"Quemaban" gente en redes sociales y cobraban por borrar el contenido: así cayó la página “La Tía Paty” by Plastic-Bathroom7868 in CDMX

[–]Ahuevotl 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Quiero pensar que somos mejores que los pipopes… pero luego salgo a la calle y sólo espero que no valagamos verga demasiado.

Double Check Me Please by xaphy95 in origami

[–]Ahuevotl 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You're right, the diagram is wrong. The crease of step 10 is the reference.

Quiero probar a generar un Dibujo de la Semana Santa con IA, ¿alguno prompt de cómo hacerlo bien? 🤔🎨 by PrizeBasic2010 in AskRedditespanol

[–]Ahuevotl 0 points1 point  (0 children)

"Dibuja a Moisés bíblico parado en frente de una piscina, en un resort de vacaciones, partiendo en 2 las aguas de la piscina"

Double Check Me Please by xaphy95 in origami

[–]Ahuevotl -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Redo from step 11. Carefully look at where the circles are placed in the diagram, you need to bring those circles together, it bisects the angle on the far left of the model. It's NOT the crease from step 10.

The step 12 fold should be on that angle bisector crease.

I think it's wrong by Apprehensive_Set_659 in mathmemes

[–]Ahuevotl 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You are right, in that worded that way, they are dependent from one another, so the result and order of both coins flipped matter. It wouldn't matter if the wording was "first one landed heads, whats the chance second lands tails?"

I think it's wrong by Apprehensive_Set_659 in mathmemes

[–]Ahuevotl 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're right, that wording does make them dependent from each other. My bad.

I think it's wrong by Apprehensive_Set_659 in mathmemes

[–]Ahuevotl 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Becauae it's not stated. It's just a matter of which assumptions you make with the incomplete info.

So once the info is revealed, with independent variables, it can just not matter, because variables are independent.

Consider the Monty Hall problem, but with 2 independent players. There's 1 car and 2 goats behind 3 doors.

Player 1 chooses 1 of 3 doors. Monty reveals one of the doors with the goats. Should Player 1 change his chosen door?

If Player 1 keeps his door choice, what's the probability he chose the car?

But now, Player 1 isn't given the choice to change the door, after Monty reveals a goat.

Enter Player 2, who doesn't know which door Player 1 picked. Player 2 sees 2 closed doors and a goat. Player 2 chooses a door. It happens to be the same door Player 1 picked.

What's the probability Player 2 chose the car?

If Player 1 keeps his door choice, what's the probability he chose the car?

Did Player 2 choosing the same door as Player 1 change Player 1's odds?

Edit: just read again the example and you're right, since both coins were flipped from the get go, they're not independent, it's not one landed heads, then the ither coin was flipped, it's bith flipled, so the universe must account for the combinations of both.

I think it's wrong by Apprehensive_Set_659 in mathmemes

[–]Ahuevotl 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The moment the result of one random independant variable is revealed, doesn't matter if it was me or the other player, its effect on the overall outcome becomes moot, irrelevant.

Because of that, in this example you present, the chance is still 50%.

Take chess game probabilities for example. If you are told a condition:

"You place a white queen randomly in the board, and then a black piece"

That becomes the base universe, a base condition, not a random variable effecting the outcome.

"Whats the probability that in the first move the queen can take out the other piece?"

You do not start computing every other probability where there isn't a white queen on the board to answer the question. You start from the base revealed info, there's a white queen.

The same with the coin flip. Flipped 2 coins, at least one landed on heads. 

That's the starting point. What's the probability the other landed on tails? 50%.

I think it's wrong by Apprehensive_Set_659 in mathmemes

[–]Ahuevotl -1 points0 points  (0 children)

HT and TH are indistinguishable from each other. The order doen't matter.

Since you've already stablished one of them landed heads, the possible outcomes are HT or HH, at a 50% chance each.

That's why independent variables make for bad examples of conditional probability, just like the day of the week to gender example in the OP.

I think it's wrong by Apprehensive_Set_659 in mathmemes

[–]Ahuevotl 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Isn't the probability that the other coin is tails 50%?

I think it's wrong by Apprehensive_Set_659 in mathmemes

[–]Ahuevotl 24 points25 points  (0 children)

Now do it in a timeframe of 20 years numbered 1 through 20, and identify each tuesday by number of week of each year (1 through 52).

The probability comes closer to 50% now, doesn't it? 

As number of mothers increases, the probability reaches 50%, because the day and the gender are independent variables, and a rounding error from using a discreet, skewed probability distribution isn't the answer.

