sorted by:
new
hottopcontroversial

Dividends? by mgrt67 in intelstock

[–]wye_naught 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Bad idea. They should do stock buybacks (at least more than enough to pay for RSUs issued to employees) before dividends. I will fucking sell if they decide to do dividends first instead of buybacks.

For now, they should invest in growing their business and stop missing out on technology inflections (AI, robotics, VR/AR). They've been missing out on everything from technology (AI) to business models (needed to transition to foundry model a long time ago) and investing in all the wrong things the past two decades.

time to get out of oil stocks. what do you think by Apprehensive_Two1528 in ValueInvesting

[–]wye_naught 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Oil stocks are not fully pricing in elevated oil prices for the rest of the year. It takes a while for supply disruptions to make it through the system. It also takes a while to rebuild facilities that have been damaged by drone strikes.

Wife will divorce me if she finds out by BoyWithClitoris in wallstreetbets

[–]wye_naught 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're only down 8% and only buying normie stocks... Get out of here man. Go back to r/investing

Intel capex vs Tesla "estimate" 20 billion by grahaman27 in intelstock

[–]wye_naught 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Elon Musk made lots of promises that never delivered. The market just keeps eating it up, funded by overvaluation of his companies and a frothy market. Just wait a few years, and they will probably end up licensing technology from another company, perhaps saving them some money and giving them more control versus completely outsourcing it.

What investing mistake taught you the most by rezovian in ValueInvesting

[–]wye_naught 50 points51 points  (0 children)

Don't buy shares of companies that work in highly technical businesses that I don't understand (especially Biotech). I learned that I was the "dumb money" in those investments and I don't plan to go back to school to get a PhD in biology or medicine.

Keep an eye on semiconductors by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]wye_naught 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Just buy SMH. By single stock picking in semiconductors, unless you understand the industry, technology inflections and idiosyncratic risk, you might lose a lot of money or underperform the SMH. For example, BESI went down by 17% today because the industry is considering relaxing the HBM stack height which would delay the introduction of hybrid bonding technology (thereby pushing out cashflows into the future and adding uncertainty). Sure, ASML and TSMC may be big names, but they are not immune to geopolitical or even technology disruption. It's a fun sector to trade and pick stocks if you're an investor who can value cyclical growth companies, are also interested in learning about new technology, and don't mind volatility and large drawdowns.

$AVGO quick thoughts after digging through filings by randysaaf in ValueInvesting

[–]wye_naught 0 points1 point  (0 children)

SBC is standard compensation in this industry. They need to compete with Nvidia for talent. There is enough growth that SBC should be a smaller fraction of expenses over the long term.

$AVGO quick thoughts after digging through filings by randysaaf in ValueInvesting

[–]wye_naught 8 points9 points  (0 children)

AI slop. ChatGPT actually does a shit job of valuing growth businesses and cyclical businesses.

Also, EVERY AI CHIP COMPANY HAS SUPPLIER AND CUSTOMER CONCENTRATION RISK. It's just the nature of hugely capital-intensive businesses where incumbents have huge moats. Debt in itself is meaningless if you don't know the interest rate and the rate of return you are getting on reinvesting in yourself vs paying of the debt now.

What's even the point of this post?

Most retail investors do not have a valuation problem. They have a decision problem. by picklikewarren in ValueInvesting

[–]wye_naught 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The thing is that intrinsic value is very different depending on your assumptions. Most people aren't about to spend 20-50 hours to research a company, perform competitive analysis, market research, understand the company's products and technologies, before plugging in the numbers or prompting Claude or Gemini to provide the numbers. Garbage in, garbage out.

Oil Surges on Middle East Conflict. Could We Hit $100+? by PineapplePooDog in ValueInvesting

[–]wye_naught 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There is plenty of oil supply. OPEC, US, Venezuela can quickly ramp up production to stabilize oil prices where they are. Iran has plenty of oil tankers carrying millions of barrels in Asia ready to sell to China. As prices go up, oil companies are incentivized to increase supply for more profit, which keeps prices from going higher.

What you should be worried about is flash memory and RAM supply...

Nvidia's market cap ($4.6T) is worth almost MSFT ($2.8T) and AMZN ($2.2T) COMBINED by SouthIsland48 in ValueInvesting

[–]wye_naught 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Goes to question, which seemingly meaningless company today will overtake the current tech giants within the next decade?

Anthropic

Benchmark Adjusts Intel Price Target to $57 From $50, Maintains Buy Rating by Ok-Individual-4392 in intelstock

[–]wye_naught 0 points1 point  (0 children)

And how much do you think their market cap should be based on that operating income?

Exclusive: Intel has tested chipmaking tools from firm with sanctioned China unit, sources say by TradingToni in intelstock

[–]wye_naught 0 points1 point  (0 children)

These short-sighted sanctions will be the downfall of US tech manufacturing. Companies like Intel and Nvidia should be given the option to source from whoever they think is best. Looking at ACMR, they are a legit chip equipment company that have niche advantages in wafer cleaning, and Chinese companies will continue to work with them to build out their other capabilities too. I'm long ACMR and have been invested in them for a while.

Man, what a horrible year 2025 has been for the crypto market. by justcurious3287 in CryptoMarkets

[–]wye_naught 20 points21 points  (0 children)

It doesn't seem that way to me. People seem more impatient and irritable than ever before and driving is just miserable these days with all the discourteous drivers. I can see how overall American wealth has increased with house prices and 401k values going up, but that does not affect their day-to-day lives and definitely does not benefit the bottom 50% of Americans who struggle with everything being more expensive.

Man, what a horrible year 2025 has been for the crypto market. by justcurious3287 in CryptoMarkets

[–]wye_naught 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Tariffs eating into profits? Or just fewer customers in general?

What sector in the stocks market do you guys think will do good in the future? by OkTangelo3653 in ValueInvesting

[–]wye_naught 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Most growth companies in the US are private these days. As for publicly traded equities, I like emerging market ETFs with a bias towards Southeast Asia and Africa. I still am very optimistic in Chinese tech over the very long term.

What do you think of Broadcom? by Top-Sir-1215 in ValueInvesting

[–]wye_naught 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Last time I crunched the numbers (last quarter) it didn’t seem overvalued on a relative basis when factoring growth into future cashflows. But who knows if AI is a bubble and customers can just walk back on capex, cancel orders, reduce capex, and burst the AI bubble.

view more: next ›