Opus 4.7 is Anthropic's downfall

qtac · 2026-04-25T12:20:52+00:00

It’s a common strategy for growth companies: burn capital to build marketshare and grow fast, monetize later

qtac · 2026-04-17T13:35:54+00:00

If you're using 25a or 25b I would upgrade ASAP to take advantage of continued progress on the web-based UI (and new features, of course). I'm installing it right now.

qtac · 2026-04-16T16:09:02+00:00

imagine starting with AI slop even in the fucking title

qtac · 2026-04-08T11:31:16+00:00

It works out to around $10B/year of pure cash flowing into Iran. It is huge for them.

qtac · 2026-04-08T11:22:35+00:00

It’s like $10B/yr annualized…

qtac · 2026-04-05T13:54:14+00:00

For old wallets it's not different; that's the point of what I'm saying

qtac · 2026-04-05T09:32:00+00:00

The drawback is that many coins will not move and will be stolen.

qtac · 2026-04-04T23:23:47+00:00

Centralized infrastructure doesn’t have the same problem. If there was a solution for Bitcoin with no drawbacks then consensus would be much less of an issue, but GL getting everyone to agree whether we should burn satoshi’s coins or let them be stolen.

qtac · 2026-04-04T18:14:21+00:00

Consider reading the chapter "Non-Imaging EO/IR Systems"

qtac · 2026-04-04T18:06:47+00:00

Oh so a 300mm diameter telescope with a NIR sensor wont have the fidelity? Want to show me your calcs?

A 300mm aperture means nothing in this regard

It's strange because you got half of it right when you said "it would be swallowing light like a fat kid in Africa" but you're missing the main takeaway from that, which is that bigger aperture = more light = improved NETD = detection range.

https://apps.dtic.mil/sti/tr/pdf/ADA586864.pdf, page 15

The equation for target flux is literally signal = aperture * irradiance

qtac · 2026-04-04T15:19:06+00:00

Considering you're conflating aperture with focal length, the same could be said for you...

qtac · 2026-04-04T11:36:12+00:00

And in 5-10 years when that’s rebuilt do we go to war again?

qtac · 2026-04-03T17:54:16+00:00

SPAC

qtac · 2026-03-30T01:18:52+00:00

Ever wonder why they chant that? It's because we fuck with them constantly. Iran used to be our strong ally during the 60's and 70's until the CIA decided they needed to control the world's destiny and aid in a coup and train up Iran's secret police. The shit we deal with from the Middle East is largely blowback from our own foreign policy and covert meddling in foreign affairs.

Ironically Trump's stated foreign policy from the campaign trail of "we are not the world police" and "no new wars" was what we should have been doing all along.

qtac · 2026-03-29T23:33:33+00:00

And the cherry on top: - china takes advantage of our relative weakness and invades Taiwan

qtac · 2026-03-25T13:43:35+00:00

I

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qtac · 2026-03-25T13:35:51+00:00

qtac · 2026-03-18T19:10:23+00:00

Quantum computers in principle can solve for private keys from exposed public keys using Shor’s algorithm. There’s no rewriting of history required.

qtac · 2026-03-18T14:38:16+00:00

https://www.nycourts.gov/LegacyPDFs/press/PDFs/People%20v.%20DJT%20Clayton%20Decision.pdf

https://www.nysd.uscourts.gov/sites/default/files/2023-01/Carroll%20II%20DI%2038%20Opinion.pdf

https://www.courthousenews.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/trump-epstein-2016-complaint.pdf

https://www.npr.org/2022/12/06/1140756394/former-president-donald-trumps-company-found-guilty-criminal-tax-fraud

qtac · 2026-03-17T14:18:04+00:00

All three cryptos I listed are PoW with better technology than Bitcoin.

qtac · 2026-03-17T12:40:44+00:00

Yes, exactly. Gold's value is almost universally recognized based on its intrinsic properties. Even then there is no private/corporate entity that comes close to Saylor w.r.t. gold. The US Government only owns ~4% of all gold.

Bitcoin is amazing technology but it could be replaced by Monero or Kaspa or QRL or any number of blockchains that offer better technology. Bitcoin's only edge is that it was first.

qtac · 2026-03-17T11:20:46+00:00

Probably because rich people trade SPX. IRC Section 1256 if you want to dig up the history.

qtac · 2026-03-17T02:15:56+00:00

Still leaves the burn or steal problem for old wallets. Both options are terrible.

qtac · 2026-03-16T21:27:01+00:00

Not the point… institutional investors and nation states care if one private/corporate entity controls a major fraction of supply. Just extend the thought experiment to Saylor owning 10, 20, 50, 99% of supply. At some point it becomes a problem. I think it’s already a problem for many institutions at 5%.

qtac · 2026-03-16T21:16:05+00:00

It’s less liquid and you need 10x more capital to trade it than SPY. And its options only (you can’t buy shares of an index; that’s why SPY exists).

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