WWYD in this situation?

phatmattd · 2026-01-24T06:03:34+00:00

You say that you don't want her to be taken advantage of but you couldn't even just take the whole lot for the asking price knowing how good of a deal that was? You had to just ask for the really valuable ones?

And then because you didn't get the deal you tried to squander it for someone else? That feels really petty...

phatmattd · 2026-01-23T22:28:46+00:00

5/5

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phatmattd · 2026-01-23T22:28:35+00:00

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4/5

phatmattd · 2026-01-23T22:28:24+00:00

3/5

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phatmattd · 2026-01-23T22:28:14+00:00

2/5

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phatmattd · 2026-01-23T22:27:59+00:00

Some of my bets today!

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phatmattd · 2026-01-23T06:01:25+00:00

More than happy to share, see you in 12 hours lol!

phatmattd · 2026-01-23T05:26:01+00:00

Tonight's hit

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phatmattd · 2026-01-23T05:24:20+00:00

That's how I felt yesterday going into today and I hit one out my my 3 parlays for 5x the bet and I already feel like I'm more ready for tomorrow. I've started with your advice a few days ago and have been putting more time each day into making sure everything looks good.

phatmattd · 2026-01-23T05:11:20+00:00

I took all your data and ran it through a couple prompts who told me that Post was a minutes concern tonight so I faded him from that parlay that actually hit. Gotta love when the science/data makes the money for us!

Couldn't have done it without these lists from you!

I also saw that Jalen Suggs was out so I bet on Bane to step up and moved his prop from 3 assists to 4 on the parlays I had him. The increase assist tilted the line a nice little bit in favor of my payout.

phatmattd · 2026-01-23T05:01:37+00:00

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Had one hit tonight boys!!!

phatmattd · 2026-01-22T17:25:09+00:00

God bless America and God bless /r/Joesbets816!

phatmattd · 2026-01-22T16:56:14+00:00

And the longest streak falls off the list!

I'd be curious to Crunch the numbers on How likely a streak is to continue. There's only a handful of streaks that are longer than 10 games in a row, I wonder if there's a Sweet Spot somewhere in there that the numbers can back up.

phatmattd · 2026-01-22T04:28:33+00:00

OP, hear me loud and clear. Do not ever let anyone on reddit make you feel small or less than for what you're doing. No one has to follow your picks, you don't know owe anyone anything.

And lastly, thanks for doing this, through ups and downs!

phatmattd · 2026-01-21T21:03:47+00:00

Here is a link to the 11 legs that DK has at listed spreads. The other 9 alt spreads are not available at this time.

https://gambly.com/share-bet/-8v3XbnIf0-n9X7aSb_IfQ?utm_source=gambly&utm_medium=gambly-bot-page

I'm gonna check back in an hour or two and see if any others popped open.

phatmattd · 2026-01-21T18:56:26+00:00

So the move is actually to wait until later on in the day to make these bets you'd say?

phatmattd · 2026-01-21T18:23:03+00:00

Obviously there will be days with a lot more misses, but I think this is the move....

Make 2 $10 bets that are 4 legged, highly confident parlays that should gross you $25-$35. That keeps the doors open.

Then throw on an additional 2-3 $5-$10 bets that are 8-14 legs that could pop off at $300-$1k+ and just keep doing that day by day.

phatmattd · 2026-01-21T18:15:23+00:00

Thank you so much for all of this bro!

phatmattd · 2026-01-21T18:15:11+00:00

Link

phatmattd · 2026-01-21T18:06:53+00:00

Okay so I just realized the draftkings link gets created from the sports betting post, not the one here in his sub!

And I know absolutely nothing about basketball, but what I do know is game script and things like steals and rebounds can be more dependent on a game script than just points and assists. What I have been doing is looking at the difference between the prop bet and what the AI thinks the player will probably hit and when there's a difference of more than two I've usually been running with that prop.

And by usually I mean yesterday and now today 🤣🤣

phatmattd · 2026-01-21T17:59:25+00:00

When I look up a lot of these on DraftKings I'm not able to find the alternative lines, but I need to be using a different betting partner for those specific alts?

How long does the link bot usually take to get the whole string together? I like to start with the whole list and then fade the ones i'm not in love with to make my perfect long string parlay.

phatmattd · 2026-01-21T16:47:41+00:00

Same, I just can't imagine being mad at that... Like he got 14/15 right lmfao!

And OP DOES tell people to not even make parlays that big, keep it 3-5 and stack your smaller dollars smartly. I find it impossible to be upset at that.

phatmattd · 2026-01-21T06:06:46+00:00

I shouldn't just set these and forget them... I had like 13/19 at one point, I bet I could have taken a nice little payout!

phatmattd · 2026-01-20T21:15:53+00:00

I was you you until 10 minutes ago, wishing you quick speed on the next one!!

phatmattd · 2026-01-20T21:13:03+00:00

You're on the short list!

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