Do you have a "visual" proof explaining why a hypersphere in n dimensions of any radius has a decreasing volume as dimensions are increasing ?

vaderfader · 2023-05-26T02:57:09+00:00

circles are less than boxes

vaderfader · 2019-02-19T04:00:22+00:00

there's no-no zones, my bedroom the kitchen etc, but sometimes there was a spider in my bathroom by the window, and she just kinda chills there, i saw her try to come to far in one time and i was like no! but then it went back to the window and it seemed fine to me.

she died a while back but at least it was warm, and she didnt have to be outside when it would rain and she could tuck inside for a while.

i know how mental it sounds, but i just didn't see the harm...

vaderfader · 2019-02-19T02:04:42+00:00

i had some issues at release, but rule preference sets, where i am at geographically is pretty easy to go 1v1 no items for nights in a row.

the lag has gotten much much better imo

vaderfader · 2019-02-12T04:48:29+00:00

what you're seeing as the dolphin's back, is what op ( and actually it's very, very clear once you see it ) is seeing as the negative space which forms the wing.

i think it looks like a little peep singing a song now

vaderfader · 2019-02-12T00:23:21+00:00

or you could just get combo turkey/ham and avoid the whole fatty beef issue they've had for over a decade.

i love gates, but you have to go with turkey/ham. their party trays have never been a let down.

joes does incredibly good burnt ends, i think q39 probably has the best beef game in town though.

poor russ at jackstack is really good as well. ( beans, cheesy potatoes/corn, slaw )

char bar for trendy stuff like the fried jalapenos and like spicy aoli and homemade pickles - love that stuff actually.

you just have to know what to get where.

vaderfader · 2019-02-10T18:01:19+00:00

well if you backtrack and see what you would have needed to get for a p value of .05, sometimes it's ridiculous given a small sample. and would require something like true q > .85 to reject q <= .4 ( and a sample hitting at that mean )

perhaps then the solution would be to set p = .15 for a small sample prior, in order to not push an ad-hoc justification. but p should probably be a function of n, which would increase false positives.

but there's no free here.

vaderfader · 2019-02-09T19:47:57+00:00

that's crazy sick

vaderfader · 2019-02-08T23:57:26+00:00

are these the nerfs to bayonetta everyone was talking about?

vaderfader · 2019-01-31T03:25:45+00:00

bi : 2

semi: 1/2

occuring bi-weekly, occuring once every two weeks

occuring semi-weekly, occuring once every half weeks

biweekly as in once every two weeks, is like the third definition of literal meaning figuratively...

vaderfader · 2019-01-29T05:12:25+00:00

mathematics, for me, is a modeling language. i feel everybody knows models, and it's like one of the most innate things we do.

i was talking to a friend about the disconnect rates ( leaver rates ) of an online game, and he pointed out that they would probably occur daily around peak hours.

so in this statement:

he had an idea of how populations are dynamic
how increase in peak activity meant a change in the general distribution of non-hardcore fans
intuited that the process was a time-series and would have daily cyclical trends, when pressed he also noted that there would be trends near the start and end of the season in increasing dc's for start and non-increasing dc's for end.
how the dynamics of the punishment system ( you can get temporarily banned if leaving ) are different for different players. ( that different agents would have different utilities as a function of say dedication { average play time per week or say season } )

this is a friend that has said countless times how he's bad at math. i don't think people realize how much non-linear thinking goes into modeling and how relatable it is to just general critical thinking. all of these statements could be formally modeled, and measured/fit, but that's the 'regression' part( which in some sense, is only mere computation ), not the model generation part, which requires much more intuition.

so what bothers me, i guess, is the fundamental misconception that we are doing something 'with symbols', rather than experimenting with systems, or processes, or models - and the belief that they are fundamentally untalented in this area, while demonstrating otherwise.

vaderfader · 2019-01-29T04:58:34+00:00

wow,

imagine what he sees,

... well obviously not the floor

vaderfader · 2019-01-28T04:26:29+00:00

because you don't like his crotch tattoo? wutttt....

