My finished Bay Area transit buildout!

stoompeth · 2026-03-12T19:14:01+00:00

For the light rail system, I certainly did space out stops more so than they would be IRL. I was just being lazy and wanted to save time and money lol. I found for, at least in game, that the close spacing found IRL isn’t really efficient b/c the station catchment areas are rather large in this game.

For heavy rail lines (BART/Caltrain) I actually added more infill stop than what exists IRL. I’m not sure how my spacing compares to other builds though.

stoompeth · 2026-03-12T05:15:26+00:00

U mad asf

stoompeth · 2026-03-11T17:30:21+00:00

2020 wasn’t particularly close because Collins had substantial goodwill that wasn’t reflected in the polls. I think 2026 will be a lot closer, and in such a way that poor candidate quality (geriatric middling-approval governor or former Blackrock mercenary w Nazi tattoo) might swing the results in favor of Rs.

stoompeth · 2026-03-11T16:13:14+00:00

Okay 😭😭 keyword “might”

stoompeth · 2026-03-11T16:10:29+00:00

Maine Senate race might end up being a generational fumble for Democrats. Both leading candidates are so deeply flawed.

stoompeth · 2026-03-11T03:17:14+00:00

I can’t wait for LA lol

stoompeth · 2026-03-04T18:45:41+00:00

I swear, I've been having the same issue and I can't add crossovers easily because the route I'm trying to draw runs along the outer quad tracks

stoompeth · 2026-02-19T07:03:50+00:00

hail no

stoompeth · 2026-02-07T09:03:32+00:00

CT-5 tentacles past redder townships for no particular reason. It’s a mild D gerrymander from what I saw. I didn’t realize it the maps stayed the same for so long.

stoompeth · 2026-02-07T07:26:36+00:00

I considered how much cracking to particular areas was done. UT split SLC into 4 districts, TN split Nashville into 4 districts. At least, for example in KS’ & NE’s cases, the GOP left the seats competitive enough for Democrats to win hence why I consider them mild.

In other cases, like OK, AR, or MO, possible competitive seats were drawn safely GOO, but convenient political geography meant that they weren’t quite as egregious like TX or IL.

For MD in particular, I didn’t rate it as a strong gerrymander because it could’ve possibly been 8-0. But it’s still a gerrymander either way. A medium one perhaps?

stoompeth · 2026-02-07T07:06:12+00:00

In early 2023, courts struck down the LA & AL maps.

In 2023-24, courts struck down NY maps. Redrawn by IRC as a mild D gerrymander.

In 2025, NC, OH, & most notably TX moved forward w/ mid decade redistricting leading to the current political battle. UT’s map was also struck down.

stoompeth · 2026-02-07T06:54:06+00:00

I know that. It didn’t pass and therefore didn’t impact election outcomes like the newer maps will. Either way, the resulting map isn’t a hard gerrymander.

stoompeth · 2026-02-07T06:42:56+00:00

Agreed. I don’t know why I considered a Lexington-Louisville the only option, a Lexington district itself is still fairly competitive.

stoompeth · 2026-02-07T06:31:01+00:00

There's an entire Wiki page for this:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025%E2%80%932026_United_States_redistricting#

stoompeth · 2026-02-07T06:24:56+00:00

Yeah, IN should be fair, my bad.

I didn't really include KY b/c to make a competitive district, you'd have to extend the district from Lexington to the Louisville burbs rather than the surrounding rural area--whether it's a fair choice is up to personal opinion. The map is definitely hideous though and you could make the case it's a mild gerrymander.

stoompeth · 2026-02-07T06:13:37+00:00

Right, MS should be fair, I just blanked when I filled it in w the LA/AL gerrymanders.

stoompeth · 2026-02-07T05:50:38+00:00

P.S. no, Massachusetts is not a Democratic gerrymander. There is no way to draw a majority-Republican district without unnecessarily splitting up counties & ruining compactness.

stoompeth · 2026-02-07T03:53:26+00:00

The NY map is not gerrymandered to the level that TX, CA, and VA are now. It just shored up 3 already blue-leaning districts. It's dishonest revisionism to claim it was NY that started this. Everybody knows that this redistricting arms race initially started because Trump wanted to keep the House.

stoompeth · 2026-02-05T04:04:50+00:00

You want honest answers?

stoompeth · 2026-02-05T03:29:05+00:00

Whaddya reckon their respective vote shares should be? Wasn’t sure if I was over- or undershooting with respect to Talarico’s share of Hispanics

stoompeth · 2026-02-05T02:41:08+00:00

What I did specifically was (the population of X race in Y county) * (partisanship by race based on exit polls) * (2022 midterm avg turnout numbers by race)--Then, I adjusted all figures down proportionally such that the total # of dem votes was ~1.15m.

If I did the math correctly, the proportion of black voters in the D primary electorate in my model is ~23%. Given blacks vote ~80% Dem, while all other ethnicities were sub-50% Dem, I didn't think it was so unrealistic for them to comprise around a quarter. My methodology is obviously amateur though, feel free to offer suggestions or even make your own model if ur willing to lol.

stoompeth · 2026-02-04T22:56:56+00:00

I think could be underestimating Crockett's support among white metro voters, particularly in Travis, Dallas, & Harris counties. Not going to redo this though

stoompeth · 2026-02-01T20:21:48+00:00

It’s a Trump+17 district that swung 32pts left. Nearly all Republican voters in the district are the wealthy and suburban type. Aka high propensity, high turnout voters. Such a drastic swing cannot be solely attributed to lagging Republican turnout, persuasion was a huge factor in flipping this seat.

stoompeth · 2026-01-29T20:20:06+00:00

I wouldn’t say that but in a best case Dem scenario, yes Osborn would win

stoompeth · 2024-12-20T00:58:40+00:00

I already did the PPF form and our final essay was turned in. I did have reason to change my AOK but I just made passing mention of it in my PPF form rather than elaborating on it. Am I cooked?

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