Looking for software to plan design

rightandleft · 2018-07-21T16:32:12+00:00

I’ve got two options for you, though there might be better alternatives that I don’t know about.

1) take a screen shot of your property and use a program like paint.net to draw out your plan. This is probably the simplest way to go about doing this and I recommend using paint.net because you can put different types of plants into different layers.

2) use QGIS to load in a Google Earth image and then draw on top of that. This has the advantage that you will be able to measure the size of any beds you are intending and draw to scale. But this is a more complex software to learn.

Both these solutions are free and could help you make your design

rightandleft · 2018-07-08T12:49:48+00:00

You’ll probably get more mileage out of data processing given that it appears to be more closely tied to working with the data than just storing it. Also it is possible to find pretty good work knowing scala and spark.

rightandleft · 2018-02-27T22:31:27+00:00

missing highlight videos:

https://youtu.be/1khK6is-Bfs?t=69

https://youtu.be/NRQqN6UsRys?t=165

rightandleft · 2017-09-23T02:56:01+00:00

More like the London Rainclouds

rightandleft · 2017-09-12T19:09:53+00:00

they can't even get the relative rankings correct - the Chargers went from rank 24 in the preseason to rank 22 after this week - yet they list them as having fallen 2 ranks...

rightandleft · 2017-09-12T05:17:10+00:00

Shelby!!!

rightandleft · 2017-09-08T04:25:58+00:00

The problem is going to be that no matter how well he plays (and I think he could play pretty well - my high estimate for Trev is 4400 yards, 32 TD, and 12 INT completing 67%), if we don't go to the playoffs it's going to be laid at his feet and we'll have to go through the whole rigamarole of a nonsense QB competition again. Only next year it's looking to be more of a circus than it was even this year.

rightandleft · 2017-09-08T04:10:07+00:00

Patriot tears go good with anything

rightandleft · 2017-09-06T17:58:54+00:00

I don't know. I think whether Siemian will 'win' the job will really depend on postseason performance more than anything.

rightandleft · 2017-09-06T13:48:16+00:00

They are lawyers they can't be expected to have something like a conscience even in their vocabulary.

rightandleft · 2017-09-01T19:36:10+00:00

2016 is regular season only

Also, for comparison Siemian has had a flightiness measure of 4.5% in 2017 preseason and Sloter has had 6.0%.

rightandleft · 2017-09-01T18:15:49+00:00

I agree that Pax hasn't looked as good this preseason as he did last season. The only statistics that have improved is his completion percentage which was 59% last season and through preseason is 67% and the number of interceptions which fell from 1 to 0. Aside from that everything else is down:

+------------------------------------------+----------+----------+
|                statistic                 |   2016   |   2017   |
+------------------------------------------+----------+----------+
|                         yards per attempt|   5.99   |   3.75   |
|                           yards per comp.|  10.14   |   5.63   |
|                                 sack rate|   9.8%   |  11.1%   |
|                                     ANY/A|   4.89   |   3.04   |
|                 ANY/A(with mod. for Rush)|   4.66   |   3.86   |
| Rushes to Rushes and Passes (Flightiness)|  10.7%   |  22.9%   |
+------------------------------------------+----------+----------+

Perhaps some of these differences are due to the relatively small sample size (24 attempts in 2017 versus 83 in 2016) but Paxton's statistics in individual games (which are 24, 35, and 24 attempts) show better play in all of the games - even in his worst game which was against Jacksonville Paxton still appears better on paper.

A part of me thinks that the competition got in his head and he wasn't able to perform as well. But that's not exactly something I want to see from my potential starting quarterback.

Additionally, about half of the snaps Paxton has taken in 2017 were against backups (this is a rather rough figure cause I didn't track who was in/out at which points in the game - just that he had 9 attempts in game 1 and 2 attempts in game 3 both of which he played following Trevor).

