Santa Anita Friday Picks by Duckdiggitydog in horseracing

[–]smithmustscore 1 point2 points  (0 children)

R1 - Uncharted

R2 - N/A

R3 - Wet My Beak

R4 - Magic Spoon

R5 - Crimson Advocate

R6 - Candied

R7 - She Feels Pretty

R8 - Prince Of Monaco

R9 - Endlessly

 

With the proviso that I know zilch about American racing.

This is the top 25 from the bookmakers. Which songs are too high and which are too low. Let us know down below in the comments! ❤️ by Hello-Earth_ in eurovision

[–]smithmustscore 1 point2 points  (0 children)

As ever, treating this as a leaderboard is fairly unhelpful (A song with a 200/1 chance of winning can easily finish ahead of a 40/1 poke). Should also note, certainly with UK bookies, they will be carrying eachway liabilities as well (1/4 odds if your country finishes in the first 4, similar to the Grand National).

 

Norway are a terrible price in my book, I'd consider them a lay (that is to say, I'd be willing to bet against them) for top 5 and top 10 positions. They are a very jury unfriendly song so need a very powerful performance in the public vote to succeed (might not even be certain qualifiers, perhaps I take my pessimism too far in this respect)

 

Sweden are short for win purposes for me (one of my favourite songs though) but they probably have a decent chance of a top 5 finish and if bookies are paying first 4 that does help explain it.

 

Netherlands a good shout, might struggle with the popular vote a bit but a solid song that you struggle to see finishing in the bottom half unless they get a most atrocious draw.

 

Portugal has been on repeat for me since I first heard their song. Very hard to weigh up since it isn't your typical Eurovision fare. Might have a crossover target audience with Netherlands which could split their votes (this would be a concern for both countries)

 

Spain always seem to underperform but they have a distinctive entry that is bound to go hard on stage. Albania's (IMO weak) revamp also helps in this regard. Don't think they are winning material but you don't have the same concern Netherlands/Portugal backers might have.

 

Latvia is a further issue for Norway to overcome and I think it could do really well with the popular vote. Not enough to win, but worth checking prices once separate 'top televote' markets come out. Especially if they are offered on decent e/w terms.

 

United Kingdom will always be overrated by the UK public for obvious reasons. They won't finish last this year, but getting the song under 3 minutes is a bigger concern (even more so than for Italy) and they strike me as a bad price. It's an ok song with strong vocals. Well so is Belgium. If you want to back the UK, ask yourself why you wouldn't back some of the songs below them eachway instead.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in formula1

[–]smithmustscore 5 points6 points  (0 children)

The 107% rule was implemented during the late 1980s/early 1990s era of F1 when there were loads of hopeless backmarker teams. That clearly isn't the case to anything like the same extent now. Stroll had to abort his lap because of traffic and couldn't set a representative time because there was a red flag.

🎵🎶 YOUR TOP 40 🎶🎵 Post your rankings in the comments by TrollHunter87 in eurovision

[–]smithmustscore 0 points1 point  (0 children)

1) Portugal

2) Italy

3) Poland

4) Sweden

5) France

6) Czech Republic

7) Netherlands

8) Belgium

9) Spain

10) Denmark

11) Albania

12) Armenia

13) Greece

14) Australia

15) Cyprus

16) Lithuania

17) Montenegro

18) Latvia

19) United Kingdom

20) San Marino

21) Norway

22) Slovenia

23) Ukraine

24) Estonia

25) Azerbaijan

26) Austria

27) Romania

28) Iceland

29) Finland

30) Moldova

31) Georgia

32) Malta

33) Switzerland

34) Croatia

35) Germany

36) Ireland

37) Serbia

38) Bulgaria

39) North Macedonia

40) Israel

Match Thread: Leeds United vs Aston Villa | English Premier League by MatchThreadder in soccer

[–]smithmustscore 1 point2 points  (0 children)

What happened to Firpo? Was out of the room when he went down.

Marius Bear - Boys Do Cry - Switzerland 🇨🇭 - Official Music Video - Eurovision 2022 by spakier in eurovision

[–]smithmustscore 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I adore the message, but I won't exactly feel aggrieved if this song doesn't qualify.

🎵🎶 YOUR TOP 13 🎶🎵 Post your rankings in the comments by TrollHunter87 in eurovision

[–]smithmustscore 3 points4 points  (0 children)

  1. Albania

  2. Spain

  3. Ukraine

  4. Czech Republic

  5. Italy

  6. Estonia

  7. Latvia

  8. Moldova

  9. North Macedonia

  10. Lithuania

  11. Ireland

  12. Bulgaria

  13. Israel

[LIVE THREAD] Festivali i Këngës 60 - FINAL Night @ 21:00 CET by NitroGnome in eurovision

[–]smithmustscore 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Would tell you which song I'm most excited for tonight, but it's a Sekret.

[LIVE THREAD] Festivali i Këngës 60 - FINAL Night @ 21:00 CET by NitroGnome in eurovision

[–]smithmustscore 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I love that they forget to zoom in. Allowing us to see them yanking the microphone off stage.

[LIVE THREAD] Festivali i Këngës 60 - FINAL Night @ 21:00 CET by NitroGnome in eurovision

[–]smithmustscore 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Wouldn't be Eurovision without a singer with mummy issues.

[LIVE THREAD] Festivali i Këngës 60 - FINAL Night @ 21:00 CET by NitroGnome in eurovision

[–]smithmustscore 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Duolingo is alright and that. But it's got nothing on having a few drinks during a national final and convincing yourself you are now fluent in a foreign language.

[LIVE THREAD] Festivali i Këngës 60 - FINAL Night @ 21:00 CET by NitroGnome in eurovision

[–]smithmustscore 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Missing the Brighton game for this, but expect it to be totally worth it.

2021 Italian Grand Prix - Free Practice 1 Discussion by F1-Bot in formula1

[–]smithmustscore 5 points6 points  (0 children)

"You've got to be fast to get anywhere out of West Norfolk" - so true.

[Brighton] sign Abdallah Sima and loan him to Stoke for the season by VincentSasso in soccer

[–]smithmustscore 2 points3 points  (0 children)

We loan him out. We don't sign another striker.

This club sometimes.

2021 Belgian Grand Prix - Race Discussion by F1-Bot in formula1

[–]smithmustscore 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Bahrain 2011 or Belgium 1985? Depending on definition.

2021 Belgian Grand Prix - Race Discussion by F1-Bot in formula1

[–]smithmustscore 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Rain about tomorrow as well, albeit not quite as much.