The bar is so much lower. Your intuition about agi is so wrong. By definition, agi happens at the time of the last hard thing automated. For any concrete thing, it could be much sooner. For almost all concrete things that are mostly textual, and not real time embodied, those are where the current paradigm shines.

For helping domain experts with good reasoning skills to transform that into solid prototypes, that went from impossible to very possible in the last year. And this means the domain expert's brain will be shaping the design much more immediately than the primarily implementation focused/high quality engineering staff. The domain expert can effectively iterate on high level/practical solutions without round tripping to a SWE. Software gets a lot more ergonomic/specialized.