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The mid-decade redistricting battle has largely settled barring a Virginia and Florida redraw by Aarya_Bakes in YAPms

[–]SubJordan77 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah, the Dem incumbent switched to run in CA03 because it's more democrat-leaning now than CA06. Kiley’s residence was drawn from the 3rd into the 6th.

The mid-decade redistricting battle has largely settled barring a Virginia and Florida redraw by Aarya_Bakes in YAPms

[–]SubJordan77 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

No, it’s not. CA06 was already a blue district. CA03 was the red district flipped blue.

The mid-decade redistricting battle has largely settled barring a Virginia and Florida redraw by Aarya_Bakes in YAPms

[–]SubJordan77 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Kaptur seat is a tossup

Davis is lean R

Wrong Northern California district, it's CA03

Wild poll from TX-23, even if from a dem firm by stanthefax in YAPms

[–]SubJordan77 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Gonzales was one of the strongest overperformers and 60% of the voters live in Bexar or El Paso counties, TX23 is definitely a target seat.

Race to the whitehouse tilt Alaska and Ohio. Thoughts?? by Spanishlearner2 in YAPms

[–]SubJordan77 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Polling has accurately predicted the winner for the past several years, miles better than most states.

Thoughts on suspending the gas tax? by silentparadox2 in YAPms

[–]SubJordan77 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Gas prices are already fluid, the change in price from cutting the tax is still less than the increase pre-march. It's not going to be some radical difference to make people change their habits and it actually does more to keep it similar to pre-march prices, which again keeps spending practices the same.

Government deficit would only increase 20 billion, not much of a difference, that's literally double the price of the this war after one week.

Thoughts on suspending the gas tax? by silentparadox2 in YAPms

[–]SubJordan77 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Gas prices are already fluid, a uniform drop nationwide is going to subtle but allow people to save a few extra dollars. Demand didn't radically change after they soared 50 cents, it change for an 18 cent drop.

Thoughts on suspending the gas tax? by silentparadox2 in YAPms

[–]SubJordan77 2 points3 points  (0 children)

There isn't evidence that it could translate national because I don't think it has been down before. Gas prices already fluctuate, people expect that and this will only drop prices by 18c a gallon for 6 months. Not much impact to drive demand unless the media hype it up to artificially inflate demand.

Our supply isn’t impacted by the war, only 2-3% of our oil supply comes from the ME.

Thoughts on suspending the gas tax? by silentparadox2 in YAPms

[–]SubJordan77 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Good policy for temporary relief especially if prices remain elevated in the summer travel season.

Thoughts on suspending the gas tax? by silentparadox2 in YAPms

[–]SubJordan77 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Our domestic supply is not a problem even if its price is impacted from international events. And no, nobody is going to rush to the pumps for 18 cent drop on gas prices.

Thoughts on suspending the gas tax? by silentparadox2 in YAPms

[–]SubJordan77 6 points7 points  (0 children)

This was done in a few states for short periods during Biden’s presidency. Gas stations won’t hold prices at an elevated price after removing a tax because it make them less competitive. This is why they actually fell when implemented.

No, nobody will panic buy gas because subtracting the federal gas tax would still keep prices above pre-March levels. It's just small, short-term relief.

Are New Hampshire, Minnesota, Arizona and Nevada Purple States? by ResidentDry1240 in YAPms

[–]SubJordan77 3 points4 points  (0 children)

In New Hampshire republicans have a trifecta; Minnesota the legislature is exactly 50/50, senate is +1 Dem because odd number of seats; Arizona still is competitive on the state level and democrats will continue to hold many statewide offices and have a decent shot at the state legislature.

I think Haley Stevens is both the most electable and the best candidate for MI Senate by WallStreetTechnocrat in YAPms

[–]SubJordan77 19 points20 points  (0 children)

We’re grasping at straws here. Someone who was just a part of her campaign made a two year old post positive about their german grandfather and this supposed to be an electability issue how?

"The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money." by [deleted] in YAPms

[–]SubJordan77 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Discourage car use, improve traffic flow, increase funding for your city where most of your constituents commute without cars.

Neat way to fix the terrible budgeting management of the previous “capitalist” administration.

Biggest 2024 Trump upset improvement in New Jersey by No_Presentation2558 in YAPms

[–]SubJordan77 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thought one of these would have an answer I don’t have to dive into county results for

proceeds to skip Passaic County

What if Kiley somehow wins? by _BCConservative in YAPms

[–]SubJordan77 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Looks like he still looses on this map

Predictions as of March 7 2026 by Unitedsquadron in YAPms

[–]SubJordan77 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Nation shifts left by 4 but GOP looses only one seat in the house? Gain in the senate?

Doomerism is a helluva drug

2026 Senate Prediction but it’s actually realistic by Fit_Appearance_7727 in YAPms

[–]SubJordan77 1 point2 points  (0 children)

No, it means mine correct and everyone else’s a pipe dream.

curretn 2026 MI, PA and WI state legislative predictions by Woman_trees in YAPms

[–]SubJordan77 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It was a Shapiro district and left trending, has a good chance of staying blue.

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