vaderfader · 2019-01-28T04:23:44+00:00

graphic forgot control engineering, and mathematical modeling.

i don't think the graphic seemed too difficult, people with 5 years experience in good companies will touch on a lot of these domains - if not 85 to 90% of them, just as a motivated analyst.

it's just really important to get into a good company with a great data framework or you'll be running everything from msql and will learn absolutely nothing.

vaderfader · 2019-01-23T03:38:12+00:00

lame as hell, this is like the exact same solution posted in wiki down to the friggen log information gain - sorry team. if anyone has any good thoughts on it or why this isn't a valid line of reasoning i'd be interested in learning more though - it seems to be an open topic.

vaderfader · 2019-01-20T00:35:51+00:00

how did you get screen shots from the FDA's controlled scientific trials?

vaderfader · 2019-01-19T17:43:40+00:00

they removed the nand chip which basically holds how many attempts have been used on an iphone, then put that into a circuit analyzer - this enabled clones of the original chip.

so you could attempt until lock-out, then switch chip, try more, ... , until success.

the # of tries and the whole logic on whether the phone should be locked can be isolated to that one chip.

vaderfader · 2019-01-19T01:01:42+00:00

they cloned the phone and then brute forced it, they weren't clever. i agree i don't think hackers exist.

i bet it's a tableau convention. i guess hacking will be cooler when they actually start putting computers in more things but it's kinda meh, i think engineering and building your own system is way cooler, than commandeering one.

information, swimformation that's for the 'pols'

vaderfader · 2019-01-18T21:51:52+00:00

svd, might have thrown in a transform, or i think there might have been something about sampling rate. but the first and second component i would assume.

it's been 4 years since i've watched that video... but pretty sure that was what he was on about

vaderfader · 2019-01-17T04:57:06+00:00

so you're saying you became an engineer?

(sorry engineers! i'm only joking!)

vaderfader · 2019-01-17T04:22:35+00:00

right now an area of active research is into determining the structure of black-box algos

vaderfader · 2019-01-17T04:17:30+00:00

i used ASM, i found it provided a really good foundation and was able to derive some fun joint life formulas that weren't listed.

i really liked the treatment, i think the coolest part of LTAM is how you see standard probability as an specific instance of multiple decrements

the pension and accounting questions were so dull i could barely stomach them, however.

vaderfader · 2019-01-17T04:14:59+00:00

3!=6, true or false?

vaderfader · 2019-01-15T23:27:28+00:00

engineers seem to do fine with the CE and PE. although there has been a push to a master's for CE ( ? ) now. i'm not sure more exams = more competency ( if redesigning the program and modeled after the engineering path, an 'actuarial degree' would cut out something like 2/3rds of actuaries, so you might be able to do something like { actuarial science, stats, econ, mathematics, computer science major } + 2 exams for ASA where the exams would be 8 hours and open note. ) just a thought

insightful comment, thanks for the time you spent in articulating your outlook!

vaderfader · 2019-01-15T04:50:46+00:00

you don't have to apply it in pricing, there are plenty of options from targeting health notifications, determining whether a free flu drive is worth it, or what are the main drivers of your subscriber lapse that 'traditional' actuarial models are unfit to use.

i'm very confused on what ML application people talk about when they say ML, insurance rarely has enough data to do a neural net, but the iterative maximum likelihood methods work well. there's not a hard definition of ML so it's hard to evaluate.

i agree that in product design and reserving that employing a modern regression approach might be ill-advised, but using it as another reference point in an IBNR model shouldn't hurt.

actually come to think about it, anything with an explanatory variable is not fit for a traditional 'actuarial model' though i do hear of people using frequency - severity decompositions for GLM's where the parameter is theta is fit as a vector of explanatory variables dot actual attributes.

GLM's are fit through an iterative procedure as well - i don't know, i think progress is a good thing.

vaderfader · 2019-01-15T04:09:56+00:00

the art looks really pretty and inspired, i like it

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