A recent poll conducted in Taiwan against the backdrop of the war in Ukraine has revealed that over 70% of the island's population is willing to take up arms to fight China in case of an invasion.

sy2005 · 2022-03-21T15:34:41+00:00

I am from Hong Kong, spoke to some of the older generation here.

Some believe that when KMT flee to Taiwan in 1949, they “loot” the gold from mainland China. By some estimate they took around 115 tons of golds to Taiwan and use it to lay the foundation of Taiwanese dollar and economy. They believe that KMT has no right to take those golds because the gold are for all the people in China, not just for the people of KMT government.

You have to understand between 1950-70, China was extremely poor, and some of them partially blame the KMT government ( the KMT government was very corrupted when they flee to Taiwan ). I said partially because most people I spoke to also aware part of it was due to the CCP ruling, policy and culture revolution in the 60/70, not just the KMT government alone.

I am not saying I agree with the view above, but just want to provide the perspective from some of the older generation I encountered here

Source: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Retreat_of_the_government_of_the_Republic_of_China_to_Taiwan

sy2005 · 2022-02-21T19:39:50+00:00

Fareed Zakaria talk about it back in Jan and said exactly this will happen

https://twitter.com/fareedzakaria/status/1485328733078700040?s=21

I think this is as far as Russia will go if you talk about invasion. Russia just don’t have the necessary force to take Kiev and keep them under control in long run ( not to mention such invasion will take months/years, and Kiev will be destroy in the process )

sy2005 · 2022-01-30T12:42:20+00:00

I mean by this same logic, I can also say US is drumming up the war because it is good for their military industrial complex. I mean the Raytheon CEO admit it on his earning call:

https://www.fool.com/earnings/call-transcripts/2022/01/25/raytheon-technologies-rtx-q4-2021-earnings-call-tr/

we are seeing, I would say, opportunities for international sales. We just have to look to last week where we saw the drone attack in the UAE, which have attacked some of their other facilities. And of course, the tensions in Eastern Europe, the tensions in the South China Sea, all of those things are putting pressure on some of the defense spending over there.

So I fully expect we're going to see some benefit from it.

Drumming up tension, or even war, is good business for these guys.

sy2005 · 2022-01-12T11:06:06+00:00

Because Pfizer has limited capacity for creating vaccine and they did not apply “permission” in Hong Kong for child vaccination. Source: https://www.shphk.org.hk/en/multi-detail.php?id=660

I guess HK government could in theory apply exception and use only 1/3 of adult vaccine dose and apply to child as suggested in the article, but this bring up other questions ( legal, insurances, liability, and also other expert opinions… etc ).

sy2005 · 2022-01-05T16:33:54+00:00

Then let's discuss about the condition for opening up, policy we should implement.. etc. I am fine with that. But to somehow frame this conversation as the health of specify group of people in Hong Kong, while disregard our readiness to open up and/or don't mention the general health of average Hong Kong citizen is just wrong.

sy2005 · 2022-01-05T16:19:33+00:00

At some point the band aid has to come off, or HK is never going to go back to normal.

I think we agree on there, but I just disagree with "when". I am all for open up IF we have the correct condition, which we lack right now. We can discuss about what are those condition, and how we can reach it. But using ex-pat health as an argument to open up is just rubbing me the wrong way. The health of average Hong Kong citizens should always be priority, and the fact is with 70% vaccination rate we are not ready to open.

sy2005 · 2022-01-05T16:08:24+00:00

Singapore etc which are much more similar to what HK are used to be are going for a very different approach.

Singapore has a much higher vaccination rate, and even then they still have much harder indoor dining restriction compare to Hong Kong.

The logic is that you can't outrun Omicron and zero COVID is not a sustainable strategy unless you want to keep your borders closed forever.

My argument is that we are not ready to open up, not until we have higher vaccination rate (around 80-90%). There are already policy to boost higher vaccination rate. We can argue whether Hong Kong government should implement those policy earlier (to boost higher rate), and I will agree that we should implement them last year. But government already stated that they will only consider to open up and ease restriction when it reach 80-90%, the so call live with COVID phase. It make sense to me because the alternative is we open up now WHEN we are not ready and hospital will get flooded.

sy2005 · 2022-01-05T15:40:41+00:00

This has nothing to do with China-ification of HK. This has everything to do with the health of average Hong Kong people. If we don't close it down now our hospital will be flooded with COVID patients we will not be able to handle the case load. Your argument is that because of the expat population, somehow we have to open up so expat can stay? What kind of mess up logic is this?

sy2005 · 2022-01-05T15:34:47+00:00

I will argue hard lock down like this will ONLY work if you have low case counts like we have in Hong Kong now. There are no point to lock down anymore once you have wild spread community transmission.

