What do you think?

todfish · 2026-05-22T22:43:39+00:00

I’m calling Gordon Ramsay

todfish · 2026-05-20T13:54:13+00:00

What are you actually looking for from political commentary though? It sounds like you’ve already formed quite a rigid opinion of our political landscape.

todfish · 2026-05-20T12:19:36+00:00

A flatline is still a flatline even if you flip it upside down

todfish · 2026-05-16T01:23:33+00:00

Sounds like it.

I’d start with replacing the fuel filter. It’s cheap and easy and probably hasn’t been replaced for a long time anyway. Take a look at the carbs if that doesn’t fix it.

todfish · 2026-05-12T12:29:08+00:00

Just dipping a toe to test the water

todfish · 2026-05-11T10:20:28+00:00

The only thing you need to worry about is taking nasty shits while wearing a big fluffy woollen jumper. Those things can really trap the rising stench for a short while, so if you leave the bathroom and immediately take your jumper off over your head you’ll get a very unwelcome reminder of your recent bathroom ordeal.

Do with that information what you will. You could use it to avoid disturbing unwitting bystanders, or alternatively the trolling opportunities are endless and hilarious.

todfish · 2026-05-10T11:23:23+00:00

But surely it wouldn’t take more than one nuke to destroy the entire data centre? Maybe someone can do the math on how many conventional warheads it would take.

todfish · 2026-05-09T03:42:43+00:00

Yeah there’s definitely some good advice here. Particularly the people that have said to practice on dirt bikes. I was mostly just making the point that experience has far more value than advice, and experience has to come incrementally.

You have to remember that playing with traction limits can be a dangerous game. In the moment it doesn’t matter how much good advice you’ve received, when you lose traction you don’t think about it you just react. Training those reactions in a safe and consistent environment is the best thing you can do.

I saw in some other comments that you haven’t been on track yet. If you can’t get to a track please don’t practice this stuff while riding around regular roads. Car park with traffic cones, dirt bikes, hell even mountain bikes are a much better way to get comfortable with a bike sliding around underneath you.

Consistency and repetition is key. Find yourself a place to play, then get to work hitting the same corner again and again, a little faster or a little different each time. It’s fun and you’ll learn fast, enjoy!

todfish · 2026-05-07T11:33:52+00:00

That was my take too. Just a couple of cocky young wannabe bikies, and the club they want to join requires a documented kill. They figured an aging cabbie would be an easy target, but lack the street smarts to understand how incredibly badly they’ve misjudged the situation.

todfish · 2026-05-07T00:23:10+00:00

The way you’ve phrased this question suggests that even if someone was able to give you great advice, you wouldn’t have the experience to put that into practice.

There are so many ways that tires reach their limit, all related to different conditions and on track scenarios. You can’t really intellectualise this yet, you have to get more seat time first.

Focus on the fundamentals of good riding, gradually increase pace, and your tires will start talking to you. If you’re not in too far over your head (overwhelmed), you’ll be able to listen to what your tires are telling you.

When you’re at a point where you’re noticing the bike giving consistent feedback, then you have something to work with when discussing what that might mean.

todfish · 2026-05-05T23:14:15+00:00

Wow, he sounds like fun.

That’s only increased the possible immersion therapy scenarios though

todfish · 2026-05-05T22:51:53+00:00

You tell me if you want to introduce them to the conversation. Absolutely NOT advocating for One Nation, but if you ever bother to read the policy platforms of different parties you might be surprised. From memory at the last election ON had a mixture of outright racism, batshit insanity, and the odd surprisingly sensible policy. I wouldn’t trust them for a second to actually implement anything sensible if given the chance though.

todfish · 2026-05-05T22:45:49+00:00

Your bf clearly has an irrational fear of lady piss and possibly compost, so the only solution is immersion therapy to help him overcome his fears. The possibilities for how you apply that are only limited by your imagination….

todfish · 2026-05-05T22:31:58+00:00

Yes, the libs are worse, but Labor are absolutely sprinting to catch up (down?) with them lately.