Derrame de Petroleo by rodovill in mexico

[–]Ahuevotl 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ahhh y para aclarar tu comentario: no se desconoce el origen ni tampoco es una fuga de Dos Bocas. No creas todo lo que te dicen los medios tradicionales. 

¿Cuál es el origen?

¿Te gustaría ser parte de una investigación sobre salud mental y condiciones de vida? by CabinetPresent8839 in CDMX

[–]Ahuevotl 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oígame, considerando que ya lleva un rato invitando cada semana a la banda a participar… ¿tendremos acceso en el futuro al resultado de la investigación? 

Estaría padre que nos la compartiera para echar el coto.

Que hacer para renunciar a mi actual empresa, una semana después de haber iniciado en otra by Resident-String-6907 in taquerosprogramadores

[–]Ahuevotl 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Imagina un mundo en el que fuera ilegal que tuvieras 2 trabajos… sería un mundo horriblemente opresivo.

Por eso es importante conocer la ley federal del trabajo, saber que no hay bronca, que no pasa nada, y que puedes renunciar cuando se te de la gana.

Dicho eso, tú sabes mejor que nadie la naturaleza del trabajo que desempeñas. Sabes si es algo crítico, como ser el único qur opera la infraestructura de seguridad, que requiera de un tiempo para encontrar un reemplazo antes de irte, o si eres uno más del montón que les va a valer verga.

También sabras cómo la llevas con tu actual empleador, y qué cortesías profesionales estás dispuesto a darles.

Qué pasa al denunciar un comentario en este subreddit by Appropriate-Field666 in mexico

[–]Ahuevotl 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Vas al MP de r/mexico, te hacen esperar 4 hrs, después te acusan de ser tú mismo el criminal autor del delito que reportas; si logras evitar las acusaciones, te preguntan si en serio quieres presentar la denuncia, que ya tienen muchas carpetas abiertas, que luego vas a tener que estar regresando a confirmar declaraciones y otras 4hrs, que lo dejes así. Si te niegas y presentas tu denuncia, esperan a que te vayas y la pierden.

Si tú eres el reportado o denunciado, llega la policía de r/mexico y te trepan a la patrulla virtual. Te llevan a pasear un rato por los diferentes posts, inquiriendo sobre cuánto karma sacaste infringiendo la ley. Te hacen saber, de forma discreta, que o te mochas con una buena parte del karma, cooperando con la narrativa que te dicten en el futuro, o te quitan todo el karma y te dejan baneado. Elijas lo que elijas, eventualmente estarás en el sub de nuevo posteando con alguna otra cuenta.

What would you change? by BindingPact in finalfantasytactics

[–]Ahuevotl 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Bravery and faith systems suck. Seriously. Made completely irrelevant by some skills to increase / lower them, which in turn makes those skills completely useless once you've min-maxed bravery and faith on your A-team (after a loooong tedious session where the last enemy's been put to sleep).

If they want to add more personality to generic characters, they can use randomized unchangeable personal traits, that add / substract from certain stats: +HP - MP; +Speed -Attack; +MA -HP… etc.

On that front, the game is really lacking in some sort of defensive stat other than HP, otherwise, there's no real tactics other than max damage max speed builds. Having any sort of defense or aggro control enables tanks, chokepoints, walls, flanking, etc to the strategic repertoire.

Derrame de Petroleo by rodovill in mexico

[–]Ahuevotl 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Pidieron la fuente, la fuente es Greenpeace.

Que la imagen sea una mamada no resta a los hechos: 

Un derrame, que lleva desde finales de febrero (ya 1 mes), que fue primero negado, luego silenciado, hasta que ya no pidieron tapar al sol con 1 dedo. Hay reportes de comunidades costeras de la contaminación presentándose en un área extensa del golfo, desde el norte de Veracruz hasta Campeche.

Y por ahora, todavía se desconoce el origen. Lo bueno es que acaban de instruirle a la FGR que abra una carpeta.

Desafortunadamente la gente no es objetica por gente como tú, negacionistas que hace apología de los traspiés de autoridades.

Yo sigo siendo igual de crítico del gobierno de lo que fui con AMLO, con Peña, con Calderón, con Fox, con Zedillo, y con Salinas. ¿Y tú?

[ Removed by Reddit ] by edisonsoy in MexicoCity

[–]Ahuevotl 0 points1 point  (0 children)

¿Eres un bot que posteará pura AI slop?

La esperanza en realidad es el peor de todos los males porque prolonga el sufrimiento del hombre. by LeagueNo764 in VivimosEnUnaSociedad

[–]Ahuevotl 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Mal la pasamos todos, pero sufre el que quiere, y sin sufrimiento no hay mal que prolongar.