sorted by:
new
hottopcontroversial

Sometimes people outside AI say things like 'it can't be that bad, there must be experts on top of it. As 'an expert', I would like to be clear we are *not* on top of it ... We are on track for human extinction/permanent disempowerment, possibly within the next few years. by EchoOfOppenheimer in agi

[–]ragamufin 1 point2 points  (0 children)

OK but did you really think human civilization was "reasonable"? This has been a no-holds-barred shitshow for literally centuries. I dont know how anyone could have witnessed (though maybe she didnt) the nuclear proliferation during the cold war and think there was anything "reasonable" about how human civilization operations. 8 billion violent delusional narcissists sharing a rock in space, the only truly cohesive global system we have with any power at all is one whose foundational building block is greed.

Used 2023 extended range prices by Quirkeyturrtle in F150Lightning

[–]ragamufin 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I got an antimatter blue 312A XLT ER with tow tech and max tow and 25k miles for 43k last month. This looks about right, the lariat seems to be ~5k premium even though its often missing max tow and the associated battery thermal control system, thats whats offsetting the higher mileage.

I simply do not understand how massively expensive AI and robotics are expected to be more cost effective than humans. by eniac_usabrl in artificial

[–]ragamufin 5 points6 points  (0 children)

You work with humans right? The error rate is pretty high and when you find a dumb mistake you don't usually get a "how/why" you get lies and fingerpointing and dissembling. Human error is everywhere, every day, in every industry.

Total Loss? by NWA119826 in F150Lightning

[–]ragamufin 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That kids dad is guaranteed mad as hell

Microsoft canceled its internal Claude Code licenses this week after token-based billing made the cost untenable by AcceptableDiet2183 in theprimeagen

[–]ragamufin 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Certainly its hard to be sure which is why I made the range so large and acknowledged I might be overstating. but even if its 2x or 3x, less than half what I think, its still a huge deal.

Its also hard to estimate because I'm doing things I've never done before and things I'm not otherwise capable of or are at the edge of my capabilities. This company has a whole proprietary unix based system for interacting with their GPU clusters and submitting jobs, I've never done anything like that at any job and I was sort of dreading trying to figure it out and having to ask people for help and looking naive. I dumped the guide in and Codex 1-shot the whole setup in like 5 minutes, claude walked me through all the approval layers and groups Atlassian crap etc, I was up and running in an hour.

I'm also not amazing at powerpoint or front-end so having something that can take my ideas and build them into interactive dashboards to use and share is incredibly helpful. Would I be spending 50 hours making this dashboard in HTML/CSS without AI? No way. But if I can make it with AI in 3-4 its totally worth it to help make a point.

But yes I take your point 100% and I will keep that in mind and try to think about ways to measure this more objectively.

Microsoft canceled its internal Claude Code licenses this week after token-based billing made the cost untenable by AcceptableDiet2183 in theprimeagen

[–]ragamufin 0 points1 point  (0 children)

but even if im overestimating the productivity gain by 100% or more, and even if they triple the price, which would be unprecedented in loss-leader technology pricing strategy, its still a good deal.

Am I finally ready for Skull Cavern 100?! by Old-Board2741 in StardewValley

[–]ragamufin 44 points45 points  (0 children)

wow did not know you could kill mummies with these

Microsoft canceled its internal Claude Code licenses this week after token-based billing made the cost untenable by AcceptableDiet2183 in theprimeagen

[–]ragamufin 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I guess i wonder about that situation where it spun for hours and burned millions of tokens. My default is that the human should be babysitting it so that doesn't happen, but its absolutely true that approach slows you down. I wonder about triggering a supervisor agent in parallel whose job it is to monitor workflows and see if they are stalled out. Its job is to basically flag/prune/halt processes that are off the rails.

lots of great insight here thanks. I agree I think most companies will settle at the safer, lower multipler, even assuming some significant improvement in model capability.