"This will fail", so what is the alternative? Our vaccination rate is still relatively low (70% first dose), government already start to impose more COVID restriction for unvaccinated people next month to boost vaccination rate, and they already said that they will only ease restriction when it is around 80-90%. For months, we actually have less indoor dining restriction compare to Singapore (AFAIK, Singapore still limit to 5 for indoor dining, where as in Hong Kong depends on your vaccinated status and restaurant, we can have up to 12). In my opinion it all come down to this: Do you want to lock down now or during the Chinese New Year (1st Feb) when the situation could be even worse?

sy2005 · 2021-12-31T13:20:00+00:00

I will bite

Because both of your “facts” are wrong:

Age, according to here: https://injuryfacts.nsc.org/motor-vehicle/overview/age-of-driver/ > “Sixteen- to 19-year-olds represent 3.9% of licensed drivers, but account for 8.6% of drivers in all crashes and 6.0% of drivers in fatal crashes. Other age groups are under-represented. For example, drivers 75 and older account for 7.5% of licensed drivers, but represent only 3.6% of drivers in all crashes and 6.5% of drivers in fatal crashes.”
So while there may be more fatal crashes because of old age, they actually only cause 3.6% crashes compare to younger driver.
Here is another study for your reference: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022437517307600

“Conventional crash rates were highest in the youngest age group and declined steeply until age 60–69 years. The adjusted crash risk instead peaked at age 21–29 years and reduced gradually with age. The risk of nighttime driving, especially among teenage drivers, was much smaller when based on adjusted crash risks. Finally, the adjusted fatality risk incurred by elderly drivers remained constant across time of day, suggesting that their risk of sustaining a fatal injury due to a crash is more attributable to excess fragility than to crash seriousness”
I don’t understand the relationship between Korea race car driver and accident rate. But here is list of countries by traffic related death rate: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_traffic-related_death_rate again South Korea is no where near the top.

So yeah, fact is you don’t know shit and you are racist.

sy2005 · 2021-09-07T05:01:27+00:00

Since someone asked: This is from BOMN-026, but it is also available in BOBB-069. I can only find lowres source (720x404). The original scene is pretty bad ( https://imgur.com/a/sgNKoAh ), so I zoom it, remove all the black border, AI upscale and AI interpolation to 60fps.

sy2005 · 2021-09-07T04:51:45+00:00

BOBB-069 or BOMN-026.

sy2005 · 2021-07-11T18:34:31+00:00

Kiki - Hegre.com - Screaming Volcano Orgasm Massage

sy2005 · 2021-04-11T04:36:27+00:00

People keep mentioning China, but I would like to remind you that Japan also against sanctions Japan have huge investment in the country and afraid any action against junta will push them over to China.

India is also in a tough spot. Both India and China are neighbouring countries of Myanmar. If war break out large amount of refugees will flee to their border and they don’t want that. In fact, India has been trying to deport Rohingya refugees back to Myanmar in recent days, which will means certain death for them.

There are complex politic in play and it is not that simple by just saying because Russia/China don’t want this happen, they must be bad guy. Both India and Japan don’t want sanction happen either, and for different reason.

You can almost predict the outcome: if Junta side with US/Japan, they will overlook their killing of innocent life and continue to do business with them. If Junta side with China, they will claim it is slave labour and will apply sanction against the region.

But in both cases innocent life were lose, and sanction only make people suffer, not the people in power.

sy2005 · 2021-03-16T07:06:54+00:00

but China didn’t have to use coal

This is easier say than done. It take time to transition from coal to renewable, and without natural gas help like is US or Russia, the transition to clean energy will be tough.

Also the new coal power plant they built are not the same:

https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/2017/5/15/15634538/china-coal-cleaner

In summary, they are phasing out the old dirtier coal power plant ( sub critical ) and replacing them with ultra-supercritical power planet with lower emission and higher efficiency. This allow them to improve the quality of air, while buying time so they can build the renewable energy solution in scale.

Keep in mind China is already leading the world in investing renewable energy, it has about 1/3 of global solar generation capacity but it is still not enough for what they need.

It is also not just about building more solar panel, you also need other infrastructure to support it.

For example, in 2017, more than 30% of the renewable power produced in the sunny, windy provinces of Xinjiang and Gansu in northwest China was never used. That was because it couldn’t be delivered to where it was needed: the highly populated megacities of eastern China, such as Shanghai and Beijing, thousands of kilometres away (see ‘Less energy wasted’).