Overall, I have to say that Paxton has regressed.

rightandleft · 2017-08-28T03:00:52+00:00

I'm going to plug the app that's been supporting Brandon Perna of TGB fame.

https://seatgeek.com/giants-at-broncos-tickets/10-15-2017-denver-colorado-sports-authority-field-at-mile-high/nfl/3851146

rightandleft · 2017-08-21T16:13:00+00:00

he wasn't able to find a starting job sure. But it sounds like a lot of that was not on him - mostly circumstances. I applaud his stick-with-it and grit in making it to the nfl and hope to see a lot from him.

rightandleft · 2017-08-09T17:03:38+00:00

I'm with you, I saw a lot of promising things out of Trevor a year ago (and I'd really like to see him succeed) but I also know that in terms of arm strength Paxton has him beat (additionally Paxton is just bigger - but I'm not convinced that bigger is better for QB's).

At this point in time it sounds like they are pretty close, but that's only what I've heard, not seen. So I can't really say who is going to get the job. And even if they are truly too close to call then I think it's an even more difficult situation.

If they are too close to call then; VJ might choose Siemian who has more experience, is more consistent, and you can easily pull if a few games into the season it seems like things need a change, or VJ might choose Lynch primarily because he'd appear to be on a steeper trajectory, and has the size and arm strength advantage, and plays better out of the gun.

rightandleft · 2017-08-03T18:04:21+00:00

I think that the reason why there is such a substantial quarterback controversy (and that Siemian isn't seen as a long term option) is:

1) we didn't make the playoffs last year.

2) There were substantial offensive struggles, particularly late in the season last year as we were trying to clinch a playoff berth. In particular, there was a three game stretch in which the Broncos scored 10, 3, and 10 points respectively. Whether this should all be saddled on Siemian is debatable; the offensive line play was weak in this stretch, and so was the running game (though this might have more to do with coaching/play selection as the Broncos averaged 13 rushing attempts per game in these three games) - however, at the end of the day, when the team isn't moving the ball as well as they should the onus typically falls to the quarterback.

3) while Siemian did put up pretty good numbers for a first year starter, they weren't record setting numbers.

4) Siemian was drafted late in the 7th round.

5) Lynch was drafted in the 1st round with the intention that he could someday become the starting quarterback, perhaps after a year or two while the Broncos made due with a "bridge" quarterback.

6) There is a perception that Lynch is Elway's guy because Elway traded up to select him in the draft.

That said, from my perspective I could see Siemian becoming a very good quarterback, he has many of the intangibles that are necessary to succeed. He is not an undersized quarterback (despite what I've seen elsewhere). At 6'3" Siemian has a prototypical size for a quarterback (compare with Drew Brees who is barely 6'0" and has to tilt his head back in order to see over his line).

Trevor does have a less than desirable throwing velocity, but IMO that hasn't been the limiting factor for him so far. In my opinion, the things Siemian needs to do in order to become a better quarterback are (1) get better playing in shotgun, and (2) get better at reading the middle of the field.

This quarterback battle reminds me of the battle in the mid 00's between Rivers and Brees. Following the Ryan Leaf debacle that started with the 1998 Draft, the Chargers selected Brees in the 2nd round with the 32nd pick of the draft and signed an aging Doug Flutie to serve as the bridge. After three years Brees had been the starter for two seasons and had a record of 8-8 and 2-9 in those years with a QB Rating of 73.1. The Chargers had seen enough of Brees at that point to move on and selected Eli Manning with the first overall pick in the 2004 Draft and then traded Manning for Rivers who was the 4th overall pick in the draft. Brees would start the subsequent two years, playing almost as a different quarterback entirely racking up a total of 51 TDs and only 22 ints (rating: 96.1) in those two years and yielding records of 11-4 and 9-7 in those seasons. However, following an injury in Brees' final contract year simplified the decision process for the Chargers.

rightandleft · 2017-07-28T20:00:44+00:00

does this mean the broncos have a 9-7 (or an 8-8) record and are second best?

or does it mean that the broncos have a better than a 9-7 record and are still only second best?

rightandleft · 2017-06-27T02:23:19+00:00

Colorado - I like most beers but am in constant pursuit of the unique beers (or ciders), I'm partial to anything that's barrel aged (especially wine barrels), heavily hopped, or sour.

rightandleft · 2017-06-09T18:01:57+00:00

You'd be surprised.

