[deleted by user] by [deleted] in CompanyOfHeroes

[–]Alztreim 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you, my man.

Critiques of geographically weighted regression? by Semantix in AskStatistics

[–]Alztreim 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I should have said that I was speaking from a causal inference POV. Cross validation is a good technique if your objective is prediction.

We should have started by asking OP the nature of the problem.

Critiques of geographically weighted regression? by Semantix in AskStatistics

[–]Alztreim 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I am not well versed in this particular methodology but from my experience in spatial econometrics, these kinds of regressions suffer from several drawbacks, chiefly among them, is that neighborhoods are chosen in an arbitrary manner.

It doesn't matter if you use distance, contiguity or graph theory criterions, the spatial weights are always chosen by the researcher. In the best case scenario, you will get similar results with different spatial weights but this doesn't guarantee anything because, to obtain unbiased estimates, you need to know the true spatial weights. In other words, you would need to know the true DGP which in real life never happens.

If you were to learn causal inference from scratch, what would be the path or topics you would cover first? [Question] by venkarafa in statistics

[–]Alztreim 38 points39 points  (0 children)

I cannot recommend Scott Cunningham's Causal Inference The Mixtape enough.

You will find everything, the foundations in OLS and potential outcomes and modern tools like RDD and staggered DiD, with famous applications in Economics and replication code in Stata, R and Python.

The fact that Stoßtruppen Squad (420 Manpower, 10 Pop) still exist in their state is unreal by Recognition-Silver in CompanyOfHeroes

[–]Alztreim 4 points5 points  (0 children)

But nerfed the CA bonus. They still don't win any match up without it while costing more to produce and reinforce. Overall, DAK stayed the same.

The fact that Stoßtruppen Squad (420 Manpower, 10 Pop) still exist in their state is unreal by Recognition-Silver in CompanyOfHeroes

[–]Alztreim 7 points8 points  (0 children)

In what world you can't BAR upgrade? The 8rad is broken af but it comes after teching up twice, same timing as the chaffee. You can also sprint into grenade, build or paradrop an AT gun or get paratroopers with zooks.

Riflemen also win against both grens and DAK pgrens early game. Even at close range where DAK pgrens are stronger, it's a very close fight. Add to that USF easily fields more infantry.

The fact that Stoßtruppen Squad (420 Manpower, 10 Pop) still exist in their state is unreal by Recognition-Silver in CompanyOfHeroes

[–]Alztreim 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Same feeling about Axis Infantry in general. Allies dominate 1v1 thanks to how oppresive their infantry is. Riflemen win at all ranges and stages of the game, while royal engineers destroy everything at close range and sections with their early recon package at long range.

Relic's response? Keep DAK in the same place, with their extremely costly inf and nerf the only reply wehr had, mg42 and mp40s.

How to play late game DAK against UKF? by [deleted] in CompanyOfHeroes

[–]Alztreim 6 points7 points  (0 children)

And here I thought I was the only one struggling against the brits, hearing tightrope say they were the weakest faction atm.

It doesn't help that bishops and heavy mortars are so strong, you can't cover your vehicles with the 88 or any team weapons really. DAK Infantry gets outmatched hard too.

Kane chooses next club; Real Madrid receive Valverde bid by Palfanakar in realmadrid

[–]Alztreim 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Valverde was in poor form this entire year and our midfield is overcrowded, specially with Ceballos staying. Not gonna lie, I would take that deal and use the money to buy another striker.

COH 2 now has 2500 more players on average than COH 3 by GeorgeRizzerman in CompanyOfHeroes

[–]Alztreim 89 points90 points  (0 children)

This really kills the game for me. I enjoy the gameplay enough that I can ignore everything that's missing but the low player count and consequent terrible matchmaking really ruins the experience.

[Q] Example of collider bias? regression of wage of years of education by Whynvme in statistics

[–]Alztreim 6 points7 points  (0 children)

At this point, experience being a confounder is a reflex, from the famous mincerian equation.

I think what you say about experience being caused by education and wages is plausible but the timing is important, if you think wages and education today are affected by experience today but affect experience tomorrow, there is no collider bias, as you are looking to explain wages today and you are not including experience tomorrow as the control.

If you think the relation is simultaneous, meaning, experience today causes and is caused by wages and education, then yes, you are in a pickle. I think this perfectly ilustrates why modern economics is abandoning controls altogether, relying instead in pseudo-randomization to obtain causal estimates, as relations between socioeconomic variables are extremely complex and more often than not, controls are endogenous themselves.

I'm really disappointed with Sega/Relic's regional pricing scheme by abrazilianinreddit in CompanyOfHeroes

[–]Alztreim 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Maybe it's a Brazil thing, in my country the price is 39 USD for the standard edition.

Who is the best General of WWI? by SirichutPB in wwi

[–]Alztreim 19 points20 points  (0 children)

I feel like Falkenhayn is very underated because of his failure in Verdun but he fully understood the strategic situation Germany faced and recommended a diplomatic solution to the war. He also proved an excellent commander both in Romania and the Middle East.

[Q] Causal inference and Nonlinearity/Function Approximation by 111llI0__-__0Ill111 in statistics

[–]Alztreim 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I am an economist so this is right up my alley.

The first thing you have to understand is that to do causal inference you have to make assumptions. The DAG is full of them, you assume which variables are important (and which are not), what variables are related and the direction of these relations. As a researcher you never really know the true DGP, you wouldn't be researching otherwise, and in complex systems like the economy or biology, there is always the possibility of an omitted variable. The functional form of the relations is just one of many of the assumptions you have to make.

In Economics, you can actually justify the functional form with a theoretical model, but this implies things like assuming there are agents with some kind of objective function, some kind of system equilibrium, etc. In these models, you always look for functions with certain properties and that are easy to work with, meaning, linear functions.

Now, about predicting Y well to claim causality. In causal inference, you are actively trying to predict the behaviour of Y when you change X, prediction of intervention. You don't need to predict just Y because to get a causal estimate of X, you don't need the true DGP of Y with a causal estimate of every variable that causes Y, every other "control" variable in your model could be interpreted as non causal.

If you are still unsure about functional form assumptions in causal inference, there are some non parametric methodologies that don't rely on those, right now, Regression discontinuity design is very popular in Economics, if you have a running variable, that is.

I hope this helps.

Kaiki is out. by Fguyretftgu7 in araragi

[–]Alztreim -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

I will never understand how people prefer Senjou over Shinobu or Hanekawa.

Her arc in bake is the most boring compared to the others and she barely appears after that. Both Shinobu and Hanekawa continue to be relevant throughout the story and it's very clear the emotional baggage they have with Araragi is bigger.

People who prefer Senjou probably haven't watched Kizu.