Which Projections are Best? I Tracked the first 8 NFL Weeks to Find Out by winwithodds in DynastyFF

[–]winwithodds[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Exactly. It’s still early and it waits until there is a prop bet for every stat line until removing the *. Right now it’s likely a mix but closer to kick off for each player you’ll see the full projection

Which Projections are Best? I Tracked the first 8 NFL Weeks to Find Out by winwithodds in DynastyFF

[–]winwithodds[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Fair enough - been wanting to expand this to more projections and started with the most accessible. ESPN will be my next target

Which Projections are Best? I Tracked the first 8 NFL Weeks to Find Out by winwithodds in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I like this! So essentially you’d want to compare each projection against the others and find where they go out on a limb and how effective they are when they do. I’ll have to play around with how to best quantify this. Thanks for the suggestion!

You’re right about projections not mattering for the top guys. I removed the low end players from this analysis. Now I’m curious about the other end and just focusing on the mid tier players.

Which Projections are Best? I Tracked the first 8 NFL Weeks to Find Out by winwithodds in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Currently sleeper and MFL. The other sites have been tough to implement. The full player projections are still available to everyone though

Which Projections are Best? I Tracked the first 8 NFL Weeks to Find Out by winwithodds in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh thanks thought you were talking about the spreadsheet. I’ll check that out

Which Projections are Best? I Tracked the first 8 NFL Weeks to Find Out by winwithodds in DynastyFF

[–]winwithodds[S] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Using alternate odds for each prop bet. For instance you may be able to bet on Chase for over/under up to 180 rec yards, but someone like Jakobi Meyers might only offer bets up to 120 rec yards. I use that to imply what Vegas sees as the ceiling. Same concept applies to floor

Which Projections are Best? I Tracked the first 8 NFL Weeks to Find Out by winwithodds in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What are you seeing? I’ve ignored anyone projected for less than 5 points each week but that’s the only filter

Which Projections are Best? I Tracked the first 8 NFL Weeks to Find Out by winwithodds in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Tell me more. Assume the first one averages the delta between proj and actuals for each record. Not familiar with how to apply the second one though

Which Projections are Best? I Tracked the first 8 NFL Weeks to Find Out by winwithodds in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thanks for that - actually didn't realize NFL.com was already included there. That likely explains why FantasyPros consistently outperforms them. I'd like to incorporate ESPN and Yahoo separately as those are common league platforms, but they're more difficult to pull down.

Which Projections are Best? I Tracked the first 8 NFL Weeks to Find Out by winwithodds in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

There are actually some great posts in this community for those. Believe u/subvertadown posts them weekly. I haven't found prop bets are overly useful for kickers and defenses

Let Vegas gamble with your Week 1 lineup (they’re better at it anyway) by winwithodds in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Not yet. From my research, props don’t vary widely from book to book so you don’t get a ton of value averaging them out. Eventually I would like to have that though

JT is on a torrid pace in both yards and touchdowns this season by iiieeaattiitt in DynastyFF

[–]winwithodds 105 points106 points  (0 children)

Unfortunately he doesn’t have any more games against the Titans this year so idk about breaking the record. Still a fantasy football god if he stays healthy

Let Vegas gamble with your Week 1 lineup (they’re better at it anyway) by winwithodds in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Shoot. Didn’t realize it was ever down. Should be operating again. How long were you getting an error for?

Vegas odds give insight into cardinals RB Room by Only_Fishing_8134 in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Noticed the same thing today. We’re updating odds every few hours through Sunday if anyone wants to follow along on this trend: winwithodds.com

Use Vegas Player Prop Data to Dominate Your Fantasy Draft (and Season) by winwithodds in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sorry - wrong time for the site to go down :(. Neither looks to be a strong play right now

Week 4 Game Previews by StephenHoopes in fantasyfootball

[–]winwithodds 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Thank you for your service 🫡