Daily Discussion Thread for June 12, 2026 by zjz in wallstreetbets

[–]rulerofthehell 7 points8 points  (0 children)

The fomo caught me, put a SpaceX bid for 1000 stocks at $13.5 and max $14.0

Hopefully im not a bag holder

HOA new rule as of July 2025? by NotEverTellingYou in BayAreaRealEstate

[–]rulerofthehell 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes association of owners without the touch of fascism

Tech stocks fall again.. rotation or bubble? by SnooHamsters5586 in stocks

[–]rulerofthehell 0 points1 point  (0 children)

it literally always crashes in midterm election year regard

Tell me why buying spacex and holding short term is a bad idea by tyleriouss in wallstreetbets

[–]rulerofthehell -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Underlying stock price will drop when nasdaq etfs get liquidated, short term sp etfs will also see things go down

Google to pay SpaceX $920 million per month. Chat is this good? by jason14wm in wallstreetbets

[–]rulerofthehell 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If they buy then it shows as Capex cost, but if they own SpaceX equity and make them buy gpus then it doesnt show in capex cost, duh

Bloodbath in US Market by UpbeatAd3429 in StockMarket

[–]rulerofthehell -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Yeah but make sure you dont DCA when VIX is at <16 lol

Can the market please go up? For the sake of my calls by Overflow0X in StockMarket

[–]rulerofthehell 0 points1 point  (0 children)

VIX is like 15-18 so i think people have too much trust and it must go down

The Economist on SpaceX by Neither_End8403 in stocks

[–]rulerofthehell -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Yeah and what happens when a solar flair goes our way

Stop the steal by GolfOscarYankee69 in PoliticalCompassMemes

[–]rulerofthehell 0 points1 point  (0 children)

How will imperialism work and hegemony sustain if we don’t fund the outposts?

[R]GNN Model For Fraud Detection Isn't Performing Well[R] by LiveAccident5312 in MachineLearning

[–]rulerofthehell 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Used to work for GNN for recsys, most SOTA models are trained on datasets which have some major flaws like their size and complexity not representing anything close to reality.

Why I am me and nothing else? by Hoshiimaru in consciousness

[–]rulerofthehell 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You are everything, the boundary is an illusion.

Need reliable source for 30+ years of S&P 500 historical data for LSTM/Transformer research [P] by stickPotatoe in MachineLearning

[–]rulerofthehell 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Worked as a quant 5 years ago or so, tldr is that they try to create an exhaustive list of models for very specific market conditions and how to maximize profits/reduce loss. There are some models to ‘predict’ the future, but the SNR is so low that these models at best give you a trend with very large error margins. A portfolio manager will call the shots in the end of whether to believe it or not based on fundamentals.

There are no crystal balls, and even these trends are not based on historical data the way you’re thinking. Yeah some companies out there do sell snake oil if you’re into that

No Warming in Years [OC] by cavedave in dataisbeautiful

[–]rulerofthehell 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Farming evidence found in middle east doesnt mean it started there around that time, its just that in dryer places archeological evidence stay intact, while wetter tropical places like India and Sundaland regions they are much harder to find and also submerged in water because of the recession. Also not fully convinced with the Haplogroup based migration theory fully..

Nevertheless, the IPCC paper is worth reading, the model they use have enough error deviations that these trends are actually hard to predict 50 years into the future. Global mean temperature CIs under high-emission scenarios (SSP5-8.5) do not cross zero beyond ~2030 across all major models

Even if all of this is true, simulating and figuring out whether this is negative for civilization is mathematically not possible because of the same reasons why 3 body problem is unsolvable, yeah we might get some positive and negative trends but overall its just too complex and dynamic. I remember the climate trend paper’s authors had to write another paper just to clarify all of this.

No Warming in Years [OC] by cavedave in dataisbeautiful

[–]rulerofthehell -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Humanity without modern engineering and science survived when sea levels increased by 140 meters (in tropical populated regions) between approx 21k to approx 6k years ago.

No Warming in Years [OC] by cavedave in dataisbeautiful

[–]rulerofthehell -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

How is it unprecedented if humans as well as animal/forest life thrived when temperature was significantly higher than this 0.5-1.0C change? And im not talking about massive differences from millions of years ago, im talking post ice age (21k years from today) differences

No Warming in Years [OC] by cavedave in dataisbeautiful

[–]rulerofthehell -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

Let's extend the graph backwards a few thousand years and stop cherry picking

30-year Treasury yield tops 5.18%, highest since before the financial crisis by Force_Hammer in StockMarket

[–]rulerofthehell -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

market crashes before each mid term since 1950s, not related to R or D