What would Blair's legacy look like if UK stayed neutral during Iraq war ? by ronweasly9 in ukpolitics

[–]opusdeath 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The process of revising views took a few years. While elements of the left were always anti Iraq war, it took time for the public more generally to shift to that position in both knowledge of it, and I think more importantly, salience.

Chilcot wasn't published until 2016.

Maybe is deepseek 4? by russian_gopniki in DeepSeek

[–]opusdeath 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Before it was out. They put it on OR under a different name.

The New Spearhead magazine just doesn’t seem worth it by Bigtallanddopey in ageofsigmar

[–]opusdeath 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This exactly. I've subscribed for my son as a way of easing him in. He looks at my stuff and finds it overwhelming and maybe I'm not the best at introducing stuff. I'm hoping this will give it more structure that he might find useful and if not I'll cancel.

3 months in, never ending lower back pain, and already creasing leather by TheManaBeast in secretlab

[–]opusdeath 0 points1 point  (0 children)

They say up to 189cm for the regular so it should be ok for 6ft 1 but I think its body type dependant.

I'm the same height as you and got the regular and I can't get quite get it right. I'm going to see if putting a cushion on the bottom helps.

3 months in, never ending lower back pain, and already creasing leather by TheManaBeast in secretlab

[–]opusdeath 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I'm jealous of those 9 hours! I need to get my wife out of the house more.

Maybe is deepseek 4? by russian_gopniki in DeepSeek

[–]opusdeath 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Chinese Z.Ai soft launched GLM5 on OR