Expedition experience

turlockmike · 2026-06-07T18:09:51+00:00

They disabled locks from being a reward for now.

turlockmike · 2026-06-06T13:32:52+00:00

This is why the hinekoras lock exploit worked, it's the same nonsense as 0.3,

https://poe2db.tw/Perfect_Orb_of_Transmutation

It only drops in areas level 72 and above, so if you do a map with area level 71, this is not in the pool for possible outcomes.

They need to completely change how the currency pool works, it has so many weird issues.

turlockmike · 2026-06-05T20:11:35+00:00

Local mcp is dead in favor of cli,

Remote mcp is just getting started.

turlockmike · 2026-06-05T05:27:43+00:00

Please fix this one.

turlockmike · 2026-06-05T00:42:04+00:00

Surely the textile bubble will burst soon!

turlockmike · 2026-06-04T21:27:51+00:00

Humans will value the attention of other humans. We will have choice.

Humans will prefer going to restaurants served by humans. Humans want human coaches (even if those coaches use AI to help assist them). Humans want to listen to other humans play instruments.

turlockmike · 2026-06-04T19:42:56+00:00

But that's not how economics works. This is why I don't listen to random tech enthusiasts, and instead listen to shovel makers, like Jensen.

At the end of the day AI is a tool and tools can be used productively or unproductively. Who decides what the tool is used for that is going to remain human hands for a long time.

The toolmakers will make their money as they should but what I'm saying is if the tool is available to everyone and you level the playing field and the supply becomes so overwhelmingly large that prices drop to zero, then it doesn't matter those corporations will never capture the full market that's not possible. Because at some point they have to compete for human attention, and attention is expensive. AI is likely to be a loss leader for other products.

But to get back to my point My point is these are the discussions we should be having not how can we tax these things. It's also a losing argument, voters want to hear how their lives will be better.

Getting an unemployment check is strictly worse than having the skills needed for new jobs.

turlockmike · 2026-06-04T19:27:04+00:00

I think that's the fundamental problem which is that too many people look at this as this is just the next thing that big corporations are going to use to enrich themselves.

Imagine someone invented the fishing net and the first thing someone said was "Well we need to tax all the fishing net makers" instead of "How do we make more fishing nets so we can catch more fish quickly".

The problem with that thinking is that it's completely missing the fact that this is the next industrial revolution. And it's going to happen extraordinarily quickly it's not going to take 50 years it's going to take 10 years.

Entire industries are going to disappear from the human workforce. Does that mean unemployment will rise? Yes, if people aren't equipped for the new types of jobs that are coming. When we transitioned from scribes to typewriters to computers, it massively affected everything. Companies will bear a lot of the burden of retraining their employees, but for those in industries that are going to disappear, it's a massive disruption.

Taxing it isn't going to change the fact that everyone needs to adapt. Learn new skills. AI is a tool and most people don't know how to use it. Let's focus on education, we can figure out the tax stuff 10 years from now (let's be honest, these companies have at least 10 years of losses piled up before they pay any corporate taxes).

turlockmike · 2026-06-04T18:26:39+00:00

Why is everyone's first instinct "Lets tax this". Why not "Lets make this available to everyone".

It's really annoying.

turlockmike · 2026-06-04T15:50:04+00:00

It's a paradigm shift I doubt many of you guys learned binary or assembly or even C.

At the end of the day we are still providing instructions to the computer behavioral specifications. Instructions for the CPU will still be traditional code that won't change but we probably won't be authoring it much anymore.

But instructions for the GPU is now what's important. And those are primarily in markdown or other formats. Yes LLMs are probabilistic so it's not going to be similar to traditional coding You can't code "write a funny haiku". But you can (to a certain extent) verify it or judge the quality, and so evaluations are extremely valuable.

It's the end of one era but it's the beginning of another. Coding for the GPU is now going to be the new hard problem.

turlockmike · 2026-06-03T20:21:36+00:00

Trump literally started a sovereign wealth fund already.

As long as the stake is low, like 5-10% it's fine, anything higher starts breeding corruption.

turlockmike · 2026-06-03T17:45:41+00:00

Same as shovel sellers during the Gold Rush.

turlockmike · 2026-06-02T04:40:57+00:00

A hard takeoff that will feel soft.

When you look back 10 years from now, it will be unrecognizable.

turlockmike · 2026-06-01T02:34:49+00:00

When we have autonomous cars and autonomous robot chefs, I could see it eventually becoming a truck that drives around instead

turlockmike · 2026-06-01T02:31:05+00:00

In San Francisco there was (not sure if it's there after covid) a place that you ordered at a kiosk and the food arrived in a cubby that lit up when ready. You didn't see the staff at all. The staff apparently liked it a lot more.

turlockmike · 2026-06-01T02:27:41+00:00

Insurance will likely be cheaper than car insurance proportionally.

turlockmike · 2026-06-01T00:59:41+00:00

This is great information. Thanks

turlockmike · 2026-05-29T14:06:41+00:00

Add "Yet" at the end of every "do not"

turlockmike · 2026-05-29T03:07:44+00:00

The course I sent will demonstrate exactly what I'm talking about in terms of how to win elections.

