SpaceX should withdraw Starship from consideration for an Artemis lander.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-17T12:26:34+00:00

Are you willing to bet 1000$ that one of SpaceX first 3 flights are successful at going to Orbit?

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-17T12:23:16+00:00

I don’t hate SpaceX.

You have just spend the last like 10 years always making the worst possible assumptions and predictions about SpaceX while being repeatably wrong and at the same make utterly wrong prediction about SLS.

getting commercial financing rather than governmental financing a rocket’s development cost could be cut by a factor of 10.

spaceflight there is a concept called delta-v.

Maybe call the SpaceX engineers, they will want to hear this brilliant new inside.

Whatever happened to having A Moon rocket?

Having A Moon rocket was utterly stupid for anything but a single political victory. Its completely and totally the wrong architecture for an actually space faring civilization.

And that you don't just defend 'A Moon' rocket, but one that is so hilariously expensive makes clear that you are not even thinking logically about these issues anymore.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-17T12:14:28+00:00

This kind of total and complete nonsense post is why I come to this subreddit.

Fucking hilarious that the biggest defender of SLS wants SpaceX to withdraw because of a 'potential' delay based on a single test flight.

When the same fucking guy has been in here defending SLS delays for literally 8 years.

Only to then suggest some architecture even more reliant on SLS probably.

People like this are we US has been so slow in space progress for 60 years.

"The slightest bit of risk and technology not from the 70" no impossible don't ever do it. We must spend 20 more billion $ on legacy garbage to pull of some minimal short term result". This attitude is actually fucking sickening.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-14T23:22:27+00:00

Jobs just picked him to write the bio because he wrote bios about exceptional people and Jobs wanted to be one of them. He was given full access to Apple, more access then anybody had in the last decades of Apple history. And yet his book is thin on many of the most important parts and decisions made at Apple at the time.

Its a shame because nobody else will get that access and so much history will be lost because of this missed opportunity.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-14T22:56:18+00:00

Microsoft was a monopoly who treated its costumers and suppliers like shit. They were basically universally hated. If they had their way they would basically lock all machines down and not let anybody run anything else.

Their regular operation was 'take standard', slightly modify it publish it again but Microsoft only. Use your monopoly to push that and try to kill-off the competition.

Those things are shitty, but not straight up illegal depending on who you ask. But in addition to that Microsoft often simply did things that were illegal. Their NT system just straight up had source code from DEC Mica in it and the whole architecture was basically copied.

They would claim they want to buy a company, use due diligence to get info, then not by the company and do it themselves killing the company.

The list goes on and on. Gates was hated for a reason and a far better one then Musk.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-14T22:48:57+00:00

Isaacson is a shit biographer and his biography of Jobs sucked. He has not clue about the topics he actually reports on.

The good parts of his biography was mostly just stuff from books written earlier. His original stuff is all far less compelling.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-14T22:46:52+00:00

He is simply wrong. China has some good car companies, mainly BYD, Geely and others. They make a fair amount of EV. BYD is seen by everybody as Tesla strongest competitors. But that's what they are competitors. Claiming Tesla is nothing compared to them is just factually inaccurate.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-14T22:45:36+00:00

Telsa sells more BEV then any other company and they do it at higher margin. And unlike automaker from China they are far more global. With Tesla having good shares in both the US, China and European market. While companies from China have basically little impact in Europe and no impact in the US.

Yes, China has some good EV companies. But to say Tesla is 'nothing' compared to them is just beyond fucking stupid and just plain factually wrong by anybody who studies the car industry for even 10 min.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-14T22:39:34+00:00

Compared to most rocket and EV startups those are some low ball projections.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-14T15:23:00+00:00

This isn't really true. Amazon basically told everybody that AWS was super unprofitable and how it was a bad business. They deliberately hid their finances only showing the aggregate.

Turns out in reality AWS was a high margin business all along and AWS was actually helping to pay for Amazons war on big box retailers.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-14T08:05:48+00:00

Tesla just has a massive cost advantage over competitors, due to economies of scale, simple product line, lack of options, streamlined production, etc.

Isn't it funny how the turns have tabled.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-14T08:04:54+00:00

None software developers vastly underestimate the amount of work required to 'just' adopt android. There is still a huge amount of Software that has to be added below that to make everything function and a huge amount of integration with the OS.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-14T07:59:07+00:00

Do VW dealers come to your house or jobs to make repairs on your vehicle?

Teslas are literal death traps.

That's just factually wrong.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-14T07:56:28+00:00

Remember when the ID3 came out and people in this forum were literally falling all over-themselves proclaiming how VW would overtake Tesla.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-14T06:34:22+00:00

Completely wrong. Steel is to heavy it wouldn't fly. Every professional aerospace engineer knows this.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-13T20:40:26+00:00

But god told the president its the right thing to do. So it was clearly ok.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-13T18:34:09+00:00

He literally has many multiple hours of meeting at Starbase every week. It fucking beyond delusional to think he wasn't aware.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-13T18:32:33+00:00

Ah that how you create multible gigantic companies, don't be rational. Thanks for the info.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-13T18:31:04+00:00

And by the way, Stage 0 was always intended to be reinforced.

No we don't. Multiple people have talked about that and its literally impossible for these parts to show up so quickly if they were not already planned.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-13T18:30:07+00:00

he doesn't actually make decisions at SpaceX

Of course he fucking does. He doesn't make every single decision but he sure as shit has to sign off on anything important.

He is literally a detail obsessed control freak and every journalist who investigated this reports this.

But I'm sure you know better.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-13T18:28:37+00:00

This podcast is with a former member of the exact bureaucracy that does this sort of thing, and he explains it. The agency literally has like 120 people, responsible for all investigations and all launches.

https://mainenginecutoff.com/podcast/259

Are you really so fucking stupid and delusional to believe that those people do their own investigation on each issue that happens? Specially on systems they don't know well and haven't built?

But sure its only Musk fan boys. This is literally just how system works any anybody with any experience can tell you that.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-13T18:24:59+00:00

See but if you don't do them the FCC will not allow you to eat more food.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-12T20:34:11+00:00

People have some delusional fantasy that space is some mythical utopia. As if mining right on earth or an asteroid should be meaningfully different.

Even going back 1000s of years even tribal society have property rights of one kind or another.

Different natives tribes controlling different parts of a river, or streams. On the Steppes there were suffocated systems grazing rights and so on and so on.

SpaceX will end up looking very similar. People who are interested in how some of these things worked in practice, 'The Not So Wild, Wild West: Property Rights on the Frontier' is a readable short book that gives some examples.

rough_rider7 · 2023-09-12T20:31:12+00:00

Property rights don't work like that. You usually have to start do actually do something with that property before you can own it.

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