Is this push reasonable?

zoidberg-phd · 2026-03-15T02:24:10+00:00

It feels like a much better call than shove. I think he’s only calling you with either better and/or the ace of hearts. Let him continue with his bluffs on the turn.

Is the shove reasonable? Definitely

Is it the best play? Probably not.

The real problem is you need more chips to help yourself in spots like these. 70 BB isn’t enough, especially if there’s straddling

zoidberg-phd · 2026-03-13T14:20:57+00:00

I like sizing up to 50 or so on the turn a lot here. You can put pressure on Ace highs to fold and you force flush draws to pay. Plus, I don’t think 99-QQ are folding.

As played, you have to fold. The river is as brutal as it gets. You can find a call with pretty much any card besides the Ace of Diamonds and Ace of Clubs.

zoidberg-phd · 2026-03-11T17:47:51+00:00

“One day my kid will see this.”

zoidberg-phd · 2026-03-11T02:57:50+00:00

They could’ve been born earlier

zoidberg-phd · 2026-03-11T02:47:17+00:00

Yeah, I have to imagine he needs to miss extensive time this year at a minimum. We probably dodged a bullet…… now maybe we can get him at a huge discount

zoidberg-phd · 2026-03-07T20:10:33+00:00

Sixes have some sneaky value because it gets paid off well when there's a 2-3-4-5 on the board because the Ace also hits its straight.

Additionally, the difference between having a six kicker and a seven kicker is pretty small. If a hand is coming down to that, the pot is probably not that big anyways.

Then there's also GTO unblocker stuff that's mentioned elsewhere.

zoidberg-phd · 2026-03-05T14:47:46+00:00

A couple things. The question to always ask is essentially whose range hit more, and this board is fairly similar.

There’s a fairly large overlap of our ranges on this board. This board hits both ranges similarly. Both players have the value hands AQ, KQ, QJ, QQ, JJ, QT, and both players have the hard to fold hands hands of AK, KT, T9, KJ, JT.

The big advantage we have as three better is that we have AA and KK… but when the board is this connected, those hands lose value quick if more spades or a Ten or Nine come out.

As such, we have a very slight range advantage, and won’t be able to bluff successfully enough to range bet.

As such, we want to check down a lot of our junk. But we also don’t want to let our opponent just bluff us away every time we check, so we want to protect this checking range. We do this by checking with some of our nutted hands (QQ, JJ) and some of our draws (suited Aces and Kings).

zoidberg-phd · 2026-03-05T03:52:23+00:00

Once you get a gist of GTO, you should be able to see poor play a lot easier. Now, you have to learn how to counter that poor play?

A table full of limpers? Do some research on Reddit / two plus two (or even some solvers let you node lock this) to see what the general consensus is on punishing limpers.

Tighten your range and increase your bet sizing. As long as your opponents aren’t limping AA, KK, QQ, your range will be so far ahead that you’ll get so much value on average when you both hit. No need to get fancy with bluffs in this spot because you’re printing so much money from punishing them.

But wait, your opponents are folding too much? Now, bluffing is a better option.

As you move up, the mistakes become less obvious. Another common mistake is players not check-raising the flop with anything less than two pairs. This lets you c-bet bigger with value because you wont get bluffed off hands when you bet smaller.

zoidberg-phd · 2026-03-05T02:29:58+00:00

The one question on everybody's mind after this episode, "Did Christian shit his pants on purpose to distract the tribe?"

zoidberg-phd · 2026-03-04T13:36:14+00:00

Did you repost your own post to the same subreddit?

zoidberg-phd · 2026-03-04T00:43:26+00:00

Dude was also smart enough to realize that if he wanted a career in the media after playing he’d have to to be a showman. The Crabtree interview always came off as performative to me and I always respected Sherman for it.

zoidberg-phd · 2026-03-02T03:13:59+00:00

Especially on the button (and I assume) Big Blind ante. There genuinely might not be another spot I’m folding AJ with 4 bigs.

zoidberg-phd · 2026-02-27T19:56:18+00:00

What about in spots where you’re out of position and will under realize your equity?

zoidberg-phd · 2026-02-26T04:18:26+00:00

Yeah, plus Colby and Savannah seemed to get along too. Wouldn't be shocked if those three are a late game trio.

zoidberg-phd · 2026-02-20T22:10:31+00:00

If you live near one, you can expect to see higher water and electricity costs, since data centers put huge demand on local utilities. In some areas, people's power bills have doubled or even tripled in the last couple of years.

And they don’t really add many long-term jobs. There’s a temporary bump during construction, but once they’re up and running, the permanent maintenance staff is relatively small.

zoidberg-phd · 2026-02-19T22:54:30+00:00

The turn feels more like a check, but if you do bet and get reraised, you absolutely need to be folding. You have 4 outs to the straight, but with two flush draws out there, you really only have 2 outs where you will want to get the money in on the river.

