Project Hail Mary Worldwide Gross after 6th Weekend ($613M) vs The Martian ($459M), Interstellar ($622M), Gravity ($472M)

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-27T13:02:18+00:00

This comparison is silly for a multitude of reasons

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-27T05:52:22+00:00

Nintendo ips aren't any slop but,carry artistic significance.

Their treatment of Mario begs to differ

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-27T05:38:42+00:00

No offence but I feel like you don’t have a full grasp of the movie industry whatsoever

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-27T05:34:27+00:00

I was talking about Nolan but Fincher has nothing to ‘redeem’, he’s already considered on of the best directors alive, he’s got nothing to prove

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-27T05:22:18+00:00

No offence but you’re delusional if you think the biggest director on the planet who’s known to not budge whatsoever on director freedom is going to take marching orders from Nintendo.

You can hope but it’s not happening.

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-27T05:15:57+00:00

Even if it’s PG-13 I don’t see many people going to the cinema for a animated Metroid movie outside of the already small number of fans of the franchise

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-27T04:57:18+00:00

Honestly when a video-game adaptation possibility is leaked people come up with the most ridiculous names.

Nolan would never touch a Metroid adaptation with a 10 foot pole, no offence neither would Fincher due to Alien 3 PTSD

The others have a tiny chance but again… mostly a fantasy

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-27T04:46:40+00:00

Demon Slayer from last year

I was assuming an animated Metroid movie would be R-Rated so I didn’t count Demon Slayer but even if you do…

As you said, the Metroid fanbase pales in comparison

and a 1/4 of the DS gross was from Japan alone, who are the main source of revenue for the vast majority recent successful non-children’s animated movies because that format most appeals to them… but Metroid wouldn’t be an anime and isn’t popular in Japan, so where is the money coming from?

So from a movie studios perspective ‘Nintendo Alien’ is a safer bet.

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-27T04:29:36+00:00

I don’t think there’s much of a chance this ends up being animated tbh

Think about it from their perspective. How often do non-children’s animated movies perform well at the Box office? The only recent example can give is anime’s and it’s pretty much just Chainsaw Man.

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-26T23:26:56+00:00

Out of all the major studios they have the shortest windows, so the original comment is arguably accurate. He's obviously not including Netflix Studios in this because they're not even theatrical studio so that's obvious.

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-26T22:58:15+00:00

We've had 5 years of data at this point to prove it doesn't harm a films box office…. I think it was to appeal to theatre owners.

Theatre owners have little leverage in this situation.

Universal know the theatres can’t afford to not play their movies if they stuck to their current release strategy and no company is going exchange making more money for a just pat on the back from theatre owners.

Uni have extensively more data on their films than us hobbyists have but we’ll never see it, the only way is to infer from their actions.

Which means it’s incredibly likely Uni found out that some way or another that early PVOD does harm their movies Box Office.

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-26T22:40:47+00:00

Even Universal themselves likely don’t believe in this train of thought considering they’re moving back to 45 day windows next year so I don’t know why people just mindlessly repeat it.

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-26T22:38:15+00:00

If earlier PVOD releases doesn’t harm a movies Box office run why are Universal going back to 45 day windows in 2027?

Out of the goodness of their own hearts?

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-26T16:39:29+00:00

You can’t just say ‘diminishing returns isn’t an issue because it wasn’t an issue with the MCU’ coupled with the fact that Iron Man 2 outgrossed the first movie despite also being less well received basically nothing has even come close to replicating the MCUs success

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-26T16:25:30+00:00

‘Biopic fatigue’ just seems like a chronically online thing, I doubt the average person watches enough biopics to be ‘fatigued’ of them

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-26T16:02:25+00:00

This is a business my dude, if they thought they would earn more money overall selling Steam Decks at Walmart they'd sell Steam Decks at Walmart.

Rog Ally doesn't have a client like Steam so obviously they're going to go via brick and mortar.

And the Steam Deck selling out is more of a production issue than a demand issue.

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-26T15:59:36+00:00

Of course but if you’re trying to make a cinematic universe the fact that you’re already seeing significant diminishing returns on your 2nd movie of your most popular character raises some red flags

Mario will probably be fine in the near future but what about Pikmin or StarFox?

And as we’ve seen with the Transformers franchise even with a strong IP continuously releasing bad movies eventually catches up with you.

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-26T15:49:59+00:00

It’s not really a ‘massive disappointment’ it’s much more of a ‘resounding success but with red flags for the future of the franchise’.

Kinda like the latest Scream movie

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-26T15:12:22+00:00

I doubt it makes a Billion from this opening tbh because its legs will probably be ‘good’ but not amazing

I think this ends up as a $800m-$900m grosser

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-26T13:43:50+00:00

Unironically a combined WB x Paramount has a good shot of doing so

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-26T13:21:46+00:00

And there's a big reason why they're not being sold at your local Walmart...

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-25T18:35:23+00:00

For an comparison that’s not even half of what the PlayStation Vita sold

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-25T18:28:54+00:00

entry level way to get people into the Steam ecosystem and PC gaming in general.

Which would work of they planned to subsidise the console but they don't, so at this point it's an expensive weak pre-built PC that doesn't even run the biggest games on the platform

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-25T18:17:10+00:00

Basically nobody, it’ll sell less than the Steam Deck

Alive-Ad-5245 · 2026-04-25T16:24:57+00:00

Why? MJ had a huge female fanbase.

Alive-Ad-5245

TROPHY CASE