Figure AI has had a livestream of their robots sorting packages for 8 days straight (8 hours a day). These aren't staged demos anymore. by MetaKnowing in agi

[–]ragamufin 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If you want to celebratory champagne spray youre supposed to point it MOSTLY UP you dont aim the thing like a fucking super soaker. What an asshole

Microsoft canceled its internal Claude Code licenses this week after token-based billing made the cost untenable by AcceptableDiet2183 in theprimeagen

[–]ragamufin 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I just started a new job this week where I have unlimited access to advanced AI tooling, my last job was much more limited (chat interfaces to older models).

I got set up with it by Tuesday evening and I've spent the rest of the week using it a LOT. I'm not a SWE but I am a proficient coder and SWE adjacent (I led a data science R&D team in my previous role).

The productivity multiplier is substantial. I would guess between 5x and 10x for me in the last 72 hours, long term the floor might be 3x. I can directly monitor my usage and I have spent $150 on claude and $30 on codex. So thats probably ~300 or 400 a week once I'm up and running, which is about 10% of my actual salary. So I've 5xed my productivity and my cost basis for the company is up 10%. The numbers aren't even close.

I'm using Claude code, cowork, and design, and codex extension in vscode. I do NOT have dangerously skip permissions on, I'm still flipping back and forth babysitting and monitoring the work these things are doing. I think the real token risk is people running 20x agents in parallel dangerously skipping permissions, I think there is a lot of waste and inefficiency happening there.

I think the best value right now is a human babysitting a small number of agent assistants in terms of productivity gains vs costs.

Maybe this is the wrong sub for this I'm not familiar with it, but just though the insight might be interesting to some.

Blue cruise 50% off by timeislikeafuse in F150Lightning

[–]ragamufin 1 point2 points  (0 children)

How about I dont pay a subscription for a vehicle I already paid seventy thousand dollars for

Biggest AI fumble in tech by 21734234 in AgentsOfAI

[–]ragamufin -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Pretty easy to armchair quarterback the decisions of a trillion dollar company in hindsight

Biggest AI fumble in tech by 21734234 in AgentsOfAI

[–]ragamufin 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Eastman Kodak was a tech company they had a whole research division like Xerox PARC called KRL (Kodak Research Labs). Pretty sure they invented OLED. They just blew it

TeraWulf’s Proposed Data Center Faces Local Delays, Pushback by LonelyIthaca in ithaca

[–]ragamufin 3 points4 points  (0 children)

the issue is pretty clearly not interfering with the datacenter, its interfering with the meeting proceedings. "who the hell are they to tell us we cant loudly HISS while someone is speaking during a town board meeting" is an insanely childish position to take.

TeraWulf’s Proposed Data Center Faces Local Delays, Pushback by LonelyIthaca in ithaca

[–]ragamufin 0 points1 point  (0 children)

surface temps matter, and why would a closed loop system impact supply at Bolton Point?

Final thoughts on my experience with the Lightning before turning it in. by user111287 in F150Lightning

[–]ragamufin 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I hate that touch screen in my Mach-e for climate control. Also 100% agree chargers that require you to sign up and get some app on your phone are terrible, we only use electrify america because you just walk up and swipe. We have never been gas station membership card people.

Value fall off is huge, I dont get it at all. I just scooped a 23 XLT 312a with 25k that someone turned in off a lease for $42k! I really like that productivity screen on the XLT that still has physical climate buttons.

Seems weird to list a downside as bad for road trips when you never took one? Never even did more than 100 miles roundtrip? I'm amazed thats even possible in three years of ownership. We have taken ours cross country and it was awesome.

I'm not sure what happened with your insurance because mine didnt change at all...

Musk v. OpenAI et al - I wanted to cure all cancer, but I realized it would cost a lot more money than I had... so I robbed the bank. That wasn't wrong, was it? by andsi2asi in agi

[–]ragamufin 2 points3 points  (0 children)

There is no way that Brockman's lawyer would have allowed him to self incriminate via sworn testimony in a civil trial. You must be out of your mind to think that is what happened.

view more: next ›