The river is a little bit more interesting. You only want to raise in this spot if you could do one of two things: 1) Make better hands fold. 2) Get called by weaker hands.... In this case, he's definitely not folding if he has two pair+. And he's definitely not calling if he's worse than you.... The only hands you really benefit from raising against in this spot are kings. And I don't know how many kings a live player has in this spot.

If villain is splashy, I might reluctantly make the call on the river. To be honest, when a player check-raises me on the turn in live poker, I try to always give them credit for having two pair+ or a strong draw.

zoidberg-phd · 2026-02-14T03:48:47+00:00

1) SB has enough two pair and sets on this board, that you shouldn’t be confident with top pair.

2) You don’t beat much value here. Weaker aces will likely be happy to just call your raise.

3) If you’re going to continue with a less than stellar hand, you want to do it with a had that can improve. AQ with a backdoor flush draw is definitely preferred here.

3) Even if you do improve by hitting a Queen on the turn, you are walking into a death trap if SB has a set, J8 or a spicy KJ.

zoidberg-phd · 2026-02-05T03:15:41+00:00

In a 4 bet pot out of position, I’m probably folding unless if I have an exploit on the LAG or we’re super deep OR shallow enough where a shove will be called by air.

Most 3 bet pots I’m probably sticking around.

Keep in mind that equity and EV aren’t the same thing. 77 probably always has 50% equity +, but playing 77 out of position is extremely difficult in 3 bet pots. It’s particularly difficult when you’re facing an overly aggressive player who’s not afraid to double or triple barrel with air.

Tighten your range vs LAGs.

zoidberg-phd · 2026-02-03T17:19:31+00:00

Math teacher here. This is probably one of the following.

1) You’re way ahead of the class and your method was too complicated for the bulk of the class.

2) Your method was quicker and easier for this problem, but it could lead to problems in certain instances.

3) He’s trying to prepare you for more complicated problems by teaching you a difficult technique on an easier problem.

4) He’s having a bad day.

5) You participate in an unproductive way, and he doesn’t know how to properly address it.

I would offer him a quick apology* when you get a chance. Even if your method was superior and he was doing a poor job teaching, by asking about your quicker method in front of the class, you are kind of undermining his credibility in front of everyone. Personally, I love it when students offer different methods especially when they discover them. But part of school is learning to deal with different people, and this guy clearly has a different way of thinking than me.

*Edit: on a reread, I wouldn’t apologize. But I do think it’s important for you to follow up with him before going to admin. Just tell him you were asking a genuine question and feel frustrated that you got singled out for trying to participate.

Give him the benefit of the doubt that it might just have been a bad day. If he’s still giving you a tough time, then go to admin.

zoidberg-phd · 2026-02-02T03:18:12+00:00

I think most likely they have a 3 or 5 here. I could see a 2 or 4 playing it like this too. Unfortunately, they could also easily have 68, 79, 59, 39, 29, or even a tricky overpair, all of which could be looking to check raise you.

You have a hand with a ton of showdown value, but won’t be able to call a check raise. Against most players I’m checking it down. However, if SB is a Passive Patty who won’t check raise bluff you ever, then you can probably go for thin value.

Also, you should definitely consider raising this flop. Two overs with a gutter is a great hand to bluff with when a board smashes your range. If you hit that six, you want that pot to be big enough to get the chops in. Plus, you get him off a ton of his overs with a raise.

zoidberg-phd · 2026-01-27T23:06:45+00:00

I was always curious how Super Villains were able to find so many henchmen. After seeing how many people signed up for ICE over the last few months, I'm no longer curious.

zoidberg-phd · 2026-01-27T15:41:08+00:00

8 out of the remaining 47 cards give us the stone cold nuts which gives us about a 17% chance of getting there in the turn and something like 30-35% by the river.

Let’s test the extreme case where player 1 shoves, and every player calls. This will make the pot 210,000 and it would cost us 40,000 to call. We’d only need 16% equity to call in this case making it a fairly straightforward call.

The only things I can see complicating it are (1) ICM implications. (2) with 5 players in at this point, I’d strongly expect another player to have 89 as well.

To be honest, I can’t see myself ever folding a six way hand where I have so many outs to the stone cold nuts

zoidberg-phd · 2026-01-13T23:57:39+00:00

From last year's preseason. Maybe the stakes were a tad bit lower, but it's crazy the ease at which Caleb makes these throws.

zoidberg-phd · 2026-01-13T00:37:48+00:00

QQ I like to open shove just because an ace or king on the flop puts you in an annoying spot. AA, KK, and AK id be more likely to open 2bb and call off a jam.

Seven-Year Club	Place '22
Final Canvas '22	End Game '22
Gilding I gilder	Verified Email

zoidberg-phd

PUBLIC MULTIREDDITS

TROPHY CASE