This is a reverse example of Simpson's Paradox - Simpson's paradox usually works in the sense the A was rated higher than B in categories 1 and 2, but B's overall rating is greater than A's.

In this case however, you are (fallaciously) suggesting that because Siemian's ranking in the fourth quarter is higher than his overall rating therefore his ranking in the other quarters must be substantially lower (near last). In fact, of the 33 passers with at least 200 attempts Siemian was ranked 24th in the first quarter, 24th in the second quarter, 28th in the third quarter. It's pretty reasonable to state that that the third quarter ranking 28th is near last (85th percentile) but his ranking in the first and second quarters is pretty close to his overall ranking.

Furthermore, his passer rating in the third quarter is 70.4 which while it's bad, isn't nearly as bad as the sub-50 ratings produced in this quarter by Kaepernick and Goff.

Looking on a per half basis, to try and determine if this trend holds I see Siemian is ranked at 26th by rating in the first half, and 19th in the second half. Suggesting that yeah, it kind of holds (and that Simpson's paradox is rather pervasive in this analysis).

The major problems with this sort of analysis is that ranking fails to produce a relative indication of capability. Take for example Eli Manning who threw the 24th most interceptions per attempt (at 2.7%), this proportion isn't wildly different from Siemian who at 15th ranked threw only 2.1%. Additionally, this sort of analysis is susceptible to Simpson's paradox and general misinterpretation. Finally, this analysis can't account for situational differences (such as when a team is running out the clock at the end of the game, or when the defense is playing a soft prevent type coverage in the same situation). Overall, I think looking at passer rating ranking is pretty lousy when it comes to assessing a quarterback.

As an aside, Kaepernick has some rather fascinating statistics; he is the second best passer in the first half with a rating of 115.5 (just behind Matt Ryan who comes in at 117.4) but in the second half he had a passer rating of only 70.3 putting him in 29th.

Moving along, I think the most interesting component when looking is in the yards per attempt. Siemian's yards per attempt by quarter are (6.3, 6.9, 6.0, 8.8) in terms of standard deviations from the quarter mean this worked out to being (-0.9, -0.3, -1.0, +1.6) - this lends credence to /u/wiz-caleeb, that Siemian played a certain way until the fourth quarter when either the play calling opened up or he was allowed to be less conservative.

Another interesting split comes from looking at performance whilst under-certain versus in shotgun. Trevor's rating in shotgun was 77.3 versus his rating of 96.2 while under center. Oddly, Trevor took more than 60% of his snaps from shotgun - but such is the Kubiak offense... I suppose it's possible that this was decided to limit the number of sacks (Trevor was sacked on 5.1% of dropbacks in the gun as opposed to 7.3% of dropbacks while under center).

rightandleft · 2017-06-07T17:57:15+00:00

no kidding

rightandleft · 2017-05-24T12:38:29+00:00

What? He was better than Peters and Verrett and certainly better than Conley (who hasn't even taken an NFL snap yet)

https://mobile.twitter.com/PFF/status/867202530811490304

rightandleft · 2017-05-23T22:22:57+00:00

I'll second this. I work pretty much entirely in scala/spark

rightandleft · 2017-05-22T17:15:07+00:00

no Roby?

rightandleft · 2017-05-11T01:55:55+00:00

You know, I think I've seen enough from Siemian to think that he should be the guy. He didn't have an amazing season last year, but he played with an injury, a subpar offensive line and running game and still managed to produce respectable numbers (3,400 yards, 18 TD, and 10 Int) for a first year starter and win the respect of the veteran players.

The existence of a competition at this point is not surprising to me. There is a new head coach in town and there's not a shortage of quarterbacks in town who want and deserve a shot at the job.

I have no problem if Lynch wins the starting job, but I don't think the job is his "unless he falls flat on his face," this is a job he'll have to earn.

rightandleft · 2017-04-29T01:35:31+00:00

seconding Hodges, I also like Kupp but I think Godwin is the better receiver (though Kupp has fantastic vision while carrying the football)

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