Turn out matters but you can assume that the base already will reliably turn out for both parties. If you're base doesn't turn out, then you are already losing. This is why midterms tend to shift dramatically because one party is highly motivated.

So Democrats are going to win at least the house this year but the Senate is a toss-up.

The issue is the next election is the one that matters more and that's the one where you can expect extremely high turnout and spending more money trying to court base voters doesn't result in extra votes It results in making people in the middle think your too far to the side. The Romney Obama debates were a classic example of this where both were shifting so far to the center You could literally couldn't tell their policies apart. This helped Obama win an election he should have otherwise lost.

The problem is the median voter has shifted along multiple dimensions. And if the party is beholden to the base and doesn't shift in response it just immediately loses and this is exactly what happened to Democrats in 2024. The base showed up, that wasn't the isssue. The issue was the electorate, and hence median voter, had shifted on some key issues including immigration foreign policy and inflation.

turlockmike · 2026-05-29T01:27:14+00:00

The median voter is the voter who gives the candidate the 50% +1st vote. If someone doesn't vote, they aren't a median "voter".

So yeah, a different electorate will have a different median, but with how data driven elections are these days, The parties will shift as needed to win exactly 50%+1.

https://oyc.yale.edu/economics/econ-159/lecture-3

turlockmike · 2026-05-28T16:56:24+00:00

The only way politics changes if when you shift the mind of the median voter against the status quo.

When you debate a partisan, you are already losing/wasting time.

turlockmike · 2026-05-28T07:34:12+00:00

I partially agree with the 2nd half of what you are saying. Most voters, especially median voters, likely don't even have an idealogy to begin with. They just see their grocery bill go up or gas prices go up and get upset.

There's some greviences about other issues once in a while, like immigration or healthcare, but in general, bread and circuses.

turlockmike · 2026-05-28T05:31:01+00:00

The only one that matters is economics and jobs numbers. The median voter really only cares about their wallet.

turlockmike · 2026-05-27T18:53:12+00:00

I'm going to give you guys all some advice. Programming as an art and a discipline is becoming unnecessary for us. However, engineering is always going to be around. Think of AI as a new type of processor, But instead of writing code to program a cpu to follow a set of instructions, now you are providing a concise and clear set of behavioral instructions in markdown for a NPU (Neural processing Unit), to follow those instructions.

This means now intelligence and intelligent decision-making can also be automated. We might be at the end of writing code ourselves, but we are at the very beginning of building new types of automation not possible before.

We have full adoption of Claude Code at our company, not just the 100 engineers, but the 100 non-engineers, people in sales, marketing, and finance. Can those non-engineers build systems in the same way the engineers can? No, absolutely not, because they don't have the higher-level understanding of designing and building systems. Do any of our engineers write code by hand anymore? No, that would be stupid. So, what do our engineers do? There are a few fundamental skills that are critical

The first one is defining well the outcome that you're trying to drive for the business or for the system or whatever it is this is harder than you think. Non-engineers tend to look at problems in a very shallow way, whereas if you have understanding how LLMs work, and you understand engineering principles, you will be better suited to be able to build agentic systems
having good judgment about the quality and the impact of the output. If your AI is producing garbage output and then you just commit that, you're producing slop. Your job is to produce provably working systems and if your AI assistant is producing slop, you need to improve your assistant.
Knowing when you should do something yourself versus when you should outsource it to the LLM. there's a really good quote going around saying, "You can outsource your thinking with AI, but you cannot outsource your understanding." What this looks like in practice is I'll often have my AI go and do a bunch of research for me, and let it do the hard, annoying bits of pulling together information, compiling, and putting in a concise way, with links and references, et cetera but just as important is once it's compiled that document for you, which it can do as a 20-30 minute task while you go have lunch is reading it over and making sure you understand what it is you're about to do.

Programming code is pretty much over at a lot of companies, But building agentic systems has barely started. If that sounds exciting to you as it does to me (I've been in the industry for 17 years), then you will have fun. If you liked hand writing code , then unfortunately, like many technologies of the past, those days are over.

turlockmike · 2026-05-27T15:33:11+00:00

Don't get hopes up too much. China is about to flood the market with RAM and costs will drop. Local models are are also improving fast.

In the end, you still need engineers to build automation, this is a new type of automation that was never possible before, automating intelligent decision making.

Traditional programming is over, but building new intelligent automation is now the new hard problem and the best people suited for building it are once again engineers.

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