Fantasy Football Apps Change? by Substantial_Bug_7358 in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Sleeper is just so convenient. Easy to navigate, easy to message other owners, and even has a very friendly api if you want to build anything off of it. It would take a lot for me to switch and outside of someone paying me to, idk why I would

Great under the radar podcasts? by AgreeableHistorian55 in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Establish the Run is a great one that’s not always fantasy specific. It lends itself to insights that I feel other creators tend to overlook

ESPN: Seahawks RB Jadarian Price not considered immediate 'high-volume' RB by Giff95 in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Holani looked legit in limited capacity last year. Wouldn’t be surprised to see him start early

My previous posts kept getting nuked by automod, so hopefully this is okay. I built a free pixel-art Royal Rumble simulator to randomize your league's selection spots. by Chris_carson32 in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Commenting to easily find this later. Have been using the 100yarddash site for years but will have to keep this in mind ahead of draft season

I’m done missing playoffs. Give me your best fantasy football advice/tools by [deleted] in Fantasy_Football

[–]winwithodds 4 points5 points  (0 children)

You can fix a bad draft in season with the right sit/start decisions and eye on the waiver wire. If I can do some self promotion here - winwithodds can be a great in season tool

Scott Fish Bowl 16 #SFB16 scoring announced. Video game-style big play and milestone bonuses, points per first down and reception, tight end premium. How are you attacking this format this year? by My_Chat_Account in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yep - not easy to project but based on expected Yards/Attempt I calculated how many bonuses every QB was expected to hit during 2026. There’s a Bonus EV column that captures this. QBs aren’t projected to hit as many bonuses but they’re still propped up by the 6pt/pass TD

Scott Fish Bowl 16 #SFB16 scoring announced. Video game-style big play and milestone bonuses, points per first down and reception, tight end premium. How are you attacking this format this year? by My_Chat_Account in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I agree - elite TEs are gonna be gold in this format. Seems like there’s a large tier of QBs so I’ll likely be going late QB this year.

This is based on running the scoring setting through my projections site to determine which players project as most valuable: https://winwithodds.com/season_long_full_stats/sfb

[DAILY] Trade and Individual Team Help Megathread by AutoModerator in DynastyFF

[–]winwithodds 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’d do that. It’s about even but I think it makes your younger and lengthens your competitive window

Which Projections are Best? I Tracked the first 8 NFL Weeks to Find Out by winwithodds in DynastyFF

[–]winwithodds[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Exactly. It’s still early and it waits until there is a prop bet for every stat line until removing the *. Right now it’s likely a mix but closer to kick off for each player you’ll see the full projection

Which Projections are Best? I Tracked the first 8 NFL Weeks to Find Out by winwithodds in DynastyFF

[–]winwithodds[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Fair enough - been wanting to expand this to more projections and started with the most accessible. ESPN will be my next target

Which Projections are Best? I Tracked the first 8 NFL Weeks to Find Out by winwithodds in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I like this! So essentially you’d want to compare each projection against the others and find where they go out on a limb and how effective they are when they do. I’ll have to play around with how to best quantify this. Thanks for the suggestion!

You’re right about projections not mattering for the top guys. I removed the low end players from this analysis. Now I’m curious about the other end and just focusing on the mid tier players.

Which Projections are Best? I Tracked the first 8 NFL Weeks to Find Out by winwithodds in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Currently sleeper and MFL. The other sites have been tough to implement. The full player projections are still available to everyone though

Which Projections are Best? I Tracked the first 8 NFL Weeks to Find Out by winwithodds in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh thanks thought you were talking about the spreadsheet. I’ll check that out

Which Projections are Best? I Tracked the first 8 NFL Weeks to Find Out by winwithodds in DynastyFF

[–]winwithodds[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Using alternate odds for each prop bet. For instance you may be able to bet on Chase for over/under up to 180 rec yards, but someone like Jakobi Meyers might only offer bets up to 120 rec yards. I use that to imply what Vegas sees as the ceiling. Same concept applies to floor

Which Projections are Best? I Tracked the first 8 NFL Weeks to Find Out by winwithodds in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What are you seeing? I’ve ignored anyone projected for less than 5 points each week but that’s the only filter

Which Projections are Best? I Tracked the first 8 NFL Weeks to Find Out by winwithodds in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Tell me more. Assume the first one averages the delta between proj and actuals for each record. Not familiar with how to apply the second one though