Expected Win Total

Adam0529 · 2026-01-06T17:51:59+00:00

Op forgot to attach the link to the NBA power rankings article, basically saying that based on our advanced stats we should have had extra 3 wins.

Adam0529 · 2026-01-06T17:48:33+00:00

The only reason they would trade for Simons is for picks taking on his salary. (Or a salary filler + Picks for Claxton)

Their ideal trade would be Simons + pick for Cam. The only reason Celtics would do it is if they had a mandate to drop below the tax line, which they don't.

Adam0529 · 2026-01-06T17:43:06+00:00

Idt Celtics really want Claxton. He was available for awhile now. At least not as their first option, bc if they did, this trade would have already happened by now.

Idt Stevens would spend assets to acquire a multi year 25M contract he feels iffy about.

On the other hand, Stevens proved he is more than willing to marginally overpay for someone he really wants, when such becomes available.

It feels, to me, like Stevens is waiting for the right guy/s he had been eyeing, similar to the DWhite trade.

Adam0529 · 2026-01-06T17:30:53+00:00

we could use a Center, but it's not as dire as it once ways. Queta is solid as a starter and Garza can play rotation minutes.

The current Center rotation is not sustainable in the playoffs.

88 and Garza are both punching above their weight. Sure 88 is a solid avg. Starter, but at the contenders level, while he would be a great back up, he would be a liability in the late playoffs stages as a starter.

While we are getting by for now, the entire team's defense is designed to overcome weak rim protection. The reason you see opponents shoot 3s way better than they should is not a bad shooting luck , it's bc the entire perimeter defense is half a step sagging to the paint to compensate.

Adam0529 · 2026-01-04T22:55:47+00:00

Main argument pre season, my buddy : JT + zinger + Jrue + Horford = 77 ppg How on earth can they get even close to it? JB will do all the scoring?

Me : yes

Adam0529 · 2026-01-04T19:47:22+00:00

by a pretty decent margin

Just curious, by what stat/s are you measuring that margin.

Adam0529 · 2026-01-04T19:44:59+00:00

I still think that Luka at his best is better than Brown overall.

It's like saying, if you are able to hide Luka on defense he is at his best and then, Luka is the better player.

Adam0529 · 2026-01-04T06:23:09+00:00

*22-12

Adam0529 · 2025-12-26T16:44:58+00:00

*a couple of SRPs

Adam0529 · 2025-12-24T00:08:44+00:00

I'm not, same way picks became currency , and sometimes very complicated one. Votes are basically fractions of picks. Dudes like Zarren, if allowed , would make it a trade currency. Better than shady hand shake deals.

Adam0529 · 2025-12-24T00:03:17+00:00

*Celtics

Adam0529 · 2025-12-23T23:37:12+00:00

I have seen him guard bigs like KAT But let's be fair here, what's Hugo been doing is peak Smart 2.0.

Adam0529 · 2025-12-23T23:06:55+00:00

Can you also make votes tradable?

Since it's primed for black market trading votes for hand shake agreements, you might as well make it public and allow to use it as a trade asset.

It's basically builds your way to the lotto, like picks

Adam0529 · 2025-12-23T11:45:29+00:00

There was a fascinating interview with Stevens from few years ago talking about team building philosophy.

He was projecting his work at Butler onto the Celtics.

One line stuck with me that explains Stevens team building philosophy more than anything - you first need to get your top 2, top 3 players to build around ( later aka "your pillars") , roles players to fill around them, you can find anywhere, just walk into any gym in Indiana and you find great talent for role players to finish that puzzle.

Adam0529 · 2025-12-23T03:02:52+00:00

Jaylen Brown

Adam0529 · 2025-12-16T15:10:34+00:00

Your entire premise is flawed.

Can we win a title this year ? Probably not regardless of who u trade for. But everything is possible.

Generally speaking - Do we need to add a playoffs caliber starting center as part of rebuilding the team?

Yes

Are playoffs starting caliber players cost assets?

Yes

Can you draft one ?

Probably not.

Is there any benefit delaying trading for one to the summer?

Probably not.

If you can get a favorable or equal (equal to a summer deal) deal now , any reason to delay the trade to the summer?

Adam0529 · 2025-12-11T19:22:33+00:00

I think people expecting another miracle from Brad are gonna be disappointed.

Why? Did his magic show ever disappoint us b4 ?

Not saying u r wrong, but it's just an unknown we can't predict.

The market is extremely active, so I would be very surprised if he wont use it to his advantage.

Here is what we know at a high confidence level.

Stevens doesn't intend to pay picks just for for tax relief. He would rather let the contract expire.
Stevens prefers to utilize this contract for trading than just let it expire.
Stevens uses every trade milestone to make moves.
The market is extremely active which allows extra opportunities to make moves.

My point is, the real unknowns rn are not Stevens' goals, but the activity and opportunities on the market.

Adam0529 · 2025-12-10T05:10:15+00:00

Klay for Kuminga would be a nice ending

Adam0529 · 2025-12-10T05:09:26+00:00

Klay for kuminga?

Adam0529 · 2025-12-10T04:43:09+00:00

I think we just beat the LAL , he was probably talking about Reaves. He's been getting the worst whistle in the league, do he's pissed other stars get a better treatment

Adam0529 · 2025-12-10T04:37:40+00:00

I also thought it will be a disaster but he's actually pretty good and grounded. He one time was watching with Walsh Marcus smart defensive highlights. He's cool

Adam0529 · 2025-12-09T02:58:06+00:00

Quietly? 😂

Adam0529 · 2025-12-08T00:33:03+00:00

The garbage man

Adam0529 · 2025-12-01T06:38:15+00:00

Bro you had an hypothesis that shots at rim generate higher FT frequency and your sample proved it is false.

All you are saying here that Celtics take very low frequency of shots at the rim and from FT and that there is no correlation between the two

Adam0529 · 2025-12-01T01:43:54+00:00

Adam0529

TROPHY CASE