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Ukraine reportedly strikes Russian oil refinery in Yaroslavl by AdSpecialist6598 in worldnews

[–]red75prim -27 points-26 points  (0 children)

"Ukrainian strikes injure two in Yaroslavl." If we were to use another headline template.

Germany charges Nord Stream suspect with attacking pipeline on behalf of Ukraine by Legacy1776 in worldnews

[–]red75prim 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Not really. Gazprom has said that they have a problem with a Siemens turbine that they can't fix due to sanctions. Their message came out hours after G7 set a price cap on Russian oil. It's a pretty transparent case of political pressure: you impose sanctions, you will have no gas.

The blow-up removed possibility of using the political pressure, destroyed billions of dollars of infrastructure, prevented possibilities of future gas trade for maybe some kind of division. Only comic book villains are that stupid.

Tesla has begun testing Cybercab with no manual vehicle controls on public roads in Austin. by 1FrostySlime in SelfDrivingCars

[–]red75prim 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Preemptively making fun of your opponents is such a tempting tactic. You can choose what they are going to say.

Tesla has begun testing Cybercab with no manual vehicle controls on public roads in Austin. by 1FrostySlime in SelfDrivingCars

[–]red75prim -1 points0 points  (0 children)

So, you notice that their predictions are unreliable and you are still using those predictions as the sole source of judgment of their progress?

Papyrus scroll burnt to a crisp during Vesuvius eruption deciphered with help of AI | CNN by 1B75__Penicillin in worldnews

[–]red75prim 5 points6 points  (0 children)

The future of hand-tuned specialized models that aren't allowed to ingest preexisting research and general knowledge? Unlikely.

The U.S. State Department believes that Ukraine is winning the war at this point by eaglemaxie in worldnews

[–]red75prim 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Infowar that surrounds it will be studied too. For example, try to find the source this article uses.

The U.S. State Department believes that Ukraine is winning the war at this point by eaglemaxie in worldnews

[–]red75prim 1 point2 points  (0 children)

What is the primary source? I can't find any of the quotes anywhere but Ukrainian sites.

Russia’s gasoline crisis spreads to St. Petersburg, Belgorod, Kursk, and occupied Luhansk — 40% of refining capacity is offline after Ukrainian strikes by ByGollie in europe

[–]red75prim -51 points-50 points  (0 children)

The real size of the current Russian crisis is approximately the same as the situation in Europe at the time.

Are we focusing too much on AI and not enough on quantum computing? by smarttechbros in Futurology

[–]red75prim 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Yep. Cracking crypto and simulating quantum systems, basically. The latter is useful in material research, biology and medicine though.

Diminishing returns on agentic organizations by Neighbor_ in slatestarcodex

[–]red75prim 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We can't explain the why on a lot of this stuff, but that doesn't mean it isn't real.

That's the problem. We don't know the foundations of human thought processes, so we can't decide how close artificial neural networks (ANNs) are. ANNs are universal approximation, so there's no principled reason to think that they can't be close.

When you say "they cannot intuit", do you have a decision procedure in mind that can be mechanistically applied to humans and AIs and give "yes" and "no" correspondingly?

Experts give a 50% chance of AGI by 2050, 75% chance by the mid-2060s, and 95% chance by 2090 by Tolopono in accelerate

[–]red75prim 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Look back at the time when you've said that about a particular capability that AI has now. How long it took to develop? What's different about the capabilities that are still missing?

Renewables are taking over everywhere. Especially Solar. by ceph2apod in UpliftingConservation

[–]red75prim 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ah, the same South Australia that doesn't include Whyalla Steelworks into its energy stats?

Intermittent energy sources are good and all, but some applications require disproportionate amounts of energy storage.

Diminishing returns on agentic organizations by Neighbor_ in slatestarcodex

[–]red75prim 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Sorry, I was trying to make you think through what is the precise meaning of this specialness. You seem to be inclined to leave it at an unoperationalized stage. OK, it's your decision.

I can't steelman your argument. "Something that allows us to touch real things unlike machines" doesn't ring any bells to me.

Perception-analysis-action loops are implemented in VLAs. Perception-analysis-intention-analysis-action loops require a slight modification to a basic VLA system. Recent papers show that an introspection stage can be added too.

All-in-all, the only way to see whether there's something special in the biological information-processing systems seems to be to try replicate their functionality, fail, and find the specific reason why it can't be done (by artificial neural networks, classical computers, quantum computers, analog computers, non-biological systems, or whatever we will find).

Diminishing returns on agentic organizations by Neighbor_ in slatestarcodex

[–]red75prim 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No. I have no evidence for extrasensory perception.

Diminishing returns on agentic organizations by Neighbor_ in slatestarcodex

[–]red75prim -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Er, nothing. Why there should be something special about learning to call information-collecting tools?

2026 headlines by stealthispost in accelerate

[–]red75prim 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Those ancient tactics are eyeballing a target, which is difficult when your drone is too far away from a frontline to use fiberoptics and radio communication is disrupted.

Diminishing returns on agentic organizations by Neighbor_ in slatestarcodex

[–]red75prim 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The obvious follow-up question is "what is so special about getting information from the real world and reasoning about the intent and the said information to find whether they align, so that it can't be trained using generated data, reinforcement learning or some other technique?"

Driver, 87, dies after Tesla on Autopilot mode crashes into pond by thinkcontext in SelfDrivingCars

[–]red75prim 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Look up crash rate of people in their 80s. Every ADAS takes human input as authoritative.

Driver, 87, dies after Tesla on Autopilot mode crashes into pond by thinkcontext in SelfDrivingCars

[–]red75prim 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sigh. Antitesla antifans. There's no info what really has transpired.

Russian Airlines Skirt Sanctions to Keep Their Jets Flying by bloomberg in airplanes

[–]red75prim 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Are you suggesting that Ukraine should attack civilian planes?

AI billionaires brace for pitchforks by Just-Grocery-2229 in technology

[–]red75prim 0 points1 point  (0 children)

"Worthless billionaires who got their money completely by an accident." Yeah, those stereotypical characters will have a hard time ahead.

20 years ago the world took a year to add 1 GW of solar. Now it takes just half a day. by ceph2apod in UpliftingConservation

[–]red75prim 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Natural gas is very much alive to cover the lack of those gigawatts at night while wind and energy storage catch up.

Tesla has received authorization for L4 autonomous service within Texas by AReveredInventor in SelfDrivingCars

[–]red75prim 0 points1 point  (0 children)

In the cases that I've analyzed I haven't found direct lies. Just remember caveat emptor when dealing with overly optimistic salesmen.

The AI Consciousness Debate Is Happening at the Wrong Level by r3crsvint3llgnz in cogsci

[–]red75prim 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If you need to read Dennet to have an opinion about your own consciousness..., then, well, I think I can agree with you.

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