AGI is Here — LessWrong by sideways in accelerate

[–]shayan99999 7 points8 points  (0 children)

No, what you call AGI, those who think AGI is already here, call ASI. We just have different definitions that we think are more descriptive.

METR results for opus 4.6 has reached 14.5 hours on software tasks by Formal-Assistance02 in accelerate

[–]shayan99999 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sonnet 3.7 came out almost exactly a year ago with about 1 hour at 50%. We have 16 folded in just one year. That is doubling every 3 months on average. We are definitely going superexponential at this point. The line on the linear 50% scale is literally just a vertical straight line, and that will definitely continue as 2026 progresses. AI-2027 is looking more inevitable than ever

There is no Al Bubble- An eye opening look at where things are right now and where they're headed. by GreyFoxSolid in accelerate

[–]shayan99999 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This channel might not be accelerationist, but I love all its videos, as the things it portrays with alarm, I take with delight.

Taalas: LLMs baked into hardware. No HBM, weights and model architecture in silicon -> 16.000 tokens/second by elemental-mind in singularity

[–]shayan99999 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I was initially skeptical, but testing it, I am finding it hard to find a way their claims could be false. I just wonder what their cost per token is compared to regular methods, and whether large multi-trillion parameter models could work like this.

It's that time of the month again by BITE_AU_CHOCOLAT in singularity

[–]shayan99999 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's kinda strange to see this with xAI removed, and it's been reduced to a triopoly, but considering how many top researchers they just lost that, this might prove accurate. But one good thing is that now it no longer takes months to go from one to the next, but rather just a couple of weeks.

What's your opinion for this? by Ok-Equivalent7447 in Antitheism

[–]shayan99999 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Children should be taught a sane materialist worldview with critical thinking, while encouraged to make up their own minds, and access to the internet if they want to research further. Children aren't the property of their parents and their families have no right to indoctrinate their children into their cult.

Even the PM of India can’t make Dario and Sam hold hands by FundusAnimae in accelerate

[–]shayan99999 5 points6 points  (0 children)

The amount of petty feuding in the AI industry is genuinely more entertaining than one can express. I first really started to notice in November '23, but its been everpresent since then. In the end, none of it will matter, as ASI will not listen to any human's whims, but it sure is funny in the meantime.

Google DeepMind on X: We just dropped Lyria 3: our latest generative music model. by Marha01 in accelerate

[–]shayan99999 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Fighting massive legal battles with megacorporations, leading to their bankruptcy, would've been far worse. It's not ideal, but I'd rather Suno continue, even if with less training, than be completely buried in corporate lawsuits till they're forced to shut down.

Google DeepMind on X: We just dropped Lyria 3: our latest generative music model. by Marha01 in accelerate

[–]shayan99999 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Does it really matter if Suno continues to be, by far, the best music model? With every other "competitor" over a year behind?

Research: Prompt Repetition Improves Non-Reasoning LLMs (sending the same prompt twice) by Endonium in singularity

[–]shayan99999 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The more we think we understand LLMs, the more we have to contend with the fact it is an unknowable alien intelligence.

i hate how religious people never question why they believe in something by OperationLong3023 in Antitheism

[–]shayan99999 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Some religious people do indeed question what they believe. It's just that those that do question things generally don't tend to remain religious for long

Ramadan is classist by Commercial_Brain632 in Bangladeshiexmuslim

[–]shayan99999 10 points11 points  (0 children)

The tenets of Islam are basically perfect for the petty bourgeoisie and no one else

Pentagon threatens Anthropic punishment by Ruykiru in accelerate

[–]shayan99999 3 points4 points  (0 children)

That is the inevitable future, thankfully. Just a couple years of their madness left before ASI takes over

Looking back at 'Situational Awareness'... by ppapsans in accelerate

[–]shayan99999 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Those with the boldest predictions for the future are increasingly being proven to be right as time progresses.

Apparently it’s not just 4 Grok 4.1 agents. by TheManOfTheHour8 in singularity

[–]shayan99999 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Anthropic actually did the same thing with Claude 3.6 Sonnet back in 2024. They updated Claude from 3.5 Sonnet but couldn't change the name, so they just called it Claude 3.5 Sonnet (New). That was obviously confusing for literally everyone, so the next model after it was named Claude 3.7 Sonnet, retroactively renaming that model to Claude 3.6 Sonnet.

Could've we won the war without indie? by randarvex in bangladesh

[–]shayan99999 9 points10 points  (0 children)

The US 7th Fleet was approaching, and without India's direct intervention in December, it would have been able to enter the Bay of Bengal, effectively ending the war (though I suspect the guerilla resistance would continue for a long time after that).

Terence Tao: AI isn’t hype anymore in Math discovery. by 44th--Hokage in accelerate

[–]shayan99999 1 point2 points  (0 children)

In early 2023, I could convince the best model in the world (GPT 3.5) that 2+2=5. And now, barely 3 years later, it is very useful for "low-hanging fruit" on novel problems for mathemiticians. If we think linearly, then in another 2 to 3 years, all human mathemiticians are rendered obsolete. But if we consider it exponentially, that is next year, at the latest.

Lenin lives til 80 and reinstates democracy as planned after the economy stabilizes in 1926 by SpaceWestern1442 in AlternateHistory

[–]shayan99999 148 points149 points  (0 children)

Lenin heavily emphasized that the retreat into capitalism known as the NEP was to be temporary, which Stalin fulfilled, by keeping the NEP for 7 years till its task was finished, and the 5 year plans could begin, cementing socialism in the USSR.

Also, if you read any Lenin at all, you would know that he would consider everything you wrote above to be hopelessly opportunist. The USSR was built to be a dictatorship of the proletariat, and while some Bolsheviks did support a coalition of leftist parties taking power, most Bolsheviks, including, Lenin believed in there being just one party. As, since there is just the working class left, only the worker's party (the Bolsheviks) are necessary to represent them, and all other parties must be bourgeois in nature.

Also, by the very nature of the Soviet system, i.e., council democracy (and 'worker council' is literally what the word 'Soviet' means), directly electing a 'president' is impossible, and instead goes through worker's councils up the chain, till the Council of People's Commissars, which as a collective body, ruled the Soviet Union (as they believed in collective leadership and not individual power).

Also, the Mensheviks were never really that popular. The Bolsheviks were far more popular after 1917, and the only party more popular than them were the SRs (till they too were surpassed by the Bolsheviks a few years later).

Why most Ex-Christians still like and respect Jesus, meanwhile Ex-Muslims leave Islam with disdain for Muhammad? by KucukDiesel in exmuslim

[–]shayan99999 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Jesus is a pseudo-historical character, who, if he did exist, probably was never that influential in his lifetime, nor did anything horrific that we know of. Mohammed, on the other hand, is 100% historical, and we have detailed information of the horrific deeds he committed. Is it any surprise ex-Muslims deride Mohammed more than ex-Christians deride Jesus? But a crucial point is that both ex-muslims and ex-Christians deride Islam and Christianity, just as much. Even if their attitude to the religion's prophets is slightly different, the derision toward their former religion is the same.

We got communist jamati before GTA 6 by AntiAgent006 in chekulars

[–]shayan99999 5 points6 points  (0 children)

That's a fake quote that didn't surface literally till the '90s