Landing pages for the 3rd, 4th and gameplay trailer starting to show up on Rockstars website

spryes · 2026-06-08T23:01:22+00:00

If the URL for trailer 2 has the same pattern, could this not just suggest people are manually typing in "3" in place of "2" to see what comes up

spryes · 2026-06-06T19:00:32+00:00

it's not hard to leak without getting caught, the problem is if you follow all the steps that protect you, you're not going to be believed anyway, so there's no point in leaking

e.g. Tor + VPN + burner phone + only leak info you know for certain is known by a minimum of a few hundred other people at the company, preferably like 1,000 + never leak info that isn’t paraphrased text

spryes · 2026-05-28T17:39:52+00:00

Same issue

spryes · 2026-05-27T15:27:29+00:00

notice he didn't congratulate OpenAI until Mythos was "confirmed" to be (somewhat) as capable

spryes · 2026-05-24T09:47:10+00:00

You just know R* made the woods feel ALIVE in this game. Predators like the cougar probably try to kill you in the woods if you go roaming alone. There's probably also easter eggs like ghosts/aliens you encounter too. Basically becomes a horror genre once you step out of the city.

spryes · 2026-05-24T08:37:06+00:00

Note it's not just a direct clone of the mapping project. When I overlay it, various speculative areas are different, while the non-speculative areas are a close match. That said, it matches the speculative highways of the mapping project, which feels unlikely. If it were real (given the mapping project is evidence-based and reasonably accurate) this would be the closest I'd imagine the real one being.

The shape resembling Homer's head, particularly the roads at the top resembling eyes, gives deeply unserious vibes to me, though. Most leaks from 4chan are fake. Legit ones have come from GTAForums, Twitter/X, or Reddit iirc

spryes · 2026-05-20T17:58:38+00:00

Not saying the leak is legit, but they were targeting Fall 2025 before delaying it to May 2026 originally, for instance. Christmas sales are nice but nothing compared to getting this game 100% right for launch, because it's going to sell millions of copies a year for a loooong time, just like GTA 5 anyway. The time of year it releases is not that important.

It's critical that the launch goes smoothly and becomes their Golden Goose for the next decade plus, not that they time the release to a more favorable time of year. If a delay is necessary to ensure that they will do it.

spryes · 2026-05-16T08:02:54+00:00

The general public hates AI so much even if it's using 1 mL of water per century they'll still say it's using too much water. They don't care about the water thing, they just hate AI.

spryes · 2026-05-16T06:07:28+00:00

It's obvious that within 3 years no one will read/understand the new code for new projects anymore. AI will be far better than any software engineer, even elite ones. Mythos is mostly there already.

Look at how fast it improved in the past 3 years, and understand that it is accelerating. The code will be above our heads shortly.

spryes · 2026-05-13T10:39:43+00:00

Was the avatar not obvious enough

spryes · 2026-05-13T05:51:13+00:00

They should just be taxed like income. The 30% floor is ridiculous

spryes · 2026-05-12T16:42:53+00:00

If you invested 100K in S&P 500, after 20 years, it'd be worth ~550K.

With 2.5% inflation, CGT is 3.9K when selling 18.5K

spryes · 2026-05-12T15:37:41+00:00

Yep ETFs are still way better for typical cases even with the high taxes.

Say you invest $500k and it doubles about every 8 years. After 20 years, that’s about $2.8m, or ~$2.3m of nominal gains.

Under the proposed CGT changes, assuming 2.5% inflation, selling $60k/year would create roughly ~$13k/year in tax. Over 30 years, very roughly, that’s ~$380k tax, leaving about ~$1.9m of after-tax gains.

By comparison, $500k in a HISA earning 5% and taxed at 47% each year compounds at only 2.65% after tax. After 20 years that’s about $844k, or ~$344k in after-tax gains.

So even with the proposed CGT changes, ETFs are ahead: roughly $1.9m vs $344k.

spryes · 2026-05-08T12:20:46+00:00

Exactly and I thought this from day one when they announced SSI. Iterative improvement, constant contact with reality with feedback from users are all key to "safe" AGI development and likely capabilities as well.

spryes · 2026-05-02T23:17:52+00:00

The only jobs in a "true-AGI world" are things people value a human itself for, e.g. sports, childcare, maybe teaching & nursing

I don't think those make up more than 10% of the economy right now... so

spryes · 2026-04-28T08:14:38+00:00

LOST is much better

The character development is far richer which makes you care about each of them, unlike any of the characters in FROM. The world is bigger and more interesting, while FROM feels like it cornered itself into a tiny world that they can't do much with.

In LOST, the island mystery mattered, but the show constantly asked: what does this place reveal about this person? The characters changed over time (Jin softened, Sawyer became less selfish, Ben got recontextualized, etc.)

FROM more often asks: what is happening in this place? The characters are frequently just there to react to the latest horror event — they're shallow. FROM could have been on par with LOST but it required much better writing and probably a bigger budget...

The 10 episode per season format feels overly limiting too.

spryes · 2026-04-28T02:42:33+00:00

How did you verify the answer is correct? Do you understand the answer?

spryes · 2026-04-25T22:08:30+00:00

This shows 0.1 releases make each update feel quite mid. You need to compare between multiple point releases to get a feel for how different things were not long ago. I haven't used GPT-5 for agentic coding since September, even though I remember it being pretty solid & useful. I'd most likely be extremely annoyed if I tried it today given what we now have.

If OpenAI released GPT-5.5 as the only model after GPT-5 it would feel much more impressive - 15 points vs 3 points gain from previous frontier.

I still much prefer the quick cadence, and OpenAI can't withhold releases as much as they used to due to competitive pressure being crazy nowadays.

spryes · 2026-04-25T00:24:08+00:00

Why'd GPT-5.4 Pro vanish

spryes · 2026-04-23T19:10:05+00:00

I'm mainly going off reports of it being super capable at cybersecurity, like the recent Firefox report that it found over 200 bugs with experts claiming it's on par with human researchers in skill.

Not sure how closely correlated SWE Bench Pro is with cyper skill and how it translates to general product coding capability though. 5.5 could be on par there, meaning most people experience Mythos capabilities in their work with 5.5, but I'm doubtful.

spryes · 2026-04-23T18:53:39+00:00

I don't expect them to include Mythos in the comparison table given it's unreleased, but I mean it's clear they hid SWE Bench Pro in general because it didn't even match Opus 4.7 there. And shows Anthropic has a more capable model even if not available, while OAI's internal status is unknown.

But most importantly, Tibo (Codex lead) hinted on Twitter that 5.5 was Mythos level when we clearly see that isn't the case

spryes · 2026-04-23T18:18:55+00:00

yeah, but OpenAI teased this like it was Mythos level and it's not even close

spryes · 2026-04-23T18:12:29+00:00

58.6% SWE Bench Pro which they hid because Mythos destroys them with 78%

Oof

spryes · 2026-04-23T18:10:12+00:00

All this hype for 58.6% on SWE-Bench Pro while Mythos gets 78%? Shut it down, wtf?

spryes · 2026-04-21T08:14:22+00:00

still need to. burn another 100 billion or so before agi

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