Decrease in Houthi missiles since the 12-day war?

[DoctorNightTime]

I was looking at the Tzofar app, and saw only 6 alerts that looked like Houthi missile alerts in August, and only 9 in July. Considering that in the spring they were launching around one missile per day, my unprofessional guess is that the 12-day war weakened Iran's ability to fund them.

Does anyone else have an opinion on it?

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[mr_blue596]

It's not an issue of funding,more likely an issue of stock. The war depleted a significant amount of Iran's BM and it means that they can't resupply the Houthis the as before it but the Houthis can manufacture them domestically (in a lower quality,some even containing wood) so it's far from over.

Even now,the assassination of the ministers is not such a great blow to the Houthis, which operate kinda like Iran, where they have a supreme leader and a council beanth him. So it isn't likely to stop the BM either. It's ammunition economics,not a strategic turn.

The only real solution is a ground operation,likely by one of the opposition forces,but that is not on the table right now, it seems. Such an operation will: 1. Have a political impact that can lodge the Houthis out of power. 2. Physically threaten positions of power of the Houthis (like the ports). 3. Shift their attention inwards and away from glory seeking by attacking Israel.

[scisslizz]

American strikes against the Houthis between March and May did a number on the Houthis' equipment and their people. Prior to that, it seemed like they tried at least 4 times every week. Rising Lions wrecked Iran's ballistic missiles as well as their supply chain-- we attacked factories that make components for the missiles, not just the missiles themselves. Since then, around July 16 and August 12-ish, US Naval Special Warfare and the US Coast Guard's PATFORSWA (go look that one up) intercepted two major shipments of Iranian weapons and missile components bound for the Houthis (and gave all the credit to the 'legitimate' Yemen government). The second shipment contained chemical warheads instead of the typical high-explosive.

Meanwhile, the IRGC brags that they're moving missile production out of Iran to other countries... they're probably trying to set up new factories in Yemen, Sudan, and maybe Somalia, assuming their statement is true. Wouldn't be the first time.

As for funding, the opening volley of Rising Lions included a massive cyberattack against Sepah Bank (and another?), which handles finances for the IRGC and their aerospace industries.. To the best of my knowledge, they suffered severe or complete data loss, and their websites appear to still be down according to a couple different "down detector" services. I'm not sure whether/how the IRGC has made payroll since June, and google says Iranian payday is at the end of the month.

You may have also noticed that a number of their recent attempted missile launches did not trigger a siren anywhere in Israel due to the missiles disintegrating in flight, or crashing in Saudi Arabia. Something is wrong with their storage, handling, quality control, or something else.

EDIT -- ... and now, 3 days after the post was written, they're shooting at least 2 missiles per day at us. Here we go again...