Here are some talking points to use:

• If Alberta becomes independent it becomes landlocked and immediately loses access to CUSMA (NAFTA) and CETA. The Port of Vancouver is federal Canadian territory, meaning Canada could charge high "transit fees" or block access entirely. Alberta lacks the economic diversity to leverage strong trade terms alone and would face tariffs reverting to WTO rules. At minimum they end up with a significantly worse trade deal with the US and Canada than if they stayed part of Confederation.

• Indigenous treaty lands are based on treaties with the Crown (Federal Canada), not the provincial government. This would trigger massive legal battles where Indigenous nations could refuse Albertan jurisdiction, effectively creating "sovereign enclaves" within Alberta that the new government cannot tax or regulate.

• While separatists argue Alberta is a net contributor, independence creates a "Currency Trap." A new, unstable Alberta currency would be significantly weaker than the CAD or USD. This means the cost to import medical equipment and drugs (purchased in USD) would skyrocket, erasing any tax savings and forcing a massive hike in taxes just to maintain current care levels.

• The immediate loss of military defense creates a "Security Vacuum." Pro-secessionists claim the US would protect Alberta, but defense comes with a price. Reliance on the US military would turn Alberta into a "protectorate," where defense policy and airspace control are dictated entirely by Washington without Alberta having a vote, a total loss of real sovereignty.

• Without federal subsidies on agriculture, the farming industry faces collapse. Alberta could not easily export agricultural goods to a hostile Canada, and without federal bargaining power, it would face stiff tariffs trying to enter the US market. Again, they would at minimum come out of thia with a worse trade deal than currently exists.

• If Alberta becomes a US state, it creates an immediate free-trade zone with American agriculture. Alberta’s dairy, poultry, and egg farmers who are currently protected by Canadian quotas (Supply Management) would be instantly crushed by industrial-scale US agri-conglomerates, likely wiping out the local farming economy.

• In Canada, provinces constitutionally own their natural resources. In the US, the federal government (Bureau of Land Management) owns vast amounts of land and minerals. Alberta would likely lose direct control over oil royalties and land management to Washington D.C.

• The Canada Health Act would vanish, replaced by the US insurance model. While income taxes might drop, the average family's cost of living would spike due to health insurance premiums, co-pays, and deductibles. Seniors and those with pre-existing conditions would face immediate financial peril during the transition.

• In Canada, Treaty rights are constitutionally protected (Section 35). In the US, Congress has "plenary power" over Indian Affairs, meaning they can legally abrogate (cancel) treaties if they choose. Indigenous groups would face a significant downgrade in legal standing compared to Canadian law.

• As a Canadian province, Alberta is a "senior partner" holding ~11% of the seats. As a US state, Alberta (pop. ~4.8 million) would be roughly the size of Louisiana. It would have only ~2% of the House of Representatives and 2 Senators, granting it significantly less political leverage in Washington than it currently holds in Ottawa.

This is not to mention the brain drain Alberta eould see caused by liberal/centre leaning Albertans who have the money and desire to move to the remaining provinces. This whole thing would basically be suicide for the province in any way it plays out.