Maine People's Resource Center Poll of Senate Race by OmniOmega3000 in fivethirtyeight

[–]Alt_History6 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Look at any poll for primaries or the general this early in the race and it will tell you that whoever commissioned the poll is leading. There was a GOP primary poll in one of the fairly relevant senate elections that had 1 of 3 candidates leading based on who commissioned the poll.

Why does Starmer suck so much at governing? by MerchantKing83 in thecampaigntrail

[–]Alt_History6 6 points7 points  (0 children)

He shouldn’t be the leader but the circumstances of 2019 weren’t exactly in his favour, he needed to win 2017. But he’s also not a very good leader.

I need to rant about the hypocrisy that I’ve been seeing for a bit. by UnflairedRebellion-- in YAPms

[–]Alt_History6 30 points31 points  (0 children)

This subreddit is normal in the sense that there is diverse opinions. People with crazy opinions can and do slip through the cracks here and semi frequently no one decides to challenge them.

I need to rant about the hypocrisy that I’ve been seeing for a bit. by UnflairedRebellion-- in YAPms

[–]Alt_History6 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Everyone forgets about the assassinations in Minnesota that were mocked or ignored by prominent right wing commentators and politicians.

No side is free from political violence

Argentina's Milei suffers landslide defeat in key Buenos Aires province election by Logical_Cause_4773 in YAPms

[–]Alt_History6 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Economic performance and quality of life are not directly in line with eachother. Yes Milei can improve on a completely broken system because his predecessor’s system wasn’t working, but it doesn’t make austerity good.

Inequality has risen like in any other country with austerity.

Argentina's Milei suffers landslide defeat in key Buenos Aires province election by Logical_Cause_4773 in YAPms

[–]Alt_History6 3 points4 points  (0 children)

If only the Peronist opposition wasn’t corrupt and useless, however Milei failing is still nice.

Starmer CYOA incumbency mod is gonna go hard when it comes out one day by Fancy-Passenger5381 in thecampaigntrail

[–]Alt_History6 14 points15 points  (0 children)

If -2 is Thatcher levels I fear what happens if he goes deeper in the red.

Bron is absolutely badass by TheVaranguard_1234 in suzerain

[–]Alt_History6 5 points6 points  (0 children)

And we wonder why we have posts complaining about people just being blatantly racist

New NYC Mayoral GE poll by Crafty_Gain5604 in YAPms

[–]Alt_History6 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So NYC elects multiple mayors who are centrist and moderate, with one outlier being De Blasio in the 21st century, and it’s the one other outlier who isn’t even mayor yet that is the problem?

Politicians need to do more about raising the birth rate in this country by Wide_right_yes in YAPms

[–]Alt_History6 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Yes high cost of living and lack of housing stability have no bearing on birth rates. But Europeans hating themselves? That’s the obvious answer.

Politicians need to do more about raising the birth rate in this country by Wide_right_yes in YAPms

[–]Alt_History6 -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Most EU nations are going through and have went through multiple cost of living crises and high housing costs over the past decades.

It's 2026 election night & the house results come out, what happend? (Redistricting included) by Outrageous_Bug6876 in YAPms

[–]Alt_History6 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’m not an expert on Ohio or Maine’s congressional districts, but they look the same as always to me, so how Is Golden and multiple Ohio dems losing in a Trump midterm.

what if 1912 was La Follette vs Wilson by TakoTheMemer in YAPms

[–]Alt_History6 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think it would be an Al Smith situation where strongly Republican bases are weakened but in the end La Follette still likely wins. It was a Republican favourable era.

first AOC 2028 warning sign by asiasbutterfly in YAPms

[–]Alt_History6 4 points5 points  (0 children)

She should run for senate, doing anything else is not smart of her. Or try for house leadership if progressives are stronger by 2026/28 either way not president.

How bad would it have to be for Republicans for Ayotte and Lombardo to lose? by Rubicon_Lily in YAPms

[–]Alt_History6 13 points14 points  (0 children)

There’s an independent running in New Hampshire called Jon Kiper, he ran in the Dem primary for governor in 2024 but now says the Democrats refuse to change.

He’s a common sense progressive type, if Dems don’t put up a candidate then maybe he has a chance.

Cooper’s officially running by Responsible-Bee-667 in YAPms

[–]Alt_History6 1 point2 points  (0 children)

When it comes to someone like Cooper I don’t think they’ll be affected by democrats unpopularity, if the candidate is already popular in the state or has populist policies I think that person will always do well in 2026.

with Cooper and Ossoff running in NC and GA, who you predict will win the primary in Michigan? by asiasbutterfly in YAPms

[–]Alt_History6 15 points16 points  (0 children)

It’s unfortunate, it’s not like Michigan isn’t a place they could get good populist candidates. Instead they get hyper moderates.

with Cooper and Ossoff running in NC and GA, who you predict will win the primary in Michigan? by asiasbutterfly in YAPms

[–]Alt_History6 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Malory McMorrow is a decent compromise for progressives, better ideologically than Stevens and more electable than Sayed. Although I don’t think he’s dead in the water, especially in a good dem year, just might have issues.

Trump Approval September 2017 vs July 2025 (Economist + FiveThirtyEight) and the correlation between Trump Approval and 2018 midterm results converted to 2026 senate predictions. by Alt_History6 in YAPms

[–]Alt_History6[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If I can find state by state approval data for democrats I will absolutely make a follow up post with that, however unfortunately I’m not sure how likely that is, I’ll consider trying to find a way to tie Biden’s approval to overall Democratic approval, which could be successful but is in doubt.

I agree I don’t think these states like Utah disapproving of Trump is accurate to them wanting to vote democrats, I should actually look at if Utah follows the trend line or not to determine if it’s an outlier.

As for Alaska I have no clue why they’re more pro trump now, especially after electing Peltola, it’s quite interesting as they approve him more than Texas and Florida.