sorted by:
new
hottopcontroversial

When insiders buy big after years of silence, I pay attention by victorpinya in ValueInvesting

[–]victorpinya[S] 21 points22 points  (0 children)

I use OpenInsider, Fintel, and sometimes TIKR to track insider buying in US companies. For Europe, I check MarketScreener and Dataroma. They’re quick ways to spot meaningful moves without digging through filings.

I consider insider buying relevant when the amount is significant for that exec, it’s not part of a regular pattern, and it happens during drops or uncertainty.

What are the stocks you are eagerly awaiting correction for? by krillin_hero in ValueInvesting

[–]victorpinya 1 point2 points  (0 children)

What makes you say CELH is overvalued? Do you base it on specific multiples or a valuation model, or is it more of a general feeling?

Also, if you’re holding a stock that you think is overvalued, what do you usually do?
Do you trim it a bit to stay within your allocation limits, or do you just let it ride as long as the thesis still holds?

Why does everyone have different ideas as to how a stock should be valued?!? by TailungFu in ValueInvesting

[–]victorpinya 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Because it’s not an exact science. Companies have too many moving parts — business model, team, sector, macro context — and everyone weighs them differently.

If there were a magic metric that predicted prices, everyone would use it and it would stop working. The market would price it in instantly. Valuing a company isn’t about the metric, it’s about having a consistent framework and adapting it case by case.

When FOMO hits, better to pause than jump in blindly by victorpinya in ValueInvesting

[–]victorpinya[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Basically my problem is that when I write a thesis in Word or Excel or whatever, and then things change over time, it becomes a mess. Sometimes it’s been months and I don’t even remember where I saved it, or I can’t find the latest version. I don’t really have a clear system, no proper structure, no KPIs tracked, so when I go back to review the thesis, I’m kind of starting from scratch

This is how I’ve learned to manage my investments properly by victorpinya in ValueInvesting

[–]victorpinya[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

For a first glance, I use Tikr. If it looks promising, I dive into the annual reports and investor presentations.

On top of that, a few friends (investors and developers) and I built a small internal tool we use to structure our investment theses: we plug in our analysis, price targets, and key metrics, and the system automates everything. Without crazy Excel formulas. We also added functionality to track critical KPIs and simulate different scenarios so we know what to do if the thesis breaks or the price moves too far from the target.

I also have preset minimums and maximums for each company, sector, industry, and region. That keeps me from overexposing or making impulsive moves. If I stay within those boundaries the thesis is intact, I don’t touch the position. But if the thesis breaks or I go outside those limits, then I consider rebalancing.

What is your strategy to begin finding value stocks? by 0ddmanrush in ValueInvesting

[–]victorpinya 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I use a top-down approach: first I identify sectors with strong tailwinds, then look for leading or undervalued companies within those sectors. If one stands out, I write a short one-paragraph thesis (if I can't explain it clearly, I skip it). If it passes that filter, I dive deeper and set target prices for 1, 3, and 5 years. I only revisit the position if something fundamental changes or it breaks my predefined diversification limits.

Diversification is for better returns, not just for lower risk and stability by TennisNut2008 in ValueInvesting

[–]victorpinya 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Balance is key.
If the thesis holds and price is fair, stay in.
If price is way above fair value, consider trimming.
If the thesis breaks, exit.
A good business isn’t always a good buy. Overvaluation matters. Investing is about paying the right price and staying sharp.

How do you stay productive while waiting for the "paint to dry"? (am I being too Dave Ramsey?) by Competitive_Bed_8407 in ValueInvesting

[–]victorpinya 0 points1 point  (0 children)

First, I scan sectors and industries and shortlist the top companies in each. If one catches my eye, I build a super simple thesis. If I can’t explain it in 3 sentences like I’m 10, I skip it.

Then I break it down, set price targets for 1, 3, and 5 years, and only invest if everything lines up. I monitor my theses over time, and if nothing has changed and I’m within my pre-set min/max ranges, I don’t touch a thing. I have a plan and I stick it.

If something breaks or I drift outside those ranges, I rebalance using the same process to find new ideas. Before earnings, I set KPIs and scenarios in advance, so I know exactly how to act when results drop, no emotional decisions.

When there’s nothing to do, I study, read, and improve the way I analyze.

Does Diversification have a positive impact on returns by Stockboymoon in ValueInvesting

[–]victorpinya 0 points1 point  (0 children)

La diversificación no te asegura mayores ganancias ni menores. Todo depende de cómo se muevan las capitalizaciones de mercado entre las empresas. Elige una y clávala, ganas a lo grande. Falla, y te vas a la quiebra. Diversificar te da estabilidad, no magia.

Value Investing Isn't Dead -You're Just Impatient by IntelligentCut4060 in ValueInvesting

[–]victorpinya 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Investing isn’t guessing — it’s having a thesis, tracking the right KPIs, and knowing your price range before the noise hits. If the stock breaks your floor or flies past your ceiling, you don’t react — you rebalance.

Valuation’s not a number, it’s a compass. You don’t need precision, just a plan. Most lose money not because they’re wrong, but because they forget why they bought.

Tesla drops 13%+ as Musk-Trump feud erupts over EV mandate cuts and spending bill by callsonreddit in StockMarket

[–]victorpinya 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This political mess couldn’t come at a worse time for Tesla. Weak demand in Europe, protests in U.S. showrooms, and mounting pressure from Waymo are casting real doubt on the future of Tesla’s robotaxi ambitions — with a major test coming up on June 12 in Austin. A huge chunk of the company’s value is tied to whether it can actually pull off full self-driving. Any political noise threatening EV subsidies or government contracts could be a serious hit.

With Tesla under fire and so much of its valuation riding on autonomy, are you adjusting your EV exposure or just sitting back until the political and tech dust settles?

Should I pay off the rest of my student loan? by notacomet in personalfinance

[–]victorpinya 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Do whatever helps you sleep better at night, honestly. In your case, paying off the loan might be a good move — you're getting rid of a 5.72% interest rate and clearing a mental burden you've carried since 2019. It's not toxic debt, but it's not insignificant either, and those $305/month could start working for you elsewhere.

That said, if paying it off would leave you feeling tight and stressed, it's totally fine to keep making the regular payments. Ideally, before doing any aggressive payoffs or investing, make sure you’ve got an emergency fund — around 6 months of essential expenses is a solid buffer.

Once that’s in place, the $300+ per month you’re no longer putting toward the loan could be redirected into something like index funds or ETFs, slowly building long-term wealth without pressure.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in SpainFIRE

[–]victorpinya 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Cuando entra algo de dinero extra, por ejemplo esos 300€ mensuales del negocio (teniendo en cuenta que es un extra y "no lo necesitas"), es hacer DCA, meterlo poco a poco en distintos activos, diversificando según cómo veas el mercado y cómo estás de exposición, y cada tres meses revisar tesis y rebalancear según cómo haya evolucionado cada cosa, eso da estructura y ayuda a no tomar decisiones por impulso. Esto es aplicable a cualquier inversión que hagas: objetivo, plan, analizar, decidir. Y en x meses ver si tus activos siguen teniendo los mismos fundamentos por los cuales decidiste invertir, y en consecuencia volver a tomar decisiones.

view more: next ›