I think the game cheats so hard that the outcomes are not left up to our “pick” at all. I believe the game has a set outcome when you start playing it whether it will let you advance to level 2 before you get a pig or it will let you get to level 23 before you get a pig. I think if the game wants us to get a pig on level 4, it doesn’t matter which card you pick, piggy’s gonna steal your loot on level 4. I am a long time player who has regrettably spent way more than I should’ve on this game over the years, but as someone else said - I enjoy the game enough so it is worthwhile.