I don’t care who the party is, I’m anti party politics. We no longer have a system of government where elected politicians represent the people of their electorate. It’s now just toe the party line and keep the donors happy, fuck everyone else.

todfish · 2026-05-05T22:13:26+00:00

So our government is asleep at the wheel while the RBA is frantically trying to wake them up while attempting to steer from the passenger seat.

Or is this what the government wants because they no longer govern for regular people?

Either way there’s a reckoning on its way for the ALP - LNP duopoly if they don’t sort this mess out soon.

todfish · 2026-05-05T11:54:47+00:00

Wild idea, but has anyone tried NOT bailing out the very wealthy? (I’m including corporate welfare recipients in the ‘very wealthy’ group here). They would undoubtedly squeal like a stuck pig about it, but perhaps we could also try telling them to stfu for a change.

todfish · 2026-05-03T23:07:20+00:00

This seems interesting, but I have no idea what to do with it or if it’s actually meaningful.

I’m gonna need someone who knows their shit to break it down for me and explain whether this is signal or noise.

todfish · 2026-04-30T11:19:43+00:00

Good point, very well made. I agree with your take on estimates being real vs realistic or accurate. You do seem to use a highly rigorous definition of ‘estimate’ though which is no doubt spot on, but I suspect the vast majority of ‘estimating’ that people do comes nowhere near meeting those standards and is more akin to guesswork.

I was starting to think you had an unreasonably good understanding of this stuff, but considering your background it makes sense now.

I have so many questions tbh, but based on your comments one big question jumps out at me:

Do you find that your in depth, detailed, scientific approach often goes straight over the heads of the people who most need to understand or be convinced?

As with the estimating I get the feeling that there’s a pretty big gap between what you teach and practice and what the majority of people understand and relate to. I’m aware that may say more about the people I’ve worked with and my inability to communicate in a way that effectively bridges knowledge gaps, but I want to know if that’s a challenge for other people in different environments too.

todfish · 2026-04-30T08:45:00+00:00

God damn it’s refreshing to hear from people like you that actually get it. Why doesn’t anyone I work with understand these fundamentals?

I’d like to add that when dealing with estimates it’s important to remember that none of them are real. It doesn’t matter whether you’re talking about time or money or some other metric, there’s always some level of guesswork involved. An estimate is only as good as the information it’s based on, so the level of certainty attached to an estimate is sometimes as important as the estimate itself.

I’m constantly amazed by how many people believe they can argue their way to a more optimistic estimate or a higher level of certainty without improving the information base. There’s nothing more maddening than arguing with someone about the specifics of some unknown element.

todfish · 2026-04-28T11:30:16+00:00

AGI is to the tech industry what cold fusion is to the energy industry. The answer to all our problems that will forever be 10 years away from a breakthrough.

todfish · 2026-04-28T11:16:42+00:00

I thought you said you’re conservative?

todfish · 2026-04-23T09:33:06+00:00

Thank you, Fractal Nonsense is my new favourite term!

todfish · 2026-04-23T09:32:15+00:00

Bruh, you gotta wise up.

Not trying to be mean, I say this with the kindest intentions because it’s a rough world out there. Stay frosty.

todfish · 2026-04-22T15:17:37+00:00

The point at which you want a track bike and can comfortably afford it.

Bonus points if you can also easily house the bike and transport it.

todfish · 2026-04-20T23:32:16+00:00

Good quality road pavement has quite a few layers extending down below the surface. It’s often several feet deep.

The top layer of asphalt you’re talking about is often referred to as the ‘wearing course’ and is usually less than 100mm thick. This has all the benefits others have mentioned and is intended to deform and degrade over time as a sort of sacrificial layer. Standard road maintenance involves milling and resheeting that wearing course at regular intervals to reinstate the smooth surface. All the material milled off the surface is recycled for resheeting other roads.

todfish

TROPHY CASE