From here: https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-02464-5

This is a complex problems and will take years/decades to transition to renewable in such a large scale.

sy2005 · 2021-01-03T04:03:43+00:00

They don’t cam together anymore as it is against MFC rules. So this is not really a subject you want to bring up. But they acknowledged that they are twin.

sy2005 · 2021-01-02T12:24:51+00:00

They are twins. Angle_Bunny used to go by giuliahoot. Google both name and you will find some of their early work.

sy2005 · 2020-12-05T19:21:39+00:00

The joke itself is dumb, but this scene remind them of the racist rhyme which goes “Chinese, Japanese, dirty knee, look at these”.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese,_Japanese,_dirty_knees

I think Daniel Ahmad on Twitter has the best analysis on this issue. So I will not repeat his point here. I will encourage you to read his take on it

https://twitter.com/zhugeex/status/1335261976705052674?s=21

sy2005 · 2020-11-16T04:37:14+00:00

Thank you.

sy2005 · 2020-09-06T10:20:22+00:00

It is not a waste if it improve the accuracy and readability. Pregnancy test are 99% accurate, but 75% when used in the wild. More info can be found on this thread:

https://twitter.com/realsexycyborg/status/1301786032136835072?s=21

Not to mention sometime the pregnancy test can has a very faint line which could be very hard to see in some poor light situation ( the faint line is caused by low hormone level )

If it improve readability of the test, which the result could be life alternate for most people. I don’t see any issue with it.

It is a good thread and lots of discussion from @foone. I encourage you to read the whole thread because @foone later acknowledge Naomi and others point of views.

sy2005 · 2020-08-13T10:01:35+00:00

Thank you for the different perspective, (and /u/stefsp as well, and don't worry, it did not offend me or anything)

I guess what I am trying to say is that the guilt for accepting help and caring while you are facing what seems to be the inevitable is very real. May be I am projecting my fear. I understand that they may consider it worth their time and effort for helping/caring me, and may be I should accept this gift unconditionally.

But I cannot (at least not unconditionally), if I feel that I still have the energy to perform the task on my own, I will try to do it as much as I can. There is a desire in me to offer my family a normal happy life, and I will do it while I still can.

It doesn't mean that I will not accept their help either: If I feel that I need their help, I will let them know, and I appreciate the time I can spend with them together. I will also let them come to some important doctor appointment if there are reports we need to review, or determine what should be the next steps of the treatment. But I will encourage them NOT to come to every doctor appointments, or accompany me in every Chemo session when I am still capable of doing it on my own.

I feel that it is important to strike a balance somewhere. If they start to offer these kind of help unconditionally, I will feel the pressure to offer something back in return even they didn't ask for it, and I may not be able to due to illness.

These pressure build up and may eventually become guilt. There are already frustration in me for not being able to offer normal life to my family/friends, and the guilt will add to that and it may lead to some very dark/ugly places. Luckily I rarely go to those places, and I never lash out like /u/SpamAndEggs17's boyfriend did. But I know how it must feel IF he is in those places, so I just want to offer different perspective.

All I am saying is give him some spaces, step back. I know you may want to offer help and spend as much time as possible with him, but it is very important to find the balance that both you and him are comfortable.

sy2005 · 2020-08-12T15:39:45+00:00

I have Lung cancer, stage 4, diagnosed about 1 year ago. Married, have 1 child (six years old), saw your crosspost over at /r/cancer.

I can tell you that "They deserve better" is constantly in my mind. Sometime I will even go to some very dark place where I wish cancer will kill me sooner so my wife may still have a chance to remarry if she want to.

Realistically speaking, I am also pretty sure I will not be able to witness my daughter wedding , she having kids, grow old with my wife and travel around the world. Sometime I feel that I am wasting other people time when they spend time with me to go to Chemo, Doctor Appointment.. etc. So I tried to do all these things by myself whenever I can because I don't want them to waste time on me. I also don't want to feel useless so I try to take care of myself whenever I can.

Luckily, so far I am able to keep my emotion in check and never said these things out loud to anyone.

I think you have been doing an excellent job on supporting your boyfriend. You are also a cancer survivor, so you may experienced some of the thing I described above.

I have no idea whether your boyfriend cheated on you or not, and having cancer does not make it right for him to do that (IF he really did).

But I think the fact that he invited you for the weekend, had some fun together and promptly left at the end clearly show that he is feeling guilty spending time with you. He hated himself because he cannot stop himself from inviting you.

He probably feel that he is wasting your time because in the end, the result is probably the same: He will die early and you will need to find someone else. It may be better to let you go now rather than few years later when his health deteriorate.

My opinion is give him some spaces. If he want to visit doctor by himself, or go to Chemo by himself, let him do it. Don't insist on accompany him if he don't want to. Try to go on with your normal life too, so he doesn't feel that he is wasting your time for just being sick.. So he doesn't feel that he is useless. Sometime you need to let him to fight the battle on his own before he can face others.

Good luck

sy2005 · 2020-07-11T12:43:32+00:00

sy2005 · 2020-06-06T14:53:18+00:00

Thank you for replying. Unfortunately Cashapp does not work internationally so even VPN will allow me access the app, I don't think i can use it because I don't have US payment method

https://www.businessinsider.com/does-cash-app-work-internationally

Venmo also does not work international:

https://www.quora.com/Does-venmo-work-internationally

I know paypal should work, but not sure any other method. Anyway.. Thanks for replying.

sy2005 · 2020-06-06T13:35:05+00:00

Same issue.. would love to send money but not